RRosternomics

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Amiel Sawdaye

Red Sox

2010–2014 · 5 drafts · 228 picks

Early-Round Selection
+2.9
#59 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-4.5
#80 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+5.1
#58 of 172
+1.01/draft
Hitter DVOS
+71.4
#37 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
109
#66 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF578 +71.2
IF1314 +1.9
C21 -1.7
P2816 -15.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2011172Mookie BettsOF 64.00.8 +63.2
201140Jackie Bradley Jr.OF 13.92.9 +11.0
2013773Mauricio Dubón2B 8.50.1 +8.5
2011292Travis Shaw3B 8.20.5 +7.7
201119Matt BarnesP 5.26.0 -0.8
2013563Gabe SpeierP 2.60.2 +2.3
2014374Jalen BeeksP 2.50.3 +2.2
2012151Ty ButtreyP 2.20.8 +1.4
201057Brandon WorkmanP 2.21.8 +0.4
201433Michael KopechP 2.12.9 -0.7
2012421J.B. WendelkenP 1.00.2 +0.8
201126Blake SwihartC 0.62.2 -1.6
201231Brian JohnsonP 0.52.9 -2.4
201136Henry OwensP 0.42.9 -2.4
2011142Noé RamirezP 0.30.8 -0.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2010520.5 22.7-22.2
20115391.8 24.2+67.6
2012422.4 20.0-17.7
20134010.9 21.3-10.4
2014413.4 15.7-12.3
Total228 109 +5.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.