RRosternomics

← all scouting directors

Mike Shirley

White Sox

2021–present · 4 drafts · 81 picks

Early-Round Selection
-4.8
#86 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-10.3
#123 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-50.6
#145 of 172
-12.64/draft
Hitter DVOS
-6.0
#139 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
15
#141 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF31 -0.1
P78 -1.0
IF35 -5.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202122Colson MontgomerySS 5.25.0 +0.2
202194Sean BurkeP 3.31.1 +2.3
202351Grant TaylorP 3.31.8 +1.4
2024140Sam AntonacciOF 1.50.8 +0.7
2022101Jonathan CannonP 1.41.0 +0.4
202315Jacob Gonzalez1B 0.55.8 -5.2
202226Noah SchultzP 0.12.2 -2.1
2022161Tyler SchweitzerP 0.10.8 -0.7
2021245Fraser EllardP 0.10.5 -0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2021208.6 14.9-6.4
2022200.9 11.6-10.7
2023203.7 16.1-12.4
2024211.5 22.6-21.1
Total81 15 -50.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.