RRosternomics

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Julian Mock

Reds

1990–1997 · 8 drafts · 359 picks

Early-Round Selection
-18.5
#155 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-30.2
#164 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-79.9
#166 of 172
-9.99/draft
Hitter DVOS
-7.2
#145 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
76
#85 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2537 +15.8
C326 +15.6
IF1113 -4.2
OF11-0 -18.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199554Brett TomkoP 16.41.8 +14.5
19907Dan WilsonC 14.39.2 +5.0
199472Aaron Boone3B 10.01.9 +8.1
1995139Jason LaRueC 9.30.8 +8.5
1997278Scott WilliamsonP 7.50.5 +7.1
199120Pokey Reese2B 6.66.0 +0.6
199362Scott SullivanP 3.41.8 +1.6
1993148Paul BakoC 2.80.8 +2.0
1992633Chad FoxP 2.10.1 +2.0
1995223Ray KingP 1.70.5 +1.2
1997158Dewayne WiseOF 1.40.8 +0.6
1994604John RiedlingP 1.20.1 +1.1
1995447Lance DavisP 1.20.2 +0.9
199638Buddy CarlyleP 0.92.9 -1.9
1990210Larry LuebbersP 0.90.8 +0.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19903915.3 23.2-7.9
1991527.1 18.6-11.5
1992510.9 25.2-24.3
1993445.1 15.8-10.7
19944711.9 22.1-10.2
19954328.2 12.0+16.2
1996430.9 22.2-21.3
1997406.7 17.0-10.3
Total359 76 -79.9

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.