Rosternomics

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Mike Arbuckle

Phillies

1993–2000 · 8 drafts · 369 picks

Early-Round Selection
+28.0
#15 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-17.0
#144 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+150.2
#2 of 172
+18.77/draft
Hitter DVOS
+188.6
#2 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
334
#7 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF9200 +184.3
P2682 +38.4
OF849 +2.4
C22 +1.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199346Scott Rolen3B 69.92.3 +67.5
200015Chase Utley2B 61.55.7 +55.8
199646Jimmy RollinsSS 49.72.3 +47.3
199754Randy WolfP 29.91.8 +28.1
1999306Marlon ByrdOF 22.10.3 +21.8
19981Pat BurrellOF 19.023.4 -4.3
199912Brett MyersP 17.37.8 +9.5
1998614Nick Punto2B 15.10.1 +15.1
199611Adam EatonP 12.77.8 +4.8
1998254Ryan MadsonP 12.20.5 +11.7
1998104Jason MichaelsOF 9.11.0 +8.1
199542Marlon Anderson2B 5.82.3 +3.4
2000175Taylor BuchholzP 3.10.8 +2.4
1997506Johnny EstradaC 2.40.2 +2.2
199530David CogginP 1.92.2 -0.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19934272.4 24.0+48.4
199453-1.0 17.3-18.3
1995548.0 22.4-14.4
19965062.3 21.2+41.1
19974433.6 25.7+8.0
19984455.7 38.7+16.9
19994439.2 19.1+20.1
20003863.7 15.3+48.4
Total369 334 +150.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.