Rosternomics

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Mark Conner

Tigers, Padres

2015–2017, 2020–2021, 2023–present Β· 7 drafts Β· 192 picks

Early-Round Selection
-5.2
#88 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+11.2
#29 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-55.1
#148 of 172
-7.87/draft
Hitter DVOS
+2.9
#107 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
96
#75 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2955 +14.5
IF917 +12.8
C31 -4.6
OF1123 -5.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202127Jackson MerrillOF 12.32.2 +10.1
20151017Ty France1B 11.60.1 +11.6
20173MacKenzie GoreP 10.911.3 -0.4
20161044David BednarP 8.60.1 +8.5
20168Cal QuantrillP 8.69.3 -0.7
202162James WoodOF 8.41.8 +6.6
2015207Trevor MegillP 5.80.8 +5.0
201625Eric LauerP 5.85.0 +0.8
202337Kevin McGonigle3B 5.12.9 +2.3
2016114Joey LucchesiP 3.91.0 +2.9
2017468Joey CantilloP 3.80.2 +3.5
2015597Phil MatonP 3.20.2 +3.0
2016444Jack SuwinskiOF 2.00.2 +1.8
202171Robert GasserP 1.81.9 -0.1
201739Luis CampusanoC 1.62.9 -1.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20153920.2 11.6+8.6
20164329.0 33.4-4.4
20174117.5 26.7-9.2
20206-1.0 18.4-19.4
20212124.0 14.2+9.7
2023216.5 26.0-19.6
2024210.0 20.9-20.9
Total192 96– -55.1

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.