Rosternomics

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Sean Johnson

Twins

2017–present Β· 8 drafts Β· 209 picks

Early-Round Selection
-13.5
#132 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+3.8
#39 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-80.0
#165 of 172
-9.99/draft
Hitter DVOS
-20.5
#165 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
84
#80 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2636 +19.1
C211 +9.1
OF83 -10.7
IF1034 -18.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201859Ryan JeffersC 11.01.8 +9.1
2017346Bailey OberP 10.20.3 +9.9
201735Brent RookerDH 8.42.9 +5.5
2017466Cade SmithP 7.60.2 +7.3
201990Spencer Steer1B 5.71.1 +4.6
20171Royce Lewis3B 5.523.7 -18.2
201820Trevor LarnachDH 5.06.0 -1.0
2019449Louis VarlandP 4.30.2 +4.0
201939Matt WallnerOF 4.22.9 +1.4
202349Luke Keaschall2B 4.02.4 +1.6
20228Brooks Lee3B 2.49.3 -6.9
2017286Calvin FaucherP 2.20.5 +1.7
202198Cade PovichP 2.11.1 +1.1
2019269Brent HeadrickP 2.00.5 +1.6
2018154Cole SandsP 1.80.8 +1.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20174133.3 40.1-6.8
20183918.8 16.2+2.6
20194117.4 22.5-5.1
20204-0.1 6.0-6.0
2021213.0 15.2-12.2
2022206.8 21.2-14.3
2023213.9 22.9-19.0
2024220.7 19.9-19.1
Total209 84– -80.0

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.