RRosternomics

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Deric Ladnier

Diamondbacks, Astros, Royals

2001–2008, 2015–2019, 2021, 2024–present · 15 drafts · 652 picks

Early-Round Selection
-14.8
#138 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-35.2
#168 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-60.0
#153 of 172
-4.00/draft
Hitter DVOS
+35.2
#68 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
310
#12 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P48140 +65.1
OF1490 +54.0
C30 -2.1
IF2381 -16.7

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20026Zack GreinkeP 72.312.8 +59.5
20052Alex GordonOF 31.414.2 +17.2
20151Dansby SwansonSS 31.023.5 +7.4
201916Corbin CarrollOF 21.05.8 +15.2
200796Danny DuffyP 16.31.1 +15.2
20072Mike Moustakas3B 15.214.2 +1.0
201768Daulton VarshoOF 14.61.9 +12.7
2007306Greg HollandP 11.80.3 +11.5
20061475Jarrod DysonOF 11.70.1 +11.6
20083Eric Hosmer1B 11.011.1 -0.1
20061Luke HochevarP 8.923.5 -14.7
201839Jake McCarthyOF 7.32.9 +4.4
2017202José Caballero2B 6.50.8 +5.7
200414Billy Butler1B 6.35.8 +0.5
201956Ryne NelsonP 5.21.8 +3.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
200150-0.4 19.9-20.3
20025072.6 26.3+46.3
2003513.1 24.7-21.5
20045311.6 24.7-13.1
20055030.6 26.8+3.8
20065021.2 37.0-15.8
20075050.5 25.9+24.5
20085118.2 27.4-9.3
20154031.8 36.5-4.7
2016404.7 14.3-9.6
20174120.8 23.2-2.4
20184112.9 18.9-6.0
20194528.9 28.6+0.3
2021214.1 26.4-22.3
2024190.0 9.8-9.8
Total652 310 -60.0

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.