RRosternomics
𝕏

Dodgers LAD

‹ ›

GM: Dan Evans

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.23× league · TAB +7.4
+7.4TAB — talent above budget8th/30
+8.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars5th/30
-3.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
33%dead money %19th/30
0.574win %5th/30
44.2roster fWAR6th/30
-15surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/30
$82Mpayroll $M9th/30

2004: made playoffs · 93–69. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFSteve Finley 158GMilton Bradley 93GJayson Werth 6G
LFJayson Werth 65GJason Grabowski 30GMilton Bradley 17G
RFShawn Green 52GMilton Bradley 31GJayson Werth 14G
SSCésar Izturis 159GJosé Hernández 13GAntonio Perez 1G
2BAlex Cora 138GJosé Hernández 50GJoe Thurston 4G
3BAdrian Beltré 155GJosé Hernández 12GRobin Ventura 11G
1BHee-Seop Choi 112GShawn Green 111GRobin Ventura 40G
STARTERSJeff Weaver 4.6WAROdalis Perez 2.7WARWilson Alvarez 2.2WARJose Lima 0.9WARKaz Ishii 0.7WAR
CBrent Mayne 77GDavid Ross 67GTom Wilson 10G
DHOlmedo Saenz 4GShawn Green 3GJason Grabowski 2G
BULLPEN★ Eric Gagne 45svDarren Dreifort 15hGiovanni Carrara 6hDuaner Sanchez 4hScott Stewart 4hYhency Brazoban 4hMike Venafro 2hBrian Falkenborg 0h
CBrent Mayne 77 · David Ross 67 · Tom Wilson 10
1BHee-Seop Choi 112 · Shawn Green 111 · Robin Ventura 40
2BAlex Cora 138 · José Hernández 50 · Joe Thurston 4
3BAdrian Beltré 155 · José Hernández 12 · Robin Ventura 11
SSCésar Izturis 159 · José Hernández 13 · Antonio Perez 1
LFJayson Werth 65 · Jason Grabowski 30 · Milton Bradley 17
CFSteve Finley 158 · Milton Bradley 93 · Jayson Werth 6
RFShawn Green 52 · Milton Bradley 31 · Jayson Werth 14
DHOlmedo Saenz 4 · Shawn Green 3 · Jason Grabowski 2
SPJeff Weaver 4.6 · Odalis Perez 2.7 · Wilson Alvarez 2.2 · Jose Lima 0.9 · Kaz Ishii 0.7
BP★ Eric Gagne 45 · Darren Dreifort 15 · Giovanni Carrara 6 · Duaner Sanchez 4 · Scott Stewart 4 · Yhency Brazoban 4 · Mike Venafro 2 · Brian Falkenborg 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2004 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Adrian Beltré 25 FA-elig 1569.7 5.0 +11.6
Jeff Weaver 27 arb 354.6 6.2 +1.7
Cesar Izturis 24 arb 1593.6 0.4 +5.9
Eric Gagne 28 arb 703.4 5.0 +0.8
Milton Bradley 26 arb 1413.3 1.7 +3.9
Odalis Perez 26 FA-elig 312.7 5.0 -0.4
Jayson Werth 25 pre-arb 892.4 0.3 +3.7
Shawn Green 31 FA-elig 1572.2 16.7 -12.8
Wilson Alvarez 34 FA-elig 402.2 1.5 +2.2
José Hernández 34 – 952.0 – –
Alex Cora 28 FA-elig 1381.9 1.3 +1.9
Paul Lo Duca↔ MIA 32 FA-elig 911.7 2.6 +0.3
Giovanni Carrara 36 – 421.2 – –
Steve Finley↔ ARI 39 FA-elig 581.1 2.5 -0.6
Jose Lima 31 – 380.9 – –
Guillermo Mota↔ MIA 30 arb 520.8 1.0 +0.4
Dave Roberts↔ BOS 32 arb 680.7 0.6 +0.7
Kaz Ishii 30 pre-arb 310.7 3.0 -1.8
Olmedo Saenz 33 – 770.6 – –
Juan Encarnacion↔ MIA 28 FA-elig 860.6 2.3 -1.3
Yhency Brazoban 24 – 310.5 – –
Robin Ventura 36 FA-elig 1020.5 1.2 -0.4
Darren Dreifort 32 FA-elig 600.4 12.4 -11.8
Masao Kida↔ SEA 35 – 30.1 – –
Rodney Myers 35 – 10.0 – –
Elmer Dessens↔ ARI 33 FA-elig 120.0 1.0 -0.9
Jose Flores 31 – 90.0 – –
Duaner Sanchez 24 pre-arb 670.0 0.3 -0.3
Chin-Feng Chen 26 – 80.0 – –
Mike Venafro 30 – 17-0.0 – –
Antonio Perez 24 – 13-0.1 – –
Tom Martin↔ ATL 34 FA-elig 47-0.1 0.9 -1.0
Brad Penny↔ MIA 26 arb 3-0.1 0.5 -0.6
Joe Thurston 24 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Tom Wilson↔ NYM 33 – 9-0.1 – –
Brian Falkenborg 26 arb 6-0.2 0.3 -0.6
Scott Stewart↔ CLE 28 arb 11-0.2 0.3 -0.6
Edwin Jackson 20 – 8-0.3 – –
Hee-Seop Choi↔ MIA 25 pre-arb 31-0.4 0.1 -0.7
David Ross 27 pre-arb 70-0.4 0.3 -1.0
Hideo Nomo 35 FA-elig 18-0.4 9.0 -9.8
Jason Grabowski 28 pre-arb 113-0.5 0.3 -1.2
Brent Mayne↔ ARI 36 FA-elig 47-0.7 0.5 -1.6

Key additions (new vs 2003)

PlayerfWAR
Jeff Weaver4.6
Milton Bradley3.3
Jayson Werth2.4
José Hernández2.0
Giovanni Carrara1.2
Steve Finley1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2003)

Player2003 fWAR
Kevin Brown6.0
Brian Jordan1.6
Paul Quantrill1.5
Andy Ashby0.6
Jolbert Cabrera0.6
Fred McGriff0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2004 payroll
$82.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2004, 2004–2010. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Shawn Green3111.000$16.7MFREE AGENT
Darren Dreifort3210.000$12.4MFREE AGENT
Hideo Nomo359.000$9.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré256.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Odalis Perez266.000$5.0M$4.5M$5.6MFREE AGENT
Paul Lo Duca326.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Steve Finley3915.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Juan Encarnacion287.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Wilson Alvarez3415.000$1.5M$2.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Cora286.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Robin Ventura3615.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Elmer Dessens338.000$960k$1.3M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Tom Martin347.000$866kFREE AGENT
Brent Mayne3614.000$453kFREE AGENT
Giovanni Carrara369.000—$500kFREE AGENT
José Hernández3413.000—FREE AGENT
Jose Lima3110.000—FREE AGENT
Rodney Myers358.000—FREE AGENT
Olmedo Saenz3310.000—$650k$1.0M$1.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Jeff Weaver275.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Eric Gagne285.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Milton Bradley264.000$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota305.000$983kFREE AGENT
Dave Roberts325.000$587kFREE AGENT
Brad Penny264.000$466kARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Izturis243.000$358kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Falkenborg265.000$302kFREE AGENT
Scott Stewart283.000$275kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Wilson333.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Masao Kida355.000—FREE AGENT
Mike Venafro305.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2004200520062007200820092010
Kaz Ishii302.000$3.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Ross272.000$310kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Duaner Sanchez242.000$305kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jayson Werth252.000$303kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Thurston242.000$301kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Grabowski282.000$301kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hee-Seop Choi252.000$76kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Flores31–—
Chin-Feng Chen26–—
Antonio Perez241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Jackson201.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yhency Brazoban240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2004; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

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payroll %{x:.2f}× lg · TAB %{y:+.1f}
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'LAD',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});