RRosternomics

All-Time GM / POBO Leaderboard

Every decision-maker since 1985, ranked by GM WAR — wins above a "replacement GM" (an average front office at the same budget), in wins/season: the org-adjusted, shrunk talent-above-budget that's attributable to him, not the franchise he inherited. = currently active. Click any header to sort. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one person.

Tenure: to yrs Team:
showing 42 of 195 execs — compare like-tenured GMs apples-to-apples reset
ExecutiveTeam(s)TenureYrs GM WAR Acq Lev Depth Dead WAR Dead $ TAB WAB WAR surplus Cheap $ Draft $ Trade-cheap $ Int'l $ WAR / yr Avg WAR/plyr HG HG/yr Trade Trade/yr Trades Trades/yr FA FA/yr Draft % FA % Trade % R5 % W-L% PO Pen WS
Andrew Friedman LAD TBR 2006–present 21 +9.3 ±3.5 3.64 9.0 -3.6 31% +243.2 +199.5 -4.0 +44 +23 +14 +1 -0.19 -0.004 +258.9 +12.33 +93.2 +4.44 130 6.2 -154.4 -7.35 44% 26% 30% 0% 0.572 15 6 3
Erik Neander TBR 2017–present 10 +9.1 ±4.9 3.48 6.5 -3.1 30% +132.6 +137.4 +189.6 +70 +12 +48 +3 +18.96 +0.359 +42.1 +4.21 -15.1 -1.51 112 11.2 -39.4 -3.94 22% 20% 58% 1% 0.554 5 1
Brandon Gomes LAD 2022–present 5 +5.9 ±6.1 3.36 9.4 -2.9 26% +59.1 +54.5 -80.0 +33 +7 +2 -0 -16.01 -0.292 +44.9 +8.97 +2.9 +0.58 39 7.8 +11.6 +2.32 35% 52% 13% 0% 0.622 4 2 2
Mike Chernoff CLE 2016–present 11 +5.9 ±4.7 3.13 6.6 -4.2 32% +108.9 +129.4 +137.8 +59 +18 +17 +7 +12.53 +0.274 +102.6 +9.32 -5.6 -0.51 56 5.1 -34.1 -3.10 66% 11% 22% 1% 0.553 7 1
Matt Arnold MIL 2021–present 6 +4.9 ±5.7 4.20 7.5 -4.4 27% +63.5 +82.7 +60.2 +75 +15 +31 -0 +10.03 +0.189 +47.8 +7.97 +22.3 +3.71 52 8.7 -10.2 -1.70 42% 13% 43% 2% 0.577 4
Chris Antonetti CLE 2011–present 16 +4.2 ±4.0 2.90 6.6 -4.6 37% +122.2 +149.5 +166.3 +55 +17 +20 +6 +10.39 +0.227 +154.9 +9.68 +11.8 +0.74 80 5.0 -50.8 -3.17 64% 9% 26% 1% 0.536 8 1
Peter Bendix MIA TBR 2022–present 5 +3.7 ±6.1 1.70 6.0 -4.9 42% +44.7 +44.7 +70.8 +70 +7 +43 +5 +14.15 +0.250 +21.5 +4.30 -5.2 -1.04 46 9.2 +1.6 +0.33 40% 15% 40% 5% 0.503 2
Justin Hollander SEA 2023–present 4 +3.6 ±6.5 4.34 7.8 -3.9 34% +28.0 +20.2 +18.4 +64 +23 +7 +0 +4.60 +0.093 +21.1 +5.29 +4.1 +1.02 33 8.2 -6.8 -1.69 65% 3% 31% 0% 0.532 1
Mike Elias BAL 2019–present 8 +3.5 ±5.4 1.94 4.4 -5.6 56% +19.1 +15.9 +44.1 +50 +9 +14 -0 +5.52 +0.099 +69.1 +8.64 -0.2 -0.03 50 6.2 -3.1 -0.39 67% 7% 21% 4% 0.467 2
David Stearns MIL NYM 2016–2022, 2024–present 10 +3.4 ±4.9 3.20 6.6 -4.3 30% +28.6 +34.6 -40.6 +39 +18 +20 +0 -4.06 -0.078 +37.3 +3.73 +50.3 +5.03 67 6.7 -13.5 -1.35 22% 36% 43% 0% 0.526 5
Jeff Greenberg DET 2024–present 3 +3.0 ±7.1 3.50 7.3 -4.1 46% +10.5 +12.5 +5.4 +65 +18 +2 +0 +1.81 +0.037 +24.2 +8.08 -0.9 -0.31 13 4.3 +5.1 +1.71 78% 22% 0% 0% 0.521 2
Alex Anthopoulos ATL TOR 2010–2015, 2018–present 15 +2.8 ±4.1 3.04 6.7 -4.7 33% +47.7 +70.7 -57.8 +26 +6 +6 +7 -3.85 -0.076 +114.2 +7.61 -33.4 -2.22 88 5.9 -33.5 -2.23 37% 34% 28% 0% 0.542 8 1 1
Derek Falvey MIN 2017–present 10 +2.8 ±4.9 3.15 6.3 -4.2 26% +42.9 +18.1 +36.3 +46 +22 +12 +6 +3.63 +0.071 +56.2 +5.62 -2.7 -0.27 52 5.2 -26.3 -2.63 39% 37% 24% 0% 0.507 4
Preston Mattingly PHI 2025–present 2 +2.1 ±7.8 4.02 7.0 -3.5 21% +4.0 +5.6 -40.6 +33 -6 +32 +2 -20.28 -0.483 -1.2 -0.59 +0.8 +0.41 7 3.5 -5.9 -2.94 0% 32% 68% 0% 0.571 1
Jed Hoyer BOS CHC SDP 2006–2006, 2010–present 18 +1.9 ±3.8 2.74 7.0 -4.7 31% +24.8 +11.5 -120.3 +30 +15 +12 +2 -6.68 -0.137 +163.5 +9.08 +12.1 +0.67 109 6.1 -37.2 -2.07 36% 30% 33% 1% 0.513 6 1 1
Craig Breslow BOS 2024–present 3 +1.7 ±7.1 2.72 7.3 -4.3 39% +16.6 +6.0 -3.2 +32 +15 +3 +0 -1.07 -0.020 +8.5 +2.82 +2.3 +0.75 23 7.7 +1.6 +0.54 23% 39% 38% 0% 0.523 1
Dave Dombrowski BOS DET MIA PHI WSN 1989–2019, 2021–present 36 +1.3 ±2.7 2.53 6.8 -4.8 30% +24.3 -25.0 -318.7 +20 +8 +9 +2 -8.85 -0.224 +335.7 +9.32 +26.7 +0.74 206 5.7 -50.5 -1.40 36% 27% 37% 0% 0.504 13 5 2
Scott Harris DET SFG 2019–present 8 +1.3 ±5.4 2.72 5.8 -4.8 36% +2.5 +22.6 -39.3 +44 +15 +10 +1 -4.91 -0.092 +37.2 +4.65 +2.8 +0.35 45 5.6 -16.1 -2.01 34% 58% 8% 0% 0.524 3
Brian Cashman NYY 1999–present 28 +1.2 ±3.1 3.82 9.0 -4.0 23% +64.3 +96.4 -898.5 +19 +8 +7 +3 -32.09 -0.746 +326.4 +11.66 -16.9 -0.60 166 5.9 -84.5 -3.02 42% 43% 15% 0% 0.580 22 6 3
Jerry Dipoto ANA ARI SEA 2010–present 17 +0.8 ±3.9 2.44 6.6 -4.9 35% +16.3 +34.7 -71.7 +43 +24 +10 +2 -4.22 -0.085 +138.2 +8.13 +37.9 +2.23 132 7.8 -124.7 -7.34 44% 10% 47% 0% 0.518 3
Dana Brown HOU 2023–present 4 +0.7 ±6.5 3.79 7.2 -4.4 29% -4.0 +3.3 -55.6 +40 +8 +7 +0 -13.89 -0.271 +3.3 +0.83 +3.9 +0.96 20 5.0 -3.1 -0.79 17% 69% 14% 0% 0.536 2
Jeremy Zoll MIN 2025–present 2 +0.6 ±7.8 1.50 3.0 -5.5 29% +7.2 -2.2 +14.2 +38 +9 +18 +0 +7.12 +0.141 +4.8 +2.38 -3.6 -1.82 17 8.5 +0.8 +0.38 63% 8% 29% 0% 0.453
David Forst OAK 2016–present 11 +0.3 ±4.7 2.60 4.9 -6.2 56% -2.9 +14.1 +57.5 +39 +14 +14 +0 +5.23 +0.101 +49.0 +4.46 +1.4 +0.13 67 6.1 -74.0 -6.73 48% 10% 42% 0% 0.468 3
J.J. Picollo KCR 2021–present 6 +0.3 ±5.7 1.84 3.8 -5.8 44% -22.8 -32.2 -5.3 +35 +11 -2 +0 -0.89 -0.018 +61.4 +10.24 +0.6 +0.09 35 5.8 +6.9 +1.14 75% 19% 6% 0% 0.444 1
Ross Atkins TOR 2016–present 11 +0.3 ±4.7 2.93 6.6 -4.9 35% -6.0 -14.0 -110.0 +18 +11 -1 +5 -10.00 -0.186 +71.0 +6.46 +22.4 +2.03 69 6.3 -4.9 -0.45 38% 40% 23% 0% 0.508 5 1
Mike Hazen ARI BOS 2015–2015, 2017–present 11 -0.0 ±4.7 2.63 6.3 -5.9 42% -2.7 -3.3 -27.5 +33 +5 +19 +2 -2.50 -0.049 +56.1 +5.10 -15.1 -1.38 61 5.5 -10.7 -0.97 43% 29% 28% 0% 0.491 2 1
Carter Hawkins CHC 2021–present 6 -0.2 ±5.7 2.80 7.0 -5.5 31% -6.9 -10.2 -59.1 +29 +14 +7 +1 -9.84 -0.175 +43.8 +7.30 -9.7 -1.62 38 6.3 +4.2 +0.70 47% 46% 6% 0% 0.505 1
Buster Posey SFG 2025–present 2 -0.3 ±7.8 0.51 5.0 -4.3 18% -13.2 -11.5 -21.4 +25 +5 -10 +0 -10.72 -0.210 +0.3 +0.15 +2.8 +1.40 8 4.0 +5.9 +2.94 4% 64% 32% 1% 0.468
Zack Minasian SFG 2025–present 2 -0.3 ±7.8 0.51 5.0 -4.3 18% -13.2 -11.5 -21.4 +25 +5 -10 +0 -10.72 -0.210 +0.3 +0.15 +2.8 +1.40 8 4.0 +5.9 +2.94 4% 64% 32% 1% 0.468
Ross Fenstermaker TEX 2025–present 2 -0.7 ±7.8 2.11 5.0 -3.6 19% -1.2 -6.5 -28.1 +50 +8 -2 +0 -14.05 -0.302 -0.6 -0.30 -1.5 -0.75 10 5.0 -3.8 -1.88 0% 100% 0% 0% 0.502
Mike Girsch STL 2018–present 9 -1.0 ±5.2 2.26 6.0 -4.0 33% +6.9 +19.8 -55.4 +37 +17 +2 +1 -6.16 -0.135 +63.9 +7.10 -0.2 -0.02 37 4.1 -21.9 -2.43 48% 16% 36% 0% 0.522 4
Josh Byrnes ARI COL SDP 2006–2010, 2012–2014, 2026–present 9 -1.1 ±4.9 0.49 5.0 -5.8 42% -20.2 -10.7 +12.7 +20 +10 +8 +2 +1.41 +0.036 +88.1 +9.79 -92.0 -10.23 53 5.9 -12.4 -1.38 55% 14% 31% 0% 0.467 1
AJ Preller SDP 2015–present 12 -1.2 ±4.6 2.36 5.6 -4.8 36% -18.0 -22.7 -71.3 +26 +4 +17 +3 -5.94 -0.117 +44.7 +3.73 +3.3 +0.27 79 6.6 -31.3 -2.61 20% 36% 43% 0% 0.488 4
Chris Young TEX 2021–present 6 -1.4 ±5.7 1.98 5.8 -5.2 31% -14.6 -36.8 -74.5 +34 +3 +13 +1 -12.41 -0.243 +32.2 +5.37 +3.1 +0.52 35 5.8 +47.3 +7.89 28% 65% 8% 0% 0.470 1 1 1
Nick Krall CIN 2018–present 9 -2.1 ±5.2 1.14 4.8 -5.8 55% -27.8 -16.5 -14.7 +31 +8 +7 +1 -1.64 -0.031 +71.1 +7.90 -12.4 -1.37 53 5.9 -45.9 -5.10 71% 25% 4% 0% 0.469 2
Chaim Bloom BOS STL 2020–2023, 2026–present 5 -2.4 ±6.5 1.53 3.8 -4.8 35% -5.5 +1.6 -47.7 +19 +4 +5 +3 -9.53 -0.192 +25.3 +5.06 +12.0 +2.41 38 7.6 -45.0 -9.00 34% 33% 24% 10% 0.499 1
Ben Cherington BOS PIT 2006–2006, 2012–2015, 2020–present 12 -4.2 ±4.6 1.81 5.2 -6.6 45% -38.8 -42.7 -99.4 +19 +3 +4 +1 -8.28 -0.158 +74.6 +6.22 +17.7 +1.47 83 6.9 -14.5 -1.21 42% 23% 36% 0% 0.459 1 1 1
Chris Getz CHW 2024–present 3 -5.8 ±7.1 0.78 3.7 -8.7 67% -24.9 -43.0 -17.1 +17 +3 -5 -3 -5.72 -0.099 +18.1 +6.03 +4.8 +1.59 21 7.0 -11.2 -3.72 60% 0% 39% 1% 0.364
Perry Minasian ANA 2021–present 6 -7.7 ±5.7 0.46 4.5 -8.3 44% -79.4 -72.1 -129.0 +28 +8 +1 +0 -21.51 -0.351 +20.0 +3.33 -11.8 -1.97 30 5.0 -33.1 -5.51 70% 23% 6% 0% 0.437
Anirudh Kilambi WSN 2026–present 1 1.62 3.0 -5.1 40% +10.9 +8.7 +11.8 +91 +0 +23 +4 +11.84 +0.289 -0.0 -0.03 +1.5 +1.50 5 5.0 -1.5 -1.49 0% 0% 100% 0% 0.500
Gabe Kapler MIA 2026–present 1 1.80 4.0 -2.5 46% +14.0 +7.4 +14.0 +101 -2 +41 +0 +14.04 +0.351 +0.0 +0.00 -1.1 -1.09 5 5.0 +0.2 +0.18 0% 100% 0% 0% 0.500
Paul Toboni WSN 2026–present 1 1.62 3.0 -5.1 40% +10.9 +8.7 +11.8 +91 +0 +23 +4 +11.84 +0.289 -0.0 -0.03 +1.5 +1.50 5 5.0 -1.5 -1.49 0% 0% 100% 0% 0.500

GM WAR (default sort) = wins above a replacement GM — an average front office getting the expected return on the same budget — in wins per season. It's the org-adjusted, shrunk version of TAB/yr: a crossed model estimates franchise and GM effects jointly, removes the franchise baseline the GM inherited, and shrinks short tenures toward 0; the ± is the 95% band and bold = distinguishable from an average GM. So +5 ≈ five wins of talent-above-budget a season that's attributable to him, net of the org. '–' = never the head of baseball ops for a completed season (served under a POBO, or hired too recently). TAB = talent above budget (tenure total; year-to-year ≈+0.47) — GM WAR is its org-cleaned per-season rate. WAB = realized wins above budget — TAB plus the non-repeatable luck of turning talent into wins (the scoreboard anchor, not a skill metric). WAR surplus = era-neutral value per dollar (wins minus payroll in win-equivalents). The build channels show how the value was sourced, all in realized fWAR: HG = home-grown (amateur draft + international signing — your farm's output); Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waiver claims); FA = value from free agents signed minus value of FAs who walked. Each has a per-season rate next to it. The four % columns are each channel's share of gross-positive acquired fWAR (Draft + FA + Trade + R5 ≈ 100%), where R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league draft pickups (split out from trades). Acq Lev (Acquisition Leverage) = each acquisition's fair share of the playoff-odds boost its season's deals bought over the roster already on hand, in its arrival year — graded once per deal (the repeatable decision skill; stickiness ≈+0.74, predicts the World Series out of sample). It rides an S-curve in roster WAR, steepest near the ~45-WAR threshold. All are franchise-level outcomes credited to whoever ran baseball ops in the acquisition year — home-grown to the GM at the player's draft/signing, trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move (so e.g. a star drafted under a prior regime is credited to that regime, not whoever was in the chair when he peaked).