Rosternomics

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Rob Metzler

Rays

2016–2022 · 7 drafts · 216 picks

Early-Round Selection
-16.0
#144 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-9.3
#113 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-81.2
#167 of 172
-11.60/draft
Hitter DVOS
-7.7
#147 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
55
#100 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1012 +0.9
P3134 -4.3
OF59 -8.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2018210Joe RyanP 13.40.8 +12.7
2016390Nathaniel Lowe1B 11.10.3 +10.8
201831Shane McClanahanP 9.72.8 +6.8
2018150Taj BradleyP 5.40.8 +4.5
201613Josh LoweOF 4.17.8 -3.7
201677Jake FraleyOF 3.91.9 +2.0
201816Matthew LiberatoreP 3.35.7 -2.4
202163Kyle Manzardo1B 1.61.8 -0.2
202270Chandler SimpsonOF 1.41.9 -0.5
202057Ian SeymourP 1.21.8 -0.6
201779Taylor WallsSS 1.21.9 -0.7
2021191Mason MontgomeryP 0.90.8 +0.1
20174Brendan McKayP 0.810.3 -9.6
2017229Riley O'BrienP 0.60.5 +0.1
2019368Nick Sogard2B 0.40.3 +0.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20164118.9 21.1-2.2
2017411.9 26.5-24.6
20184331.6 24.6+7.0
201942-0.0 21.6-21.6
202060.3 12.4-12.2
2021211.3 14.5-13.2
2022221.0 15.3-14.3
Total216 55 -81.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.