RRosternomics
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Dodgers LAD

‹ ›

GM: Ned Colletti

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 2.2× league · TAB +2.8
+2.8TAB — talent above budget14th/30
+0.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
11.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-6.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
30%dead money %11th/30
0.568win %7th/30
46.5roster fWAR3rd/30
-104surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$229Mpayroll $M2nd/30

2013: made playoffs · 92–70. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFAndre Ethier 74GMatt Kemp 70GSkip Schumaker 29G
LFCarl Crawford 107GSkip Schumaker 35GScott Van Slyke 30G
RFYasiel Puig 93GAndre Ethier 54GSkip Schumaker 18G
SSHanley Ramirez 76GNick Punto 49GDee Strange-Gordon 27G
2BMark Ellis 119GSkip Schumaker 44GNick Punto 33G
3BJuan Uribe 123GMichael Young 107GNick Punto 35G
1BAdrián González 151GMichael Young 34GJerry Hairston Jr. 13G
STARTERSClayton Kershaw 7.8WARZack Greinke 4.7WARHyun Jin Ryu 4.3WARRicky Nolasco 1.9WARChris Capuano 1.1WAR
CA.J. Ellis 113GTim Federowicz 45GRamon Hernandez 11G
DHCarl Crawford 3GAndre Ethier 2GRamon Hernandez 2G
BULLPEN★ Kenley Jansen 28svRonald Belisario 21hPaco Rodríguez 20hJ.P. Howell 11hCarlos Marmol 6hChris Withrow 4hBrian Wilson 3hBrandon League 2h
CA.J. Ellis 113 · Tim Federowicz 45 · Ramon Hernandez 11
1BAdrián González 151 · Michael Young 34 · Jerry Hairston Jr. 13
2BMark Ellis 119 · Skip Schumaker 44 · Nick Punto 33
3BJuan Uribe 123 · Michael Young 107 · Nick Punto 35
SSHanley Ramirez 76 · Nick Punto 49 · Dee Strange-Gordon 27
LFCarl Crawford 107 · Skip Schumaker 35 · Scott Van Slyke 30
CFAndre Ethier 74 · Matt Kemp 70 · Skip Schumaker 29
RFYasiel Puig 93 · Andre Ethier 54 · Skip Schumaker 18
DHCarl Crawford 3 · Andre Ethier 2 · Ramon Hernandez 2
SPClayton Kershaw 7.8 · Zack Greinke 4.7 · Hyun Jin Ryu 4.3 · Ricky Nolasco 1.9 · Chris Capuano 1.1
BP★ Kenley Jansen 28 · Ronald Belisario 21 · Paco Rodríguez 20 · J.P. Howell 11 · Carlos Marmol 6 · Chris Withrow 4 · Brian Wilson 3 · Brandon League 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Clayton Kershaw 25 arb 357.8 11.0 +9.9
Hanley Ramirez 29 FA-elig 864.9 15.5 -2.3
Zack Greinke 29 FA-elig 294.7 19.0 -6.3
Hyun Jin Ryu 26 pre-arb 304.3 3.3 +8.1
Yasiel Puig 22 pre-arb 1043.9 3.7 +6.9
Juan Uribe 34 FA-elig 1323.8 8.0 +2.1
Andre Ethier 31 FA-elig 1423.4 13.5 -4.4
Kenley Jansen 25 arb 752.4 0.5 +6.0
Adrián González 31 FA-elig 1572.4 21.0 -14.7
Carl Crawford 31 FA-elig 1162.2 20.0 -14.0
A.J. Ellis 32 arb 1152.2 2.0 +3.9
Ricky Nolasco↔ MIA 30 FA-elig 161.9 5.4 -0.3
Mark Ellis 36 FA-elig 1261.5 5.2 -1.2
Nick Punto 35 FA-elig 1161.5 1.5 +2.6
Chris Capuano 34 FA-elig 241.1 6.0 -3.0
Matt Kemp 28 FA-elig 731.0 20.0 -17.2
Paco Rodríguez 22 pre-arb 760.9 0.5 +2.0
J.P. Howell 30 FA-elig 670.8 2.9 -0.7
Scott Van Slyke 26 – 530.7 0.3 +1.7
Brian Wilson 31 arb 180.4 1.0 +0.0
Ronald Belisario 30 arb 770.3 1.4 -0.8
Stephen Fife 26 pre-arb 120.2 0.5 -0.0
Chris Withrow 24 pre-arb 260.2 0.3 +0.2
Josh Beckett 33 FA-elig 80.1 15.8 -15.5
Ramon Hernandez 37 FA-elig 170.1 3.2 -3.0
Edinson Volquez↔ SDP 29 FA-elig 60.1 1.0 -0.9
José Domínguez 22 pre-arb 90.1 0.3 -0.1
Tim Federowicz 25 pre-arb 560.0 0.5 -0.4
Shawn Tolleson 25 pre-arb 10.0 0.5 -0.5
Carlos Marmol↔ CHC 30 FA-elig 21-0.0 4.0 -4.0
Chad Billingsley 28 FA-elig 2-0.0 11.0 -11.0
Javy Guerra 27 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Dee Strange-Gordon 25 pre-arb 38-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Michael Young↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 21-0.1 2.3 -2.4
Drew Butera↔ MIN 29 arb 4-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Elian Herrera 28 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Matt Guerrier↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 34-0.1 3.3 -3.6
Ted Lilly 37 FA-elig 5-0.1 12.0 -12.4
Onelki Garcia 23 – 3-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Alex Castellanos 26 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Nick Buss 26 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Josh Wall 26 – 6-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Justin Sellers 27 pre-arb 27-0.3 0.5 -1.3
Peter Moylan 34 arb 14-0.3 0.3 -1.3
Brandon League 30 FA-elig 58-0.7 4.5 -6.3
Matt Magill 23 – 6-0.8 0.1 -2.1
Luis Alfonso Cruz↔ NYY 29 arb 45-0.8 0.4 -2.5
Skip Schumaker 33 FA-elig 125-0.9 1.5 -3.9
Jerry Hairston Jr. 37 FA-elig 96-1.2 3.8 -7.1

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
Zack Greinke4.7
Hyun Jin Ryu4.3
Yasiel Puig3.9
Carl Crawford2.2
Ricky Nolasco1.9
J.P. Howell0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Aaron Harang1.8
Joe Blanton0.7
Shane Victorino0.6
Nathan Eovaldi0.6
Jamey Wright0.5
Adam Kennedy0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$228.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Adrián González317.108$21.0M$21.0M$21.9M$21.9M$22.4MFREE AGENT
Carl Crawford3110.072$20.0M$20.2M$21.4M$21.6MFREE AGENT
Matt Kemp286.049$20.0M$21.0MFREE AGENT$21.8M
Zack Greinke298.057$19.0M$26.0M$25.0MFREE AGENT
Josh Beckett3311.030$15.8M$15.8MFREE AGENT
Hanley Ramirez297.014$15.5M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Andre Ethier3111.153$13.5M$15.5M$18.0M$18.0M$17.5MFREE AGENT
Ted Lilly3714.000$12.0MFREE AGENT
Chad Billingsley286.110$11.0MFREE AGENT
Juan Uribe3411.089$8.0M$6.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Capuano348.001$6.0MFREE AGENT
Ricky Nolasco306.142$5.4MFREE AGENT
Mark Ellis3610.136$5.2MFREE AGENT
Brandon League306.145$4.5M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Carlos Marmol306.084$4.0MFREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.3715.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Matt Guerrier348.056$3.3MFREE AGENT
Ramon Hernandez3713.099$3.2MFREE AGENT
J.P. Howell306.007$2.9M$4.0M$4.0M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Michael Young3611.134$2.3MFREE AGENT
Nick Punto3510.051$1.5MFREE AGENT
Skip Schumaker336.051$1.5MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Clayton Kershaw254.105$11.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Edinson Volquez295.059$1.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Wilson315.169$1.0MFREE AGENT
Luis Alfonso Cruz295.000$373kFREE AGENT
Peter Moylan345.094$329kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Yasiel Puig220.000$3.7MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hyun Jin Ryu260.000$3.3MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Ellis322.151$2.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Belisario302.151$1.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kenley Jansen252.072$512kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Sellers271.124$494kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Fife260.034$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paco Rodríguez220.029$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Federowicz250.056$491kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Castellanos260.041$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Tolleson250.122$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Butera292.156$467kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Van Slyke261.000$287kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Withrow240.033$265kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Domínguez220.119$252kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dee Strange-Gordon251.089$175kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javy Guerra272.000$88kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Magill230.000$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Onelki Garcia230.000$54kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Buss260.016$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Wall260.044$40kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elian Herrera282.010$38kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'LAD',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});