Rosternomics

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Matt Dorey

Cubs

2014–2019 · 6 drafts · 241 picks

Early-Round Selection
+4.6
#51 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-22.1
#153 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+7.0
#57 of 172
+1.17/draft
Hitter DVOS
+37.2
#63 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
106
#69 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1243 +25.2
P2741 +22.2
OF422 +12.3
C30 -0.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20144Kyle SchwarberDH 23.610.3 +13.3
2014169Dylan CeaseP 23.10.8 +22.3
20159Ian HappOF 22.47.8 +14.6
201824Nico Hoerner2B 21.34.9 +16.4
2014139Justin SteeleP 10.20.8 +9.4
2017195Jeremiah EstradaP 2.50.8 +1.7
2019252DJ HerzP 1.70.5 +1.2
2019912Bryan KingP 1.50.1 +1.5
2015443Scott EffrossP 1.40.2 +1.2
201582Bryan HudsonP 1.41.0 +0.4
201730Alex LangeP 1.02.2 -1.2
2017105Keegan ThompsonP 0.81.0 -0.2
2017165Nelson VelázquezDH 0.70.8 -0.1
2017465Jared Young1B 0.40.2 +0.1
2014199James NorwoodP 0.30.8 -0.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20144056.8 23.2+33.6
20154024.5 19.8+4.7
201638-2.2 8.7-10.8
2017412.7 14.9-12.2
20184220.6 19.7+0.9
2019403.5 12.6-9.1
Total241 106 +7.0

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.