Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Rob Metzler

Rays

2016โ€“2022 ยท 7 drafts ยท 216 picks

Early-Round Selection
-14.2
#137 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.2
#107 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-72.9
#163 of 172
-10.42/draft
Hitter DVOS
-3.6
#130 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
66
#90 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1014 +2.3
P3440 +0.2
C10 -0.1
OF512 -5.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2018210Joe RyanP 13.50.8 +12.7
2016390Nathaniel Lowe1B 11.20.3 +10.9
201831Shane McClanahanP 10.42.9 +7.6
2018150Taj BradleyP 6.70.8 +5.8
201613Josh LoweOF 5.38.0 -2.7
201816Matthew LiberatoreP 4.05.8 -1.9
201677Jake FraleyOF 4.01.9 +2.1
202270Chandler SimpsonOF 3.31.9 +1.4
2021191Mason MontgomeryP 2.60.8 +1.8
202057Ian SeymourP 2.51.8 +0.7
2019368Nick Sogard2B 1.50.3 +1.2
201779Taylor WallsSS 1.41.9 -0.6
202163Kyle Manzardo1B 1.01.8 -0.8
20174Brendan McKayP 0.810.4 -9.7
2022344Drew SommersP 0.60.3 +0.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20164119.9 21.5-1.6
2017411.6 26.8-25.3
20184334.6 25.1+9.5
2019420.7 22.0-21.3
202062.7 12.7-10.0
2021212.6 14.8-12.2
2022223.5 15.6-12.0
Total216 66โ€“ -72.9

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.