RRosternomics
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White Sox CHW

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President of baseball ops: Kenny Williams · GM: Rick Hahn

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.09× league · TAB +14.5
+14.5TAB — talent above budget3rd/30
+10.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars3rd/30
-2.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag3rd/30
19%dead money %6th/30
0.574win %6th/30
49.8roster fWAR4th/30
+24surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$138Mpayroll $M13th/30

2021: made playoffs · 93–69. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFLuis Robert Jr. 67GBilly Hamilton 47GBrian Goodwin 27G
LFAndrew Vaughn 95GEloy Jiménez 37GLeury García 26G
RFBrian Goodwin 43GLeury García 34GAndrew Vaughn 18G
SSTim Anderson 122GDanny Mendick 28GLeury García 19G
2BCésar Hernández 142GNick Madrigal 53GLeury García 36G
3BYoán Moncada 138GLeury García 11GJake Burger 8G
1BJosé Abreu 135GAndrew Vaughn 15GGavin Sheets 10G
STARTERSCarlos Rodón 4.9WARDylan Cease 4.6WARLance Lynn 4.3WARLucas Giolito 4.2WARReynaldo López 0.7WAR
CYasmani Grandal 80GZack Collins 73GSeby Zavala 33G
DHYermín Mercedes 61GGavin Sheets 22GJosé Abreu 18G
BULLPEN★ Liam Hendriks 38svRyan Tepera 22hAaron Bummer 21hMichael Kopech 15hGarrett Crochet 14hCraig Kimbrel 6hJosé Ruiz 4hMatt Foster 2h
CYasmani Grandal 80 · Zack Collins 73 · Seby Zavala 33
1BJosé Abreu 135 · Andrew Vaughn 15 · Gavin Sheets 10
2BCésar Hernández 142 · Nick Madrigal 53 · Leury García 36
3BYoán Moncada 138 · Leury García 11 · Jake Burger 8
SSTim Anderson 122 · Danny Mendick 28 · Leury García 19
LFAndrew Vaughn 95 · Eloy Jiménez 37 · Leury García 26
CFLuis Robert Jr. 67 · Billy Hamilton 47 · Brian Goodwin 27
RFBrian Goodwin 43 · Leury García 34 · Andrew Vaughn 18
DHYermín Mercedes 61 · Gavin Sheets 22 · José Abreu 18
SPCarlos Rodón 4.9 · Dylan Cease 4.6 · Lance Lynn 4.3 · Lucas Giolito 4.2 · Reynaldo López 0.7
BP★ Liam Hendriks 38 · Ryan Tepera 22 · Aaron Bummer 21 · Michael Kopech 15 · Garrett Crochet 14 · Craig Kimbrel 6 · José Ruiz 4 · Matt Foster 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2021 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Carlos Rodón 28 FA-elig 244.9 3.0 +13.0
Dylan Cease 25 pre-arb 324.6 0.6 +14.5
Tim Anderson 28 arb 1234.3 7.2 +6.7
Lance Lynn 34 FA-elig 284.3 9.3 +4.6
Lucas Giolito 26 arb 314.2 4.2 +9.4
Yoán Moncada 26 arb 1443.7 6.8 +5.4
Yasmani Grandal 32 FA-elig 933.6 18.2 -6.6
Luis Robert Jr. 23 pre-arb 683.4 3.5 +7.6
José Abreu 34 FA-elig 1522.8 17.7 -8.7
Liam Hendriks 32 FA-elig 692.7 11.3 -2.5
Michael Kopech 25 pre-arb 441.7 0.6 +5.0
Leury García 30 FA-elig 1261.5 3.5 +1.4
Garrett Crochet 22 pre-arb 541.4 0.6 +3.9
Adam Engel 29 arb 391.3 1.4 +3.0
Nick Madrigal 24 – 541.3 0.4 +3.7
Aaron Bummer 27 arb 621.2 2.0 +2.0
Reynaldo López 27 arb 200.7 2.1 +0.2
Dallas Keuchel 33 FA-elig 320.7 18.0 -15.7
Codi Heuer↔ CHC 24 – 400.6 0.2 +1.6
Ryan Tepera↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 220.5 0.3 +1.4
José Ruiz 26 pre-arb 590.5 0.6 +1.1
Gavin Sheets 25 – 540.5 0.2 +1.3
Eloy Jiménez 24 pre-arb 550.3 4.3 -3.3
Jake Burger 25 – 150.3 0.1 +0.9
Billy Hamilton 30 FA-elig 710.3 1.2 -0.3
Ryan Burr 27 pre-arb 340.3 0.3 +0.5
Luis González 25 – 60.2 0.0 +0.7
Jake Lamb↔ TOR 30 FA-elig 430.1 0.8 -0.4
Evan Marshall 31 FA-elig 270.1 2.0 -1.6
Yermín Mercedes 28 pre-arb 680.1 0.3 -0.1
Craig Kimbrel↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 240.0 6.1 -6.0
Alex McRae 28 pre-arb 20.0 0.0 +0.0
César Hernández↔ CLE 31 FA-elig 530.0 1.8 -1.8
Brian Goodwin 30 arb 720.0 0.6 -0.6
Jonathan Stiever 24 pre-arb 10.0 0.0 -0.0
Mike Wright Jr. 31 arb 13-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Romy Gonzalez 24 – 10-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jimmy Lambert 26 pre-arb 4-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Seby Zavala 27 pre-arb 37-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Adam Eaton↔ ANA 32 FA-elig 58-0.1 5.4 -5.7
Matt Foster 26 pre-arb 37-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Jace Fry 27 arb 6-0.1 0.9 -1.3
Nick Williams 27 – 4-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Zack Burdi↔ BAL 26 – 6-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Andrew Vaughn 23 – 127-0.3 0.6 -1.4
Danny Mendick 27 pre-arb 71-0.3 0.4 -1.4
Zack Collins 26 pre-arb 78-1.1 0.5 -4.2

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Lance Lynn4.3
Liam Hendriks2.7
Michael Kopech1.7
Ryan Tepera0.5
Gavin Sheets0.5
Jake Burger0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
James McCann1.4
Dane Dunning0.7
Alex Colomé0.6
Yolmer Sánchez0.2
Ross Detwiler0.2
Bernardo Flores Jr.0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$138.0M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Yasmani Grandal328.115$18.2MFREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel338.031$18.0MFREE AGENT
José Abreu347.000$17.7MFREE AGENT
Liam Hendriks326.164$11.3MFREE AGENT
Lance Lynn349.119$9.3MFREE AGENT
Craig Kimbrel339.161$6.1MFREE AGENT
Adam Eaton329.000$5.4MFREE AGENT
Leury García306.025$3.5MFREE AGENT
César Hernández316.154$1.8MFREE AGENT
Billy Hamilton307.028$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jake Lamb307.000$782kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Tim Anderson284.115$7.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoán Moncada263.106$6.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Giolito263.080$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Rodón285.168$3.0MFREE AGENT
Reynaldo López273.091$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Marshall314.090$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Engel293.058$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jace Fry273.005$863kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Goodwin304.019$618kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Tepera335.008$271kFREE AGENT
Mike Wright Jr.313.008$141kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Williams273.036$34kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Eloy Jiménez242.000$4.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Robert Jr.231.000$3.5MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Bummer272.150$2.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Cease251.089$600kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ruiz261.048$575kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Crochet220.028$572kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kopech251.041$570kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Vaughn230.000$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Collins260.152$522kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Mendick271.010$436kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Foster260.169$406kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Madrigal240.164$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Burr271.040$316kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yermín Mercedes280.008$285kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Codi Heuer241.000$234kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Sheets250.000$233kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seby Zavala270.011$215kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Burger250.000$74kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Romy Gonzalez240.000$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Burdi260.083$53kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex McRae280.083$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis González250.033$34kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Lambert261.000$21kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Stiever240.017$6kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 2021; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'CHW',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});