Rosternomics

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Brad Grant

Guardians

2008–2017 · 10 drafts · 443 picks

Early-Round Selection
+25.3
#18 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-6.8
#92 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+25.7
#45 of 172
+2.57/draft
Hitter DVOS
+74.5
#34 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
206
#34 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF20103 +84.2
P6476 +39.5
C414 +11.9
OF1613 -21.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20118Francisco LindorSS 60.99.2 +51.8
2016122Shane BieberP 21.81.0 +20.8
200963Jason Kipnis2B 21.01.8 +19.2
20105Drew PomeranzP 11.28.9 +2.3
20081011Roberto PérezC 10.70.1 +10.6
201692Aaron CivaleP 9.11.0 +8.0
2012203Joey Wendle2B 9.10.8 +8.3
200829Lonnie Chisenhall3B 8.02.2 +5.8
2011698Cody AllenP 6.80.1 +6.8
2017132Ernie Clement2B 6.60.8 +5.8
2011548Shawn ArmstrongP 4.70.2 +4.4
201542Triston McKenzieP 4.32.3 +1.9
2016362Zach PlesacP 4.10.3 +3.8
201215Tyler NaquinOF 3.65.7 -2.2
2015214Nathan LukesOF 3.00.8 +2.2

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20085019.6 13.3+6.3
20095019.9 17.3+2.5
20105012.4 20.9-8.5
20115075.8 20.9+55.0
20124012.9 16.2-3.4
2013392.3 19.4-17.1
2014429.0 21.6-12.6
2015417.1 19.3-12.2
20164138.1 18.6+19.4
2017408.5 12.3-3.9
Total443 206 +25.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.