RRosternomics

← all scouting directors

Paul Toboni

Red Sox

2020–2022 · 3 drafts · 45 picks

Early-Round Selection
-7.7
#107 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-5.4
#87 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-38.9
#130 of 172
-12.97/draft
Hitter DVOS
-14.4
#162 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
10
#144 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P64 +0.2
IF66 -14.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2022129Chase Meidroth2B 3.61.0 +2.6
202279Roman AnthonyDH 3.01.9 +1.1
2020148Shane DrohanP 1.90.8 +1.1
2021226Hunter DobbinsP 1.40.5 +0.9
20214Marcelo Mayer2B 0.310.4 -10.1
2021496Luis GuerreroP 0.30.2 +0.1
2022189Alex HoppeP 0.30.8 -0.5
202089Blaze Jordan3B 0.11.1 -0.9
2021105Elmer RodríguezP 0.01.0 -1.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
202041.7 8.9-7.1
2021201.4 22.7-21.3
2022216.9 17.4-10.5
Total45 10 -38.9

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.