RRosternomics

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Billy Gasparino

Dodgers, Padres

2013–2021 · 9 drafts · 311 picks

Early-Round Selection
+48.0
#5 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-6.5
#89 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+20.3
#49 of 172
+2.26/draft
Hitter DVOS
+67.8
#39 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
170
#43 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1263 +41.0
P4463 +22.9
C425 +20.3
OF1320 +6.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201413Trea TurnerSS 48.27.9 +40.3
201632Will SmithC 23.42.9 +20.6
201524Walker BuehlerP 15.95.0 +10.9
201313Hunter RenfroeOF 9.37.9 +1.4
2016431Dean KremerP 7.60.2 +7.3
201931Michael Busch1B 6.92.9 +4.1
2016101Dustin MayP 6.71.0 +5.7
2016281Tony GonsolinP 6.30.5 +5.8
20161001Zach McKinstry3B 5.90.1 +5.9
201620Gavin Lux2B 5.76.0 -0.3
2016221Luke RaleyOF 4.90.5 +4.4
2019102Ryan PepiotP 4.31.0 +3.2
2021342Justin WrobleskiP 3.90.3 +3.7
2021192Emmet SheehanP 3.70.8 +2.9
2018224James OutmanOF 3.10.5 +2.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20134111.8 21.8-10.0
20144048.1 19.4+28.8
20154215.1 20.3-5.2
20164262.1 22.2+39.9
201740-1.1 16.1-17.1
2018407.5 12.8-5.3
20194114.5 18.4-3.9
202063.7 8.8-5.2
2021198.3 9.8-1.5
Total311 170 +20.3

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.