RRosternomics

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Kip Fagg

Rangers

2010–present · 15 drafts · 510 picks

Early-Round Selection
-30.0
#167 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-16.7
#143 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-125.8
#171 of 172
-8.39/draft
Hitter DVOS
-7.3
#146 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
144
#51 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P6894 +10.2
C411 +8.2
IF1621 -7.6
OF1418 -7.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2011264Kyle HendricksP 26.20.5 +25.8
201239Joey GalloOF 13.22.9 +10.3
2011564Nick MartinezP 9.60.2 +9.4
201630Cole RagansP 9.12.2 +6.9
20234Wyatt LangfordOF 9.110.4 -1.3
2013130Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS 8.31.0 +7.2
2014186Jose TrevinoC 8.10.8 +7.3
2015198Dylan Moore2B 7.80.8 +7.0
20198Josh Jung3B 7.59.2 -1.8
2015888Jeffrey SpringsP 5.90.1 +5.9
2015258Pete FairbanksP 5.40.5 +5.0
2011474Jerad EickhoffP 5.00.2 +4.7
2012396Keone KelaP 4.00.3 +3.7
202050Evan CarterOF 3.92.4 +1.5
2010826Alex ClaudioP 3.20.1 +3.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2010534.0 26.7-22.7
20115142.9 16.0+26.9
20124313.8 17.3-3.5
2013406.4 18.2-11.9
20144012.4 13.3-0.9
20154020.3 23.3-3.0
20164010.5 13.3-2.9
2017412.8 15.1-12.3
2018400.6 17.3-16.7
20194110.6 23.6-13.0
202054.1 11.1-6.9
2021204.7 26.4-21.8
2022181.8 18.6-16.8
2023189.1 17.9-8.8
2024200.0 11.6-11.6
Total510 144 -125.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.