Rosternomics

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Sean Johnson

Twins

2017–present · 8 drafts · 209 picks

Early-Round Selection
-21.1
#163 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+1.8
#45 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-92.6
#168 of 172
-11.58/draft
Hitter DVOS
-13.2
#157 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
68
#87 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2429 +13.8
C210 +8.2
OF64 -0.9
IF825 -20.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201859Ryan JeffersC 10.11.8 +8.3
2017346Bailey OberP 9.50.3 +9.2
201735Brent RookerDH 8.72.8 +5.9
2017466Cade SmithP 6.90.2 +6.7
201990Spencer Steer1B 5.61.0 +4.6
20171Royce Lewis3B 4.623.4 -18.8
201939Matt WallnerOF 4.22.8 +1.4
201820Trevor LarnachDH 3.75.9 -2.2
2019449Louis VarlandP 2.80.2 +2.6
2018154Cole SandsP 2.10.8 +1.2
202198Cade PovichP 1.81.0 +0.8
202349Luke Keaschall2B 1.82.3 -0.6
2022234Zebby MatthewsP 1.50.5 +1.0
2017286Calvin FaucherP 1.40.5 +0.9
2021399David FestaP 1.40.3 +1.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20174130.9 39.5-8.6
20183916.1 15.9+0.2
20194114.7 22.0-7.4
202040.0 5.8-5.8
2021211.8 14.9-13.1
2022203.1 20.8-17.7
2023211.8 22.6-20.8
2024220.0 19.5-19.5
Total209 68 -92.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.