Overview
Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record362–448
Win %0.447
6.4Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)89th/195 execs
-6.0Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)140th/195 execs
46%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)167th/195 execs
$16MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track96th/195 execs
$11MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)58th/195 execs
$2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade92nd/195 execs
$2MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees54th/195 execs
-16.7TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total132nd/195 execs
-40.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)175th/195 execs
1.23Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)119th/195 execs
Tenure breakdown
| Team | Role | Years | Szns | WAB | WAB/yr | TAB | WAR surp | HG | Trade | FA | R5 | AcqLev | W-L% | PO | Pen | WS | Surp $M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
▸  Orioles |
GM | 2003–2007 | 5 | -40.0 | -7.99 | -16.7 | -42.2 | +56.3 | -8.5 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 1.23 | 0.447 | – | – | – | -85 |
| Career total (1985+ data) | 5 | -40.0 | -16.7 | -42.2 | +56.3 | -8.5 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 1.23 | 0.447 | – | – | – | -85 | |||
Roster Construction
Build channels — net fWAR
Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.
Home-grown (draft/intl)+56.3
Trade-8.5
Free agency-0.0
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.1
Sourcing mix: 57% draft · 37% FA · 5% trade · 0% R5
Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars
Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Mike Flanagan's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.
Players acquired — 95 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)
| Player | Pos | Team | How | Year | Szns | fWAR | WAR/yr | Lev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Markakis | OF | BAL |
Draft | 2003 | 9 | +23.0 | +2.6 | – |
| Miguel Tejada | SS | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | 4 | +17.5 | +4.4 | 13.7 |
| Matt Wieters | C | BAL |
Draft | 2007 | 8 | +16.5 | +2.1 | – |
| Jeremy Guthrie | P | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | 5 | +10.0 | +2.0 | 0.5 |
| Zack Britton | P | BAL |
Draft | 2006 | 8 | +9.2 | +1.1 | – |
| Ramón Hernández | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2005 | 3 | +6.1 | +2.0 | 1.1 |
| Javy López | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | 2 | +6.1 | +3.1 | 10.6 |
| Corey Patterson | OF | BAL |
Trade | 2006 | 3 | +5.2 | +1.7 | 1.0 |
| Aubrey Huff | 1B | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | 2 | +4.7 | +2.4 | 0.2 |
| Brad Bergesen | P | BAL |
Draft | 2004 | 3 | +2.5 | +0.8 | – |
| Jake Arrieta | P | BAL |
Draft | 2007 | 3 | +2.3 | +0.8 | – |
| Brian Burres | P | BAL |
Trade | 2006 | 3 | +1.7 | +0.6 | – |
| Nolan Reimold | OF | BAL |
Draft | 2005 | 4 | +1.6 | +0.4 | – |
| Bruce Chen | P | BAL |
Trade | 2004 | 2 | +1.6 | +0.8 | 1.7 |
| Omar Daal | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | 1 | +1.3 | +1.3 | 0.4 |
| Dave Borkowski | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | 1 | +1.1 | +1.1 | 2.8 |
| Chad Bradford | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 2 | +1.1 | +0.5 | 0.3 |
| Sal Fasano | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | 1 | +0.9 | +0.9 | 2.0 |
| Garrett Olson | P | BAL |
Draft | 2005 | 1 | +0.9 | +0.9 | – |
| David Newhan | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | 1 | +0.7 | +0.7 | 5.5 |
| Chris Ray | P | BAL |
Draft | 2003 | 3 | +0.7 | +0.2 | – |
| Deivi Cruz | SS | BAL |
Trade | 2003 | 1 | +0.7 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
| LaTroy Hawkins | P | BAL |
Trade | 2006 | 1 | +0.7 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
| Kris Benson | P | BAL |
Trade | 2006 | 1 | +0.6 | +0.6 | 0.2 |
| Jason Berken | P | BAL |
Draft | 2006 | 2 | +0.6 | +0.3 | – |
| Jeff Fiorentino | OF | BAL |
Draft | 2004 | 2 | +0.6 | +0.3 | – |
| Kerry Ligtenberg | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | 1 | +0.6 | +0.6 | 0.2 |
| Oscar Salazar | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 2 | +0.5 | +0.3 | 0.1 |
| Kevin Millar | 1B/OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 1 | +0.4 | +0.4 | 0.2 |
| Todd Williams | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | 2 | +0.4 | +0.2 | 0.3 |
| Robert Machado | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | 1 | +0.3 | +0.3 | 0.2 |
| Jay Payton | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 1 | +0.3 | +0.3 | 0.2 |
| Eli Marrero | C/OF | BAL |
Trade | 2005 | 1 | +0.3 | +0.3 | 0.7 |
| David Hernandez | P | BAL |
Draft | 2005 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | – |
| Luis Hernández | SS | BAL |
Trade | 2006 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | – |
| Jon Leicester | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 0.1 |
| Tike Redman | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 0.1 |
| Scott Williamson | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 0.0 |
| Mike DeJean | P | BAL |
Trade | 2004 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 0.4 |
| Rick Helling | P | BAL |
Trade | 2003 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 0.1 |
| Ramón Nivar | OF | BAL |
Trade | 2005 | 1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 0.5 |
| Randor Bierd | P | BAL |
Rule 5 | 2007 | 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | – |
| Jack Cust | DH/OF | BAL |
Trade | 2003 | 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 0.1 |
| Jim Miller | P | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | – |
| Guillermo Quiroz | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
| Brandon Snyder | 1B/3B | BAL |
Draft | 2005 | 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | – |
| Fernando Tatís | 3B | BAL |
Free agency | 2005 | 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
| Winston Abreu | P | BAL |
Trade | 2006 | – | -0.0 | – | – |
| Alberto Castillo | C | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | – | -0.0 | – | – |
| Bernie Castro | 2B | BAL |
Trade | 2005 | – | -0.0 | – | – |
| Zach Clark | P | BAL |
Intl FA | 2006 | – | -0.0 | – | – |
| Midre Cummings | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2005 | – | -0.0 | – | – |
| Blake Davis | 2B | BAL |
Draft | 2006 | 1 | +0.0 | +0.0 | – |
| Chris Gomez | SS | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | 2 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.2 |
| J. R. House | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 1 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jon Knott | DH/OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | 1 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 |
| Scott Moore | 1B/3B | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | 2 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dennis Sarfate | P | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | – | -0.0 | – | – |
| Pedro Swann | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | – | -0.0 | – | – |
| Walter Young | 1B | BAL |
Trade | 2003 | 1 | +0.0 | +0.0 | – |
| James Baldwin | P | BAL |
Trade | 2005 | 1 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.1 |
| Jaret Wright | P | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | 1 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 |
| Adam Stern | OF | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | 1 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 |
| Matt Angle | OF | BAL |
Draft | 2007 | – | -0.1 | – | – |
| Tim Byrdak | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | 1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.7 |
| Héctor Carrasco | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | – | -0.1 | – | – |
| Cory Doyne | P | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | – | -0.1 | – | – |
| Pedro Florimón | SS | BAL |
Intl FA | 2004 | – | -0.1 | – | – |
| Joe Mahoney | 1B | BAL |
Draft | 2007 | – | -0.1 | – | – |
| Chad Mottola | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2003 | – | -0.1 | – | – |
| Rob Bell | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | – | -0.2 | – | – |
| Ryan Bukvich | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | – | -0.2 | – | – |
| Jim Hoey | P | BAL |
Draft | 2003 | – | -0.2 | – | – |
| Steve Reed | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2005 | – | -0.2 | – | – |
| Paul Shuey | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | – | -0.2 | – | – |
| Luis Terrero | OF | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | – | -0.2 | – | – |
| Alejandro Freire | 1B/DH | BAL |
Trade | 2005 | – | -0.3 | – | – |
| John Halama | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | – | -0.3 | – | – |
| Julio Mañón | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2005 | – | -0.3 | – | – |
| Rocky Cherry | P | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | – | -0.4 | – | – |
| Jason Grimsley | P | BAL |
Trade | 2004 | – | -0.4 | – | – |
| Bob McCrory | P | BAL |
Draft | 2003 | – | -0.4 | – | – |
| Carlos Méndez | 1B/DH | BAL |
Trade | 2003 | – | -0.4 | – | – |
| José Morban | 2B/SS/DH | BAL |
Trade | 2003 | – | -0.4 | – | – |
| Keith Osik | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | – | -0.4 | – | – |
| Ryan Adams | 2B | BAL |
Draft | 2006 | – | -0.5 | – | – |
| Paul Bako | C | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | – | -0.5 | – | – |
| Fernando Cabrera | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | – | -0.5 | – | – |
| Jamie Walker | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.2 |
| Radhames Liz | P | BAL |
Intl FA | 2003 | – | -0.6 | – | – |
| Freddie Bynum | SS/OF | BAL |
Trade | 2007 | 1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 0.1 |
| Danys Báez | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2006 | 1 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 0.0 |
| Steve Kline | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2004 | – | -0.7 | – | – |
| Steve Trachsel | P | BAL |
Free agency | 2007 | 1 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 0.1 |
| Sammy Sosa | OF | BAL |
Trade | 2005 | – | -1.4 | – | – |
WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.
Graphs
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