Rosternomics
Justin Hollander

Justin Hollander

★ active

General manager for the Mariners (2023–present).

4 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs1
Record297–254
Win %0.539
+21.2WAB — wins above budget34th/195 execs
+25.7Talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation)31st/195 execs
2.34Acquisition leverage — playoff pts each bought win added, given the roster it joined (did you buy where wins matter?)8th/195 execs
+18.0WAR surplus (era-neutral, win-equiv)21st/195 execs
+68Roster surplus $M16th/195 execs

How the roster was sourced

Share of gross-positive acquired fWAR by channel (vs. league average).

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+19.1
Trade+5.7
Free agency-8.2
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 62% draft · 4% FA · 34% trade · 0% R5

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Mariners GM 2023–present 3 +21.2 +7.06 +25.7 +18.0 +19.1 +5.7 -8.2 +0.0 2.34 0.539 1 +68
Career total (1985+ data) 4 +21.2 +25.7 +18.0 +19.1 +5.7 -8.2 +0.0 2.34 0.539 1 +68

Players acquired — 46 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year fWAR
Bryan Woo P SEA Draft 2023 +8.9
Bryce Miller P SEA Draft 2023 +5.5
Luke Raley OF SEA Trade 2024 +3.4
Jorge Polanco 2B/SS SEA Free agency 2025 +2.6
Dominic Canzone DH/OF SEA Trade 2023 +2.4
José Caballero 2B/SS SEA Draft 2023 +1.9
Cade Marlowe OF SEA Draft 2023 +0.9
Emerson Hancock P SEA Draft 2023 +0.8
Jose Ferrer P SEA Trade 2025 +0.7
Leo Rivas 2B/SS SEA Draft 2024 +0.7
Cole Young 2B SEA Draft 2025 +0.7
Jhonny Pereda C SEA Trade 2026 +0.5
Ryan Bliss 2B SEA Trade 2023 +0.4
Ben Williamson 3B SEA Draft 2025 +0.4
Isaiah Campbell P SEA Draft 2023 +0.3
Jorge Polanco 2B/SS SEA Trade 2024 +0.3
Trent Thornton P SEA Trade 2023 +0.3
Luis Urías 2B/3B SEA Trade 2023 +0.2
Cooper Criswell P SEA Trade 2026 +0.1
Alex Hoppe P SEA Trade 2025 +0.1
Connor Joe 1B/OF SEA Free agency 2026 +0.1
Will Wilson 2B/3B SEA Free agency 2026 +0.1
Luis Castillo P SEA Free agency 2025 +0.0
Jhonathan Díaz P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.0
Harry Ford C SEA Draft 2025 -0.0
Josh Naylor 1B SEA Free agency 2025 +0.0
Ryder Ryan P SEA Draft 2023 +0.0
Gregory Santos P SEA Trade 2024 -0.0
Kirby Snead P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.0
Austin Voth P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.0
Seby Zavala C SEA Trade 2023 -0.0
Ty Adcock P SEA Draft 2023 -0.1
Blas Castano P SEA Draft 2025 -0.1
Logan Evans P SEA Draft 2025 -0.1
Tommy La Stella 2B/3B SEA Free agency 2023 -0.1
Casey Legumina P SEA Trade 2025 -0.1
Rhylan Thomas OF SEA Trade 2024 -0.1
Mitch Garver C/DH SEA Free agency 2023 -0.2
Jesse Hahn P SEA Free agency 2024 -0.2
Tyler Locklear 1B SEA Draft 2024 -0.2
Víctor Robles OF SEA Free agency 2024 -0.2
Josh Simpson P SEA Trade 2026 -0.2
Troy Taylor P SEA Draft 2024 -0.2
Juan Then P SEA Draft 2023 -0.2
Jason Vosler 1B/3B SEA Free agency 2023 -0.2
Rob Refsnyder OF SEA Free agency 2025 -0.8

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.