RRosternomics

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Michael Holmes

Giants

2019–present · 6 drafts · 126 picks

Early-Round Selection
-7.0
#102 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.6
#110 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-71.4
#161 of 172
-11.91/draft
Hitter DVOS
-1.9
#126 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
27
#131 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
C211 +2.5
P129 +1.3
OF30 -1.6
IF46 -2.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202013Patrick BaileyC 10.67.9 +2.7
2021356Landen RouppP 4.00.3 +3.7
202085Kyle HarrisonP 3.41.1 +2.3
2019116Tyler Fitzgerald2B 3.31.0 +2.3
202049Casey Schmitt2B 2.52.4 +0.1
2022136Spencer MilesP 1.10.8 +0.3
2019326Trevor McDonaldP 1.10.3 +0.8
2022256Wade MecklerOF 0.80.5 +0.4
202316Bryce Eldridge1B 0.75.8 -5.1
2019686Taylor RashiP 0.40.1 +0.3
2019236Caleb KilianP 0.20.5 -0.3
2022196Hayden BirdsongP 0.10.8 -0.7
2022106William KempnerP 0.11.0 -1.0
2019776Nick AvilaP 0.00.1 -0.0
2023510Drew CavanaughC 0.00.2 -0.2

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2019404.2 19.3-15.1
2020716.4 17.0-0.5
2021203.5 16.7-13.2
2022201.7 11.7-10.0
2023210.7 18.0-17.3
2024180.0 15.4-15.4
Total126 27 -71.4

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.