Rosternomics

Tigers DET

202673–82 (0.471)
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President of baseball ops: Scott Harris · GM: Jeff Greenberg · partial season

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$195M
Win %
0.471
TAB
-2.2
WAB
-7.7
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
34.3
Dead money %
40%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-5.4
Farm System
Total Proj. WAR
61.0
Pitching Proj. WAR
19.8
Hitting Proj. WAR
41.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2026 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RDillon Dingler112
Eduardo Valencia16

1B

RSpencer Torkelson149
LColt Keith18
Eduardo Valencia1

2B

RGleyber Torres74
RHao-Yu Lee70
LZach McKinstry44
RJavier Báez12
LGage Workman2

3B

LKevin McGonigle89
LColt Keith66
RHao-Yu Lee39
LZach McKinstry7
RMatt Vierling1
LJace Jung1

SS

LKevin McGonigle96
RJavier Báez34
LZach McKinstry34
RZack Short23
John Peck18
RHao-Yu Lee1

LF

LRiley Greene119
Ben Malgeri22
Brett Callahan20
LJames Outman12
RMatt Vierling10
RJavier Báez9
LKerry Carpenter4
LZach McKinstry3
Trei Cruz1
BWenceel Pérez1

CF

RMatt Vierling69
Max Clark45
LJames Outman28
BWenceel Pérez15
RJavier Báez13
LParker Meadows12
LZach McKinstry5
Ben Malgeri2

RF

LZach McKinstry60
LKerry Carpenter45
BWenceel Pérez45
Ben Malgeri34
RMatt Vierling24
LJames Outman5
Brett Callahan5
RJahmai Jones4
RCorey Julks2
RJavier Báez2
Trei Cruz1

DH

LColt Keith50
LKerry Carpenter31
RDillon Dingler29
RGleyber Torres18
LRiley Greene16
Eduardo Valencia16
Brett Callahan4
LKevin McGonigle4
RHao-Yu Lee3
LJace Jung3
LGage Workman2
RCorey Julks1
Ben Malgeri1
RMatt Vierling1
RSpencer Torkelson1
BWenceel Pérez1

Starters

LTarik Skubal3.0 WAR
RCasey Mize3.0 WAR
RKeider Montero2.3 WAR
LFramber Valdez1.8 WAR
RTroy Melton1.6 WAR
RJack Flaherty1.3 WAR
RDrew Anderson0.7 WAR
RTy Madden0.5 WAR
LTyler Holton0.4 WAR
RJackson Jobe0.3 WAR
RBurch Smith0.1 WAR
RJustin Verlander-0.1 WAR
RJacob Waguespack-0.2 WAR
RBrenan Hanifee-0.4 WAR
Andrew SearsNone WAR

Bullpen

RKenley Jansen21 sv
LTyler Holton14 h
RKyle Finnegan14 h
LDrew Sommers13 h
RWill Vest7 h
RJacob Waguespack5 h
LBrant Hurter1 h
LEnmanuel De Jesus0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2025)

PlayerfWAR
Kevin McGonigle5.1
Framber Valdez1.8
Drew Anderson0.7
Hao-Yu Lee0.5
Ty Madden0.5
Enmanuel De Jesus0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2025)

Player2025 fWAR
Andy Ibáñez0.4
Brewer Hicklen0.2
Carlos Hernández0.2
Dietrich Enns0.2
Tomás Nido0.1
Sean Guenther0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Tigers. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Kevin McGonigle 2026 +5.4 +64.6 0.8 +63.8 $0.1M 1.51× Pre-arb extension · 2027–2034 · $18.8M AAV
Riley Greene 2026 +3.6 +51.0 5.0 +46.0 $1.4M 1.79× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.0M AAV
Casey Mize 2026 +3.1 +48.3 3.9 +44.3 $1.3M 1.96× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.2M AAV
Dillon Dingler 2026 +5.0 +44.6 0.8 +43.7 $0.2M 1.12× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tarik Skubal 2026 +3.1 +48.6 20.5 +28.1 $6.6M 1.96× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $32.0M AAV
Keider Montero 2026 +2.4 +28.7 0.8 +27.9 $0.3M 1.49×
Colt Keith 2024–2026 +4.8 +34.2 11.0 +23.2 $2.3M 0.89× Pre-arb extension · 2024–2032 · $4.8M AAV
Troy Melton 2026 +1.6 +19.3 0.8 +18.6 $0.5M 1.49× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Drew Sommers 2026 +0.9 +4.9 0.0 +4.9 $0.0M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jack Flaherty 2025–2026 +4.0 +47.3 45.0 +2.3 $11.3M 1.49× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $17.5M AAV
Ty Madden 2026 +0.5 +2.5 0.6 +1.9 $1.3M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jackson Jobe 2026 +0.3 +2.4 0.8 +1.6 $2.7M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Hao-Yu Lee 2026 +0.5 +2.2 0.7 +1.5 $1.4M 0.56×
Tyler Kinley 2026 +0.2 +1.8 0.6 +1.2 $3.5M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $4.2M AAV
Brant Hurter 2026 +0.3 +1.6 0.8 +0.8 $2.6M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Tyler Holton 2026 +0.4 +2.3 1.6 +0.8 $3.6M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.6M AAV
Drew Anderson 2026 +0.7 +7.7 7.0 +0.7 $9.8M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV
Enmanuel De Jesus 2026 +0.4 +2.0 1.3 +0.7 $3.4M 0.67×
Parker Meadows 2026 +0.2 +1.5 0.8 +0.7 $3.5M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Zach McKinstry 2026 +0.7 +4.3 4.2 +0.1 $6.4M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.2M AAV
Connor Seabold 2026 +0.1 +0.3 0.4 -0.1 $6.6M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
James Outman 2026 +0.0 +0.3 0.4 -0.1 $7.7M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jace Jung 2026 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.69×
Will Vest 2026 +0.4 +3.8 4.0 -0.2 $11.2M 1.34× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.0M AAV
Framber Valdez 2026 +1.9 +22.5 22.8 -0.3 $12.1M 1.49× Free Agent · 2029–2029 · $38.3M AAV
Zack Short 2026 -0.0 -0.0 0.5 -0.5 0.61× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Burch Smith 2026 +0.1 +0.5 1.3 -0.8 $14.4M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV
Spencer Torkelson 2026 +0.7 +3.2 4.1 -0.9 $5.6M 0.56× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.1M AAV
Yilber Díaz 2026 -0.0 -0.2 0.7 -0.9 0.67×
Jake Rogers 2026 +0.1 +0.4 1.8 -1.5 $26.5M 0.65× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Beau Brieske 2026 -0.1 -0.5 1.2 -1.7 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Ricky Vanasco 2026 -0.2 -1.2 0.6 -1.8 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Gage Workman 2026 -0.4 -2.0 0.5 -2.5 0.56× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Brenan Hanifee 2026 -0.4 -2.3 0.6 -2.9 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Wenceel Pérez 2026 -0.5 -3.1 0.7 -3.9 0.83×
Matt Vierling 2026 -0.4 -2.8 3.3 -6.1 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.3M AAV
Kenley Jansen 2026 +0.2 +2.0 9.0 -7.0 $47.4M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV
Kerry Carpenter 2026 -0.7 -4.4 3.3 -7.7 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.3M AAV
Justin Verlander 2026 -0.1 -0.6 7.8 -8.4 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $13.0M AAV
Jahmai Jones 2026 -1.2 -8.1 0.5 -8.6 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Gleyber Torres 2026 +1.2 +5.4 22.0 -16.6 $18.3M 0.56× Qualifying Offer · 2026–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Kyle Finnegan 2026 -0.8 -8.9 8.8 -17.7 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $9.5M AAV
Javier Báez 2022–2026 +3.1 +15.2 116.0 -100.8 $37.4M 0.61× Free Agent · 2022–2027 · $23.3M AAV
Corey Julks 2026 -0.0 -0.0 0.83×
Jacob Waguespack 2026 -0.2 -1.0 0.67×
Tanner Rainey 2026 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Total+40.8+437.8317.3+121.6

Trades

Every graded 2026 deal involving the Tigers — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 12 total.

2026 · LAD / DET Aug 2, 2026
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$20.0M
Tarik Skubal
DET · Scott Harris −$20.0M
River Ryan#44.5, Brady Smith, Zyhir Hope#40.3
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · DET / SDP Aug 3, 2026
DET · Scott Harris +$1.6M
Kash Mayfield, Jackson Wolf
SDP · AJ Preller −$1.6M
Casey Mize, Gage Workman
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · DET / TOR May 27, 2026
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Juanmi Vasquez
TOR · Ross Atkins +$0.0M
Connor Seabold
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · TBR / DET Jan 6, 2026
TBR · Erik Neander +$0.0M
Justyn-Henry Malloy
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · NYM / DET Jul 5, 2026
NYM · David Stearns +$0.0M
Matt Seelinger
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / DET Aug 1, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Jojo Ingrassia
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BAL / DET Jul 30, 2026
BAL · Mike Elias +$0.0M
Jake Rogers
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Zane Barnhart
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · MIL / DET Jun 10, 2026
MIL · Matt Arnold +$0.8M
cash / PTBNL
DET · Scott Harris −$0.8M
Jacob Waguespack
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · DET / MIN Jul 5, 2026
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
Woo-Suk Go
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · DET / WSN May 1, 2026
DET · Scott Harris +$0.0M
Zack Short
WSN · Paul Toboni +$0.0M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · BOS / DET Jul 14, 2026
BOS · Craig Breslow +$4.8M
Jahmai Jones
DET · Scott Harris −$4.8M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled
2026 · SFG / DET Mar 30, 2026
SFG · Buster Posey +$2.4M
Dylan Smith
DET · Scott Harris −$2.4M
cash / PTBNL
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2026 payroll
$195.1M
luxury tax $199M
2027 guaranteed
$109.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Summary — luxury-tax (CBT) basis

2026202720282029203020312032
Tax threshold$244M$247M$250M$253M$256M$259M$262M
Guaranteed contracts$120M$69M$41M$5M$5M$5M
Proj. arbitration$68M
Proj. pre-arbitration$11M$19M$28M$57M$19M$19M
Player benefits$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M$18M
Total CBT payroll$217M$106M$88M$80M$42M$42M
Tax space+$27M+$141M+$162M+$173M+$214M+$217M
Est. tax bill

Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Javier Báez3310.089$24.0M$24.0MFREE AGENT
Framber Valdez326.163$22.8M$42.8M$35.0MPLAYER$40.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Gleyber Torres297.162$22.0MFREE AGENT
Jack Flaherty308.006$20.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Kenley Jansen3815.073$9.0M$12.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Kyle Finnegan346.000$8.8M$8.0M$10.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Justin Verlander4320.002$7.8MFREE AGENT
Drew Anderson320.114$7.0M$10.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Colt Keith242.000$4.3M$4.3M$5.3M$5.3M$10.0MCLUB$13.0MCLUB$15.0MCLUB
Kevin McGonigle21$780k$2.8M$8.8M$17.8M$22.8M$23.8M
Tyler Kinley357.014$590k$5.5MCLUBFREE AGENT
Tanner Rainey336.127FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Tarik Skubal295.114$20.5MFREE AGENT
Riley Greene253.110$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach McKinstry314.099$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Torkelson263.076$4.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Vest314.100$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Mize295.111$3.9MFREE AGENT
Kerry Carpenter283.057$3.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Vierling294.026$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Rogers315.040$1.8MFREE AGENT
Tyler Holton303.047$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Burch Smith365.086$1.3MFREE AGENT
Beau Brieske283.056$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Waguespack323.091ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2026202720282029203020312032
Enmanuel De Jesus29$1.3M
Dillon Dingler271.063$835kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Parker Meadows261.169$805kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brant Hurter271.042$796kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy Melton250.068$786kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Jobe231.006$784kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keider Montero251.011$772kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wenceel Pérez262.000$745kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hao-Yu Lee23$715k
Yilber Díaz250.041$656kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Vanasco270.039$632kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brenan Hanifee281.069$617kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Madden261.035$609kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jahmai Jones281.148$533kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gage Workman26$523k
Zack Short312.070$476kFREE AGENT
Connor Seabold301.054$419kFREE AGENT
James Outman292.007$382kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Jung250.079$29kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Sommers250.032$4kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Julks302.105ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Tigers's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.