RRosternomics
𝕏

Angels ANA

‹ ›

GM: Bill Stoneman

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.94× league · TAB +11.9
+11.9TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+17.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)3rd/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-1.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag3rd/30
9%dead money %3rd/30
0.611win %4th/30
45.4roster fWAR7th/30
+8surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$62Mpayroll $M15th/30

2002: World Series champions · 99–63. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFDarin Erstad 143GJulio Ramirez 15GGarret Anderson 14G
LFGarret Anderson 137GOrlando Palmeiro 33GAlex Ochoa 25G
RFTim Salmon 111GAlex Ochoa 92GOrlando Palmeiro 47G
SSDavid Eckstein 147GBenji Gil 14GJose Nieves 13G
2BAdam Kennedy 139GBenji Gil 26GJose Nieves 18G
3BTroy Glaus 156GScott Spiezio 20GJose Nieves 5G
1BScott Spiezio 143GBrad Fullmer 29GShawn Wooten 16G
STARTERSJarrod Washburn 4.2WARKevin Appier 2.6WARJohn Lackey 1.9WARRamón Ortiz 1.5WARAaron Sele 1.3WAR
CBengie Molina 121GJosé Molina 29GShawn Wooten 2G
DHBrad Fullmer 90GTim Salmon 21GShawn Wooten 18G
BULLPEN★ Troy Percival 40svBen Weber 18hBrendan Donnelly 13hAl Levine 9hDennis Cook 7hScot Shields 3hLou Pote 1hDonne Wall 0h
CBengie Molina 121 · José Molina 29 · Shawn Wooten 2
1BScott Spiezio 143 · Brad Fullmer 29 · Shawn Wooten 16
2BAdam Kennedy 139 · Benji Gil 26 · Jose Nieves 18
3BTroy Glaus 156 · Scott Spiezio 20 · Jose Nieves 5
SSDavid Eckstein 147 · Benji Gil 14 · Jose Nieves 13
LFGarret Anderson 137 · Orlando Palmeiro 33 · Alex Ochoa 25
CFDarin Erstad 143 · Julio Ramirez 15 · Garret Anderson 14
RFTim Salmon 111 · Alex Ochoa 92 · Orlando Palmeiro 47
DHBrad Fullmer 90 · Tim Salmon 21 · Shawn Wooten 18
SPJarrod Washburn 4.2 · Kevin Appier 2.6 · John Lackey 1.9 · Ramón Ortiz 1.5 · Aaron Sele 1.3
BP★ Troy Percival 40 · Ben Weber 18 · Brendan Donnelly 13 · Al Levine 9 · Dennis Cook 7 · Scot Shields 3 · Lou Pote 1 · Donne Wall 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
David Eckstein 27 pre-arb 1524.5 0.3 +7.4
Jarrod Washburn 27 arb 324.2 0.3 +6.9
Garret Anderson 30 FA-elig 1583.7 5.0 +1.4
Troy Glaus 25 arb 1563.7 4.0 +2.4
Darin Erstad 28 FA-elig 1503.6 6.2 -0.0
Adam Kennedy 26 arb 1443.4 0.4 +5.5
Tim Salmon 33 FA-elig 1383.3 9.7 -4.0
Scott Spiezio 29 FA-elig 1532.8 2.3 +2.6
Kevin Appier 34 FA-elig 322.6 9.5 -5.1
Brad Fullmer 27 arb 1302.5 4.0 +0.3
John Lackey 23 – 181.9 – –
Troy Percival 32 FA-elig 581.6 5.2 -2.5
Ramon Ortiz 29 arb 321.5 0.6 +2.0
Brendan Donnelly 30 – 461.4 – –
Aaron Sele 32 FA-elig 261.3 7.2 -4.9
Orlando Palmeiro 33 FA-elig 1101.2 1.0 +1.1
Ben Weber 32 pre-arb 631.0 0.2 +1.5
Benji Gil 29 FA-elig 610.7 0.4 +0.8
Mickey Callaway 27 – 60.3 – –
Mark Lukasiewicz 29 pre-arb 170.3 0.2 +0.3
Francisco Rodríguez 20 – 50.2 – –
Shawn Wooten 29 pre-arb 490.2 0.2 +0.1
Alfredo Amezaga 24 – 120.2 – –
Scot Shields 26 – 290.2 – –
Alex Ochoa↔ MIL 30 FA-elig 370.2 0.8 -0.5
Matt Wise 26 – 70.1 – –
Julio Ramirez 24 – 290.1 – –
Bengie Molina 27 arb 1220.1 0.3 -0.2
José Molina 27 – 290.1 – –
Scott Schoeneweis 28 arb 540.1 0.3 -0.2
Sal Fasano 30 – 20.1 – –
Jeff DaVanon 28 arb 160.0 0.2 -0.1
Dennis Cook 39 FA-elig 370.0 1.2 -1.2
Clay Bellinger 33 – 2-0.0 – –
Donne Wall 34 FA-elig 17-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Chone Figgins 24 – 15-0.1 – –
Lou Pote 30 arb 31-0.3 0.3 -0.8
Al Levine 34 FA-elig 52-0.4 1.3 -2.1
Jorge Fabregas↔ MIL 32 FA-elig 35-0.5 0.3 -1.1
Jose Nieves 27 arb 45-0.5 0.2 -1.1

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Kevin Appier2.6
Brad Fullmer2.5
John Lackey1.9
Brendan Donnelly1.4
Aaron Sele1.3
Mickey Callaway0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Ismael Valdez2.0
Pat Rapp1.2
Shigetoshi Hasegawa0.5
Mike Holtz0.2
Wally Joyner0.1
Steve Green0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$62.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Tim Salmon3310.000$9.7M$9.9M$9.9MFREE AGENT$400k
Kevin Appier3413.000$9.5M$9.5MFREE AGENT
Aaron Sele329.000$7.2M$8.2M$8.7MFREE AGENT
Darin Erstad286.000$6.2M$7.2M$7.8M$8.2M$8.8MFREE AGENT
Troy Percival327.000$5.2M$7.8M$7.8MFREE AGENT
Garret Anderson308.000$5.0M$5.3M$6.2M$9.6M$10.6M$11.6M$12.6M
Scott Spiezio296.000$2.3M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Al Levine346.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Dennis Cook3914.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Orlando Palmeiro337.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Ochoa307.000$834kFREE AGENT
Benji Gil299.000$400k$725kFREE AGENT
Donne Wall347.000$300kFREE AGENT
Jorge Fabregas328.000$269kFREE AGENT
Sal Fasano306.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Troy Glaus254.000$4.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Fullmer275.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Ramon Ortiz293.000$575kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Kennedy263.000$375kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarrod Washburn274.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bengie Molina274.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Schoeneweis283.000$325kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Pote303.000$255kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Nieves274.000$240kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff DaVanon283.000$208kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Molina273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Bellinger333.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Ramirez243.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Callaway273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
David Eckstein271.000$280kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Wooten292.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Weber322.000$240kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Lukasiewicz291.000$208kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scot Shields261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Wise262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendan Donnelly300.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo Amezaga240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Lackey230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Rodríguez200.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chone Figgins240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

'; return; } const s=sm(raw,w),n=s.length,X=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[1]*100)/100),Y=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[2]*10)/10),yr=s.map(d=>d[0]); let xa=Math.min(1,...X),xb=Math.max(1,...X),ya=Math.min(0,...Y),yb=Math.max(0,...Y); const px=(xb-xa)*.12+.04,py=(yb-ya)*.12+1.5;xa-=px;xb+=px;ya-=py;yb+=py; const k=Math.max(0,n-3), ann=[]; [['WINDOW','#15b6a0',xa<1&&yb>0,xa,yb,'left','top'],['CONTEND','#2f7ed8',xb>1&&yb>0,xb,yb,'right','top'], ['FORCED-SPEND','#ec5a3c',xb>1&&ya<0,xb,ya,'right','bottom'],['REBUILD','#f0a91c',xa<1&&ya<0,xa,ya,'left','bottom']].forEach(q=>{ if(q[2]) ann.push({x:q[3],y:q[4],xref:'x',yref:'y',text:q[0],showarrow:false,xanchor:q[5],yanchor:q[6],font:{size:10,color:q[1]},opacity:.85});}); ann.push({x:X[n-1],y:Y[n-1],ax:X[n-1]-0.5*(X[n-1]-X[k]),ay:Y[n-1]-0.5*(Y[n-1]-Y[k]),xref:'x',yref:'y',axref:'x',ayref:'y',showarrow:true,arrowhead:2,arrowsize:1.3,arrowwidth:1.7,arrowcolor:dirc,text:''}); Plotly.newPlot('orbit',[{x:X,y:Y,mode:'lines+markers',line:{color:col,width:2.6,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.7}, marker:{color:col,size:s.map((d,i)=>5+7*(i/Math.max(1,n-1))),line:{color:dark?'#1b1e23':'#fff',width:0.6}}, text:yr,hovertemplate:'%{text}
payroll %{x:.2f}× lg · TAB %{y:+.1f}
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'ANA',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});