Rosternomics
DW

Dick Williams

Born 1971 · age 54

President of baseball operations for the Reds (2016–2021).

5 seasons with salary-era data across 2 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs1
Record324–384
Win %0.458
-25.8WAB — wins above budget157th/195 execs
-22.1Talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation)146th/195 execs
0.53Acquisition leverage — playoff pts each bought win added, given the roster it joined (did you buy where wins matter?)138th/195 execs
-28.3WAR surplus (era-neutral, win-equiv)94th/195 execs
-105Roster surplus $M133rd/195 execs

How the roster was sourced

Share of gross-positive acquired fWAR by channel (vs. league average).

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+14.8
Trade-1.4
Free agency-41.6
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.6
Sourcing mix: 55% draft · 45% FA · 0% trade · 0% R5

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Reds POBO 2018–2021 3 -16.5 -5.50 -5.0 -14.8 +7.7 -2.1 -39.3 +0.4 0.58 0.469 1 -61
Reds GM 2016–2016 1 -9.3 -9.32 -17.1 -13.5 +7.1 +0.7 -2.3 -0.9 0.13 0.420 -44
Career total (1985+ data) 5 -25.8 -22.1 -28.3 +14.8 -1.4 -41.6 -0.6 0.53 0.458 1 -105

Players acquired — 48 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year fWAR
Jonathan India 2B CIN Draft 2018 +8.1
TJ Friedl OF CIN Intl FA 2016 +7.5
Nick Castellanos 3B/OF CIN Free agency 2020 +4.0
Kyle Farmer 2B/SS CIN Free agency 2020 +3.9
Wade Miley P CIN Free agency 2019 +3.4
Jose Iglesias SS CIN Free agency 2019 +1.8
David Hernandez P CIN Free agency 2018 +1.5
Tyler Naquin OF CIN Free agency 2021 +1.4
Derek Dietrich 2B/OF CIN Free agency 2019 +0.6
Jeff Hoffman P CIN Trade 2020 +0.4
Joel Kuhnel P CIN Draft 2016 +0.3
Reiver Sanmartin P CIN Trade 2019 +0.3
Vladimir Gutiérrez P CIN Intl FA 2016 +0.2
Luis Cessa P CIN Trade 2021 +0.2
Ryan Lavarnway C CIN Free agency 2019 +0.2
Tyler Thornburg P CIN Free agency 2019 +0.2
Josh VanMeter 2B CIN Trade 2016 +0.1
José De León P CIN Trade 2019 +0.1
Jesse Biddle P CIN Free agency 2020 +0.0
Kyle Dowdy P CIN Free agency 2021 +0.0
Steve Delabar P CIN Free agency 2016 -0.1
Gabriel Guerrero OF CIN Trade 2016 -0.1
R. J. Alaniz P CIN Free agency 2020 -0.1
Brad Brach P CIN Free agency 2021 -0.1
Nate Jones P CIN Free agency 2020 -0.1
Michael Mariot P CIN Free agency 2021 -0.1
Pedro Strop P CIN Free agency 2020 -0.1
Tim Adleman P CIN Trade 2016 -0.2
Rafael Lopez C CIN Free agency 2016 -0.2
A. J. Morris P CIN Trade 2016 -0.2
Christian Colón 2B/3B CIN Free agency 2018 -0.2
Aramis Garcia C CIN Free agency 2021 -0.2
Riley O'Brien P CIN Trade 2020 -0.2
Dayán Díaz P CIN Trade 2016 -0.3
Matt Davidson 3B/DH CIN Free agency 2020 -0.3
Mike Moustakas 3B CIN Free agency 2019 -0.3
Cliff Pennington 2B/SS CIN Free agency 2018 -0.3
Ryan Hendrix P CIN Draft 2016 -0.4
Shogo Akiyama OF CIN Draft 2020 -0.4
Josh Osich P CIN Free agency 2020 -0.4
Mark Payton OF CIN Trade 2020 -0.4
Tim Melville P CIN Trade 2016 -0.5
Ross Ohlendorf P CIN Free agency 2016 -0.5
Nick Senzel OF CIN Draft 2016 -0.5
Matt Kemp OF CIN Trade 2018 -0.6
Jordan Pacheco 1B/3B CIN Free agency 2016 -0.7
Stuart Turner C CIN Rule 5 2016 -0.9
Alfredo Simón P CIN Free agency 2016 -1.0

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.