RRosternomics

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Tony Demacio

Braves, Orioles

1999–2004, 2010–2014 · 11 drafts · 516 picks

Early-Round Selection
+3.3
#58 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-24.6
#159 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-31.0
#118 of 172
-2.82/draft
Hitter DVOS
+89.8
#27 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
193
#36 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1885 +67.0
P4059 +20.2
C418 +15.5
OF1131 +7.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199950Brian Roberts2B 29.62.4 +27.3
20037Nick MarkakisOF 28.89.2 +19.6
201070Andrelton SimmonsSS 25.51.9 +23.6
1999187Erik BedardP 23.50.8 +22.7
201285Alex WoodP 17.11.1 +16.0
201185Nick AhmedSS 13.31.1 +12.3
2010704Evan GattisC 9.60.1 +9.5
201365Victor CaratiniC 7.31.8 +5.5
2001143Jim JohnsonP 6.00.8 +5.2
2002166John MaineP 5.30.8 +4.5
2010404Brandon Drury2B 5.30.2 +5.0
200119Mike Fontenot2B 4.96.0 -1.1
2011266Tommy La Stella2B 4.60.5 +4.1
1999727Willie Harris2B 3.50.1 +3.5
2004109Brad BergesenP 2.71.0 +1.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19995358.4 39.4+19.0
2000430.3 19.5-19.1
20015013.1 28.2-15.2
2002504.9 23.9-19.1
20035028.5 22.7+5.8
2004493.7 20.4-16.6
20105139.6 15.8+23.7
20115017.3 12.5+4.7
20124019.1 14.7+4.4
2013406.6 13.4-6.7
2014401.5 13.5-12.0
Total516 193 -31.0

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.