RRosternomics
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Dodgers LAD

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President of baseball ops: Andrew Friedman · GM: Farhan Zaidi

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.82× league · TAB +7.3
+7.3TAB — talent above budget8th/30
+2.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)11th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-3.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag6th/30
34%dead money %9th/30
0.568win %6th/30
48.7roster fWAR2nd/30
-68surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$222Mpayroll $M1st/30

2015: made playoffs · 92–70. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFJoc Pederson 147GEnrique Hernández 19GChris Heisey 10G
LFScott Van Slyke 55GCarl Crawford 51GAndre Ethier 51G
RFAndre Ethier 80GYasiel Puig 78GScott Van Slyke 22G
SSJimmy Rollins 134GCorey Seager 21GEnrique Hernández 16G
2BHowie Kendrick 113GChase Utley 88GEnrique Hernández 20G
3BJustin Turner 100GAlberto Callaspo 65GAlex Guerrero 22G
1BAdrián González 149GScott Van Slyke 21GJustin Turner 10G
STARTERSClayton Kershaw 8.6WARZack Greinke 6.0WARBrett Anderson 1.4WARAlex Wood 0.6WARMike Bolsinger 0.4WAR
CYasmani Grandal 107GA.J. Ellis 62GAustin Barnes 11G
DHAlex Guerrero 4GAdrián González 3GCarl Crawford 3G
BULLPEN★ Kenley Jansen 36svJim Johnson 25hLuis Avilán 17hJuan Nicasio 14hChris Hatcher 13hYimi García 11hPedro Báez 11hJ.P. Howell 10h
CYasmani Grandal 107 · A.J. Ellis 62 · Austin Barnes 11
1BAdrián González 149 · Scott Van Slyke 21 · Justin Turner 10
2BHowie Kendrick 113 · Chase Utley 88 · Enrique Hernández 20
3BJustin Turner 100 · Alberto Callaspo 65 · Alex Guerrero 22
SSJimmy Rollins 134 · Corey Seager 21 · Enrique Hernández 16
LFScott Van Slyke 55 · Carl Crawford 51 · Andre Ethier 51
CFJoc Pederson 147 · Enrique Hernández 19 · Chris Heisey 10
RFAndre Ethier 80 · Yasiel Puig 78 · Scott Van Slyke 22
DHAlex Guerrero 4 · Adrián González 3 · Carl Crawford 3
SPClayton Kershaw 8.6 · Zack Greinke 6.0 · Brett Anderson 1.4 · Alex Wood 0.6 · Mike Bolsinger 0.4
BP★ Kenley Jansen 36 · Jim Johnson 25 · Luis Avilán 17 · Juan Nicasio 14 · Chris Hatcher 13 · Yimi García 11 · Pedro Báez 11 · J.P. Howell 10

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Clayton Kershaw 27 FA-elig 348.6 32.6 -5.6
Zack Greinke 31 FA-elig 326.0 25.0 -6.0
Yasmani Grandal 26 arb 1155.2 0.7 +15.6
Justin Turner 30 FA-elig 1263.9 2.5 +9.9
Joc Pederson 23 pre-arb 1513.1 0.5 +9.3
Adrián González 33 FA-elig 1563.0 21.9 -12.5
Andre Ethier 33 FA-elig 1422.8 18.0 -9.1
Howie Kendrick 31 FA-elig 1172.4 9.5 -2.0
Kenley Jansen 27 arb 541.6 7.4 -2.3
Enrique Hernández 23 pre-arb 761.5 0.4 +4.4
Corey Seager 21 – 271.5 0.1 +4.7
Yasiel Puig 24 pre-arb 791.5 6.2 -1.4
Brett Anderson 27 FA-elig 311.4 10.0 -5.5
Pedro Báez 27 pre-arb 521.0 0.5 +2.5
Scott Van Slyke 28 arb 960.9 0.5 +2.4
Juan Nicasio 28 arb 540.7 2.3 +0.1
Yimi García 24 pre-arb 590.7 0.5 +1.8
Justin Ruggiano↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 210.6 0.9 +1.1
Alex Wood↔ ATL 24 pre-arb 120.6 0.2 +1.8
Juan Uribe↔ ATL 36 FA-elig 290.6 1.6 +0.3
A.J. Ellis 34 FA-elig 630.5 4.2 -2.6
Jimmy Rollins 36 FA-elig 1440.4 11.0 -9.6
Mike Bolsinger 27 pre-arb 210.4 0.2 +1.1
Scott Schebler 24 – 190.4 0.1 +1.1
Carl Crawford 33 FA-elig 690.4 21.4 -20.2
Chris Hatcher 30 arb 490.3 0.5 +0.5
Ian Thomas↔ ATL 28 pre-arb 90.3 0.0 +1.0
Chase Utley↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 340.3 4.8 -3.9
Mat Latos↔ ANA 27 FA-elig 60.3 2.4 -1.5
J.P. Howell 32 FA-elig 650.3 4.0 -3.2
Paco Rodríguez 24 arb 180.2 0.5 -0.0
Adam Liberatore 28 pre-arb 390.1 0.3 +0.1
Carlos Frías 25 pre-arb 170.1 0.4 -0.1
Ronald Torreyes 22 – 80.1 0.1 +0.3
Austin Barnes 25 – 200.1 0.2 +0.0
Luis Avilán↔ ATL 25 arb 230.1 0.2 +0.0
Matt West 26 pre-arb 20.0 0.0 +0.0
Danny Coulombe↔ OAK 25 – 5-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Zach Lee 23 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Chris Heisey 30 arb 33-0.1 2.2 -2.4
Brandon Beachy 28 arb 2-0.1 2.8 -3.0
Sergio Santos↔ NYY 31 – 12-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Darwin Barney↔ TOR 29 arb 2-0.1 0.3 -0.6
José Peraza 21 – 7-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Alex Guerrero 28 pre-arb 106-0.1 6.5 -6.8
Alberto Callaspo↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 60-0.1 1.9 -2.3
David Huff 30 arb 3-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Joe Wieland 25 arb 2-0.2 0.6 -1.2
Chin-hui Tsao 34 – 5-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Eric Surkamp 27 pre-arb 1-0.3 0.0 -0.8
Josh Ravin 27 pre-arb 9-0.3 0.1 -1.0
Jim Johnson↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 23-0.3 0.5 -1.5
Scott Baker 33 FA-elig 2-0.3 0.0 -1.1
Brandon McCarthy 31 FA-elig 4-0.4 12.5 -13.6
Joel Peralta 39 FA-elig 33-0.4 2.5 -3.7

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Yasmani Grandal5.2
Howie Kendrick2.4
Enrique Hernández1.5
Corey Seager1.5
Brett Anderson1.4
Juan Nicasio0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Hyun Jin Ryu4.1
Hanley Ramirez3.7
Josh Beckett0.7
Drew Butera0.7
Chone Figgins0.6
Jamey Wright0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$221.9M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Clayton Kershaw276.105$32.6MFREE AGENT
Zack Greinke3110.057$25.0MFREE AGENT
Adrián González339.108$21.9MFREE AGENT
Carl Crawford3312.072$21.4MFREE AGENT
Andre Ethier3311.153$18.0MFREE AGENT
Brandon McCarthy318.122$12.5MFREE AGENT
Jimmy Rollins3614.015$11.0MFREE AGENT
Brett Anderson276.000$10.0MFREE AGENT
Howie Kendrick318.091$9.5MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley3611.027$4.8MFREE AGENT
J.P. Howell328.007$4.0MFREE AGENT
Joel Peralta398.132$2.5MFREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo327.135$1.9MFREE AGENT
Juan Uribe3613.089$1.6MFREE AGENT
Jim Johnson326.161$511kFREE AGENT
Scott Baker338.099$23kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Kenley Jansen274.072$7.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Ellis344.151$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Beachy284.014$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Turner304.045$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mat Latos275.079$2.4MFREE AGENT
Juan Nicasio283.084$2.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Heisey304.157$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Ruggiano334.019$923kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Van Slyke283.000$522kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darwin Barney294.053$297kARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Santos315.000$273kFREE AGENT
David Huff303.062$8kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Alex Guerrero281.000$6.5MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yasiel Puig241.119$6.2MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yasmani Grandal262.115$693kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Wieland252.161$590kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paco Rodríguez241.120$522kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hatcher301.146$522kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Báez270.059$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yimi García240.028$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joc Pederson230.028$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Frías250.056$449kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Hernández230.066$442kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Liberatore282.086$286kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Bolsinger271.072$222kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Wood241.123$195kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Avilán252.077$167kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Barnes250.000$164kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Peraza210.000$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Ravin271.151$103kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Schebler240.000$94kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Seager210.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Torreyes220.000$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chin-hui Tsao34–$50k
Ian Thomas280.123$29kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Coulombe250.013$23kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Lee230.000$17kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt West260.053$8kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Surkamp272.023$3kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'LAD',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});