RRosternomics

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Brian Parker

Blue Jays

2013–2016 · 4 drafts · 162 picks

Early-Round Selection
+4.0
#54 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+1.9
#46 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+2.0
#63 of 172
+0.51/draft
Hitter DVOS
+39.9
#59 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
80
#81 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF427 +23.9
C310 +10.0
OF48 +6.0
P3035 -0.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201666Bo BichetteSS 20.91.9 +19.0
2013175Matthew BoydP 16.00.8 +15.2
2013475Danny JansenC 10.50.2 +10.3
2014144Lane ThomasOF 7.30.8 +6.5
2016162Cavan Biggio2B 5.80.8 +5.0
2013235Kendall GravemanP 4.90.5 +4.4
20149Jeff HoffmanP 4.77.9 -3.1
2014294Jordan RomanoP 3.80.5 +3.3
2013355Tim MayzaP 3.30.3 +3.0
2013385Tim LocastroOF 1.50.3 +1.2
2016102Zach JacksonP 1.31.0 +0.3
2016462Josh WinckowskiP 1.20.2 +0.9
201449Sean Reid-FoleyP 1.02.4 -1.4
2013205Conner GreeneP 0.40.8 -0.4
2015242Danny YoungP 0.30.5 -0.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20134036.3 19.9+16.4
20144116.4 27.8-11.4
2015400.1 13.3-13.3
20164127.6 17.4+10.3
Total162 80 +2.0

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.