Rosternomics

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Marc Gustafson

Rockies

2015–2017 · 3 drafts · 123 picks

Early-Round Selection
-15.0
#141 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-6.5
#90 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-59.6
#152 of 172
-19.88/draft
Hitter DVOS
-18.2
#165 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
8
#147 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
C10 -0.7
OF31 -1.7
P96 -12.1
IF60 -15.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2016320Bryan BakerP 3.20.3 +2.9
20153Brendan Rodgers2B 2.511.0 -8.5
201544Peter LambertP 1.62.3 -0.7
2015437Sam HilliardOF 1.30.2 +1.1
2015347Justin LawrenceP 1.10.3 +0.8
201681Garrett Hampson2B 1.01.0 -0.1
2017206Lucas GilbreathP 0.60.8 -0.2
2016890Rico GarciaP 0.40.1 +0.3
2016140Brian ServenC 0.10.8 -0.7
2017266Sean BouchardOF 0.10.5 -0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2015425.1 28.9-23.8
2016414.0 25.2-21.2
201740-0.9 13.8-14.7
Total123 8 -59.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.