Rosternomics
Paul Toboni

Paul Toboni

★ active

Born Feb 8, 1990 · San Francisco, CA · age 36

President of baseball operations for the Nationals (2026–present).

Across the full 1-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for cheap-talent surplus (98th percentile). The clearest contrast is avoidance of dead payroll (6th percentile): a larger share of payroll has gone to players below 0.5 WAR than for most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 0 playoff appearances · 73–82 (0.471)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
6.0
Dead WAR
-7.1
Dead money %
52%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$74M
Drafted surplus
$0M
Traded-for surplus
$11M
Int'l surplus
$4M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
TAB
+6.1
WAB
+8.0
$ / WAR
$1.6M
Net WAR/trade
+0.24

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Nationals POBO 2026 73–82 $54 33 +55 +12.5 52% +74 +0 +11 +4 $1.6M 25.9 6.0 -7.1 +0.2 +1.2 +0.24 -1.2 +0.0 +0.01 0.25 0.07 +8.0 +6.1 0.471
Career total (1985+ data) $54 33 +55 +12.5 52% +74 +0 +11 +4 $1.6M 25.9 6.0 -7.1 +0.2 +1.2 +0.24 -1.2 +0.0 +0.01 0.25 0.07 +8.0 +6.1 0.471

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+0.2
Trade+1.2
Free agency-1.2
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 22% draft · 0% FA · 78% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Trades made — 18 deals credited to Paul Toboni, best expected value first; surplus is realized value in $M

2026 · BOS / WSN Jul 26, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
Curtis Mead
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Connelly Early
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / CHW Mar 28, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$8.8M
Curtis Mead
CHW · Chris Getz −$8.8M
Boston Smith
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / NYY Mar 22, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$4.0M
Jorbit Vivas
NYY · Brian Cashman −$4.0M
Sean Paul Liñan
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / STL Feb 10, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$1.6M
Andre Granillo
STL · Chaim Bloom −$1.6M
George Soriano
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · CLE / WSN Aug 3, 2026
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$3.2M
Foster Griffin
WSN · Paul Toboni −$3.2M
Will Dion, Nick Mitchell, Josh Hartle, Kendeglys Virguez
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · DET / WSN May 1, 2026
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Zack Short
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · NYY / WSN Aug 3, 2026
NYY · Brian Cashman +$3.2M
Luis García
WSN · Paul Toboni −$3.2M
Ben Grable, Yovanny Cruz, Jack Cebert, Jake Bird
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / PIT Jul 16, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
PIT · Ben Cherington +$0.0M
Robert Hassell
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BAL / WSN Jul 1, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Randal Diaz
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Kyle Nicolas
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BAL / WSN Aug 3, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Christian Franklin
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Joe Glassey
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · HOU / WSN Jul 3, 2026
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
WSN · Paul Toboni −$0.8M
Tom Cosgrove
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · ATL / WSN Jun 20, 2026
ATL · Alex Anthopoulos +$0.0M
Tyler Schoff
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · LAD / WSN Apr 1, 2026
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.0M
Jake Eder
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · NYM / WSN Apr 16, 2026
NYM · David Stearns +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
WSN · Paul Toboni −$0.8M
Richard Lovelady
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / HOU Jun 21, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
HOU · Dana Brown +$0.0M
Marcus Brown
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / NYY Mar 24, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
Zack Short
NYY · Brian Cashman +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · WSN / COL May 25, 2026
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.8M
Carson Palmquist
COL · Josh Byrnes −$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TEX / WSN Jan 22, 2026
TEX · Chris Young +$36.8M
MacKenzie Gore
WSN · Paul Toboni −$36.8M
Alejandro Rosario, Gavin Fien, Abimelec Ortiz, Devin Fitz-Gerald#82.7, Yeremy Cabrera
Too soon to call unsettled

Players acquired — 14 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Foster Griffin P WSN Trade 2026 1 +1.9 +1.9 0.5% 0.13%
Curtis Mead 1B/3B WSN Trade 2026 1 +1.5 +1.5 +0.01 0.4% 0.10%
Jorbit Vivas 2B/3B WSN Trade 2026 1 +1.1 +1.1 +0.01 0.3% 0.08%
Joey Wiemer OF WSN Trade 2026 1 +0.7 +0.7 0.2% 0.05%
Harry Ford C WSN Trade 2026 1 +0.3 +0.3 +0.21 0.1% 0.02%
Riley Cornelio P WSN Draft 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2
Carson Palmquist P WSN Trade 2026 1 +0.2 +0.2 0.0% 0.01%
Matt Waldron P WSN Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Paxton Schultz P WSN Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Zak Kent P WSN Trade 2026 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Jake Bird P WSN Trade 2026 1 +0.0 +0.0 +0.01 0.0% 0.00%
Andre Granillo P WSN Trade 2026 -0.2 +0.00
Max Kranick P WSN Free agency 2026 -0.4
Miles Mikolas P WSN Free agency 2026 -0.9

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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