RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

‹ ›

GM: John Schuerholz

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 10 in this regime · payroll 1.53× league · TAB +2.7
+2.7TAB — talent above budget13th/30
+0.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-3.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
12%dead money %3rd/30
0.543win %9th/30
42.0roster fWAR9th/30
-32surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/30
$95Mpayroll $M4th/30

2001: made playoffs · 88–74. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFAndruw Jones 161GCory Aldridge 1GBrian Jordan 1G
LFB.J. Surhoff 129GBernard Gilkey 28GDave Martinez 27G
RFBrian Jordan 144GDave Martinez 28GBernard Gilkey 8G
SSRey Sanchez 148GRafael Furcal 79GMark DeRosa 48G
2BQuilvio Veras 67GMarcus Giles 62GKeith Lockhart 47G
3BChipper Jones 149GKen Caminiti 66GWes Helms 17G
1BWes Helms 77GRico Brogna 67GKen Caminiti 33G
STARTERSGreg Maddux 6.5WARJohn Burkett 4.8WARTom Glavine 1.8WAROdalis Perez 1.8WARJohn Smoltz 1.2WAR
CJavy Lopez 127GPaul Bako 60GEddie Pérez 5G
DHB.J. Surhoff 3GBrian Jordan 2GMark DeRosa 2G
BULLPEN★ Steve Karsay 8svMike Remlinger 30hSteve Reed 11hRudy Seanez 8hJose Cabrera 6hMarc Valdes 3hMatt Whiteside 1hKerry Ligtenberg 0h
CJavy Lopez 127 · Paul Bako 60 · Eddie Pérez 5
1BWes Helms 77 · Rico Brogna 67 · Ken Caminiti 33
2BQuilvio Veras 67 · Marcus Giles 62 · Keith Lockhart 47
3BChipper Jones 149 · Ken Caminiti 66 · Wes Helms 17
SSRey Sanchez 148 · Rafael Furcal 79 · Mark DeRosa 48
LFB.J. Surhoff 129 · Bernard Gilkey 28 · Dave Martinez 27
CFAndruw Jones 161 · Cory Aldridge 1 · Brian Jordan 1
RFBrian Jordan 144 · Dave Martinez 28 · Bernard Gilkey 8
DHB.J. Surhoff 3 · Brian Jordan 2 · Mark DeRosa 2
SPGreg Maddux 6.5 · John Burkett 4.8 · Tom Glavine 1.8 · Odalis Perez 1.8 · John Smoltz 1.2
BP★ Steve Karsay 8 · Mike Remlinger 30 · Steve Reed 11 · Rudy Seanez 8 · Jose Cabrera 6 · Marc Valdes 3 · Matt Whiteside 1 · Kerry Ligtenberg 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Greg Maddux 35 FA-elig 356.5 12.5 -2.0
Chipper Jones Jr. 29 FA-elig 1596.1 10.3 -0.5
Andruw Jones 24 arb 1614.9 8.2 -0.2
John Burkett 36 FA-elig 344.8 1.8 +6.0
Brian Jordan 34 FA-elig 1484.2 9.1 -2.4
Javy Lopez 30 FA-elig 1282.1 7.8 -4.4
Odalis Perez 23 arb 241.8 0.2 +2.7
Tom Glavine 35 FA-elig 351.8 9.5 -6.7
Mike Remlinger 35 FA-elig 751.4 1.6 +0.7
John Smoltz 34 FA-elig 361.2 8.0 -6.0
Marcus Giles 23 – 681.1 – –
Quilvio Veras 30 FA-elig 711.1 3.9 -2.1
Jason Marquis 22 pre-arb 401.0 0.2 +1.3
Mark DeRosa 26 – 660.9 – –
Julio Franco 42 – 250.8 – –
John Rocker↔ CLE 26 arb 300.7 0.8 +0.2
B.J. Surhoff 36 FA-elig 1410.7 4.8 -3.8
Kevin Millwood 26 arb 210.6 3.1 -2.1
Rafael Furcal 23 pre-arb 790.6 0.4 +0.6
Steve Karsay↔ CLE 29 FA-elig 430.5 1.6 -0.7
Kerry Ligtenberg 30 arb 530.5 1.2 -0.4
Jose Cabrera 29 – 550.4 – –
Dave Martinez 36 FA-elig 1200.3 1.5 -0.9
Paul Bako 29 arb 610.3 0.5 +0.0
Rudy Seanez↔ SDP 32 – 120.3 – –
Bernard Gilkey 34 – 690.2 – –
Steve Reed↔ CLE 36 FA-elig 390.2 0.9 -0.6
Kurt Abbott 32 FA-elig 60.1 0.6 -0.4
Trey Moore 28 – 20.1 – –
Rey Sanchez↔ KCR 33 FA-elig 490.1 0.8 -0.6
Tim Spooneybarger 21 – 40.1 – –
Steve Torrealba 23 – 20.0 – –
Wilson Betemit 19 – 80.0 – –
Scott Sobkowiak 23 pre-arb 10.0 0.2 -0.2
Eddie Pérez 33 FA-elig 5-0.0 0.7 -0.7
Jesse Garcia 27 – 22-0.0 – –
Damian Moss 24 – 5-0.0 – –
Joe Slusarski↔ HOU 34 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Joe Nelson 26 – 2-0.1 – –
Wes Helms 25 arb 100-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Cory Aldridge 22 – 8-0.1 – –
Chris Seelbach 28 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Matt Whiteside 33 – 13-0.3 – –
Keith Lockhart 36 FA-elig 104-0.4 0.8 -1.4
Marc Valdes 29 FA-elig 9-0.4 0.4 -1.1
Rico Brogna 31 FA-elig 72-0.7 1.5 -2.6
Ken Caminiti↔ TEX 38 FA-elig 64-0.8 1.9 -3.1

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Odalis Perez1.8
John Smoltz1.2
Marcus Giles1.1
Julio Franco0.8
Steve Karsay0.5
Jose Cabrera0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Andres Galarraga1.5
Andy Ashby1.4
Terry Mulholland1.4
Walt Weiss0.9
Wally Joyner0.2
Reggie Sanders0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$95.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Greg Maddux3515.000$12.5M$13.1M$14.8MFREE AGENT
Chipper Jones Jr.298.000$10.3M$11.3M$13.3M$15.3M$16.1M$12.3M$12.3M
Tom Glavine3514.000$9.5M$8.6MFREE AGENT
Brian Jordan349.000$9.1MFREE AGENT$600k$700k
John Smoltz3413.000$8.0M$7.7M$10.7M$11.7M$9.0M$11.0M$8.0M
Javy Lopez309.000$7.8M$6.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
B.J. Surhoff3614.000$4.8M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Quilvio Veras306.000$3.9MFREE AGENT
Ken Caminiti3814.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
John Burkett3614.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Mike Remlinger3510.000$1.6M$2.0MFREE AGENT$700k
Steve Karsay298.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Dave Martinez3615.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Rico Brogna319.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Steve Reed369.000$891kFREE AGENT
Keith Lockhart367.000$800k$600kFREE AGENT
Rey Sanchez3310.000$756kFREE AGENT
Eddie Pérez336.000$650kFREE AGENT$625k$625k
Kurt Abbott328.000$600kFREE AGENT
Marc Valdes296.000$375kFREE AGENT
Joe Slusarski3410.000$120kFREE AGENT
Bernard Gilkey3411.000—FREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez3212.000—FREE AGENT
Matt Whiteside339.000—FREE AGENT
Julio Franco4219.000—$600k$600k$750k$1.0MFREE AGENT$836k

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Andruw Jones245.000$8.2MFREE AGENT
Kevin Millwood264.000$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kerry Ligtenberg304.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
John Rocker263.000$838kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Bako293.000$450kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Odalis Perez233.000$220kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Helms253.000$210kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Cabrera294.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Moore283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark DeRosa263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Rafael Furcal231.000$355kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Marquis221.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Sobkowiak230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Seelbach281.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Garcia272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damian Moss240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Torrealba23–—
Marcus Giles230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Aldridge22–—
Wilson Betemit190.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Nelson260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Spooneybarger210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

'; return; } const s=sm(raw,w),n=s.length,X=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[1]*100)/100),Y=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[2]*10)/10),yr=s.map(d=>d[0]); let xa=Math.min(1,...X),xb=Math.max(1,...X),ya=Math.min(0,...Y),yb=Math.max(0,...Y); const px=(xb-xa)*.12+.04,py=(yb-ya)*.12+1.5;xa-=px;xb+=px;ya-=py;yb+=py; const k=Math.max(0,n-3), ann=[]; [['WINDOW','#15b6a0',xa<1&&yb>0,xa,yb,'left','top'],['CONTEND','#2f7ed8',xb>1&&yb>0,xb,yb,'right','top'], ['FORCED-SPEND','#ec5a3c',xb>1&&ya<0,xb,ya,'right','bottom'],['REBUILD','#f0a91c',xa<1&&ya<0,xa,ya,'left','bottom']].forEach(q=>{ if(q[2]) ann.push({x:q[3],y:q[4],xref:'x',yref:'y',text:q[0],showarrow:false,xanchor:q[5],yanchor:q[6],font:{size:10,color:q[1]},opacity:.85});}); ann.push({x:X[n-1],y:Y[n-1],ax:X[n-1]-0.5*(X[n-1]-X[k]),ay:Y[n-1]-0.5*(Y[n-1]-Y[k]),xref:'x',yref:'y',axref:'x',ayref:'y',showarrow:true,arrowhead:2,arrowsize:1.3,arrowwidth:1.7,arrowcolor:dirc,text:''}); Plotly.newPlot('orbit',[{x:X,y:Y,mode:'lines+markers',line:{color:col,width:2.6,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.7}, marker:{color:col,size:s.map((d,i)=>5+7*(i/Math.max(1,n-1))),line:{color:dark?'#1b1e23':'#fff',width:0.6}}, text:yr,hovertemplate:'%{text}
payroll %{x:.2f}× lg · TAB %{y:+.1f}
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'ATL',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});