RRosternomics
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Dodgers LAD

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President of baseball ops: Andrew Friedman · GM: Farhan Zaidi

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 5 in this regime · payroll 1.44× league · TAB +12.9
+12.9TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+17.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)3rd/30
12.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/30
-3.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
31%dead money %10th/30
0.642win %1st/30
51.5roster fWAR4th/30
-14surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/30
$188Mpayroll $M2nd/30

2017: won pennant · 104–58. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFJoc Pederson 92GCurtis Granderson 65GChris Taylor 49G
LFChris Taylor 48GCody Bellinger 39GCurtis Granderson 33G
RFYasiel Puig 145GCurtis Granderson 38GEnrique Hernández 18G
SSCorey Seager 138GEnrique Hernández 24GChris Taylor 14G
2BLogan Forsythe 80GChase Utley 80GChris Taylor 22G
3BJustin Turner 121GLogan Forsythe 42GEnrique Hernández 14G
1BCody Bellinger 93GAdrián González 60GChase Utley 17G
STARTERSClayton Kershaw 4.7WARAlex Wood 2.8WARRich Hill 2.2WARBrandon McCarthy 2.1WARKenta Maeda 1.7WAR
CYasmani Grandal 117GAustin Barnes 55GKyle Farmer 3G
DHJustin Turner 5GChase Utley 3GCody Bellinger 1G
BULLPEN★ Kenley Jansen 41svPedro Báez 23hJosh Fields 15hTony Watson 14hLuis Avilán 13hBrandon Morrow 10hTony Cingrani 9hRoss Stripling 5h
CYasmani Grandal 117 · Austin Barnes 55 · Kyle Farmer 3
1BCody Bellinger 93 · Adrián González 60 · Chase Utley 17
2BLogan Forsythe 80 · Chase Utley 80 · Chris Taylor 22
3BJustin Turner 121 · Logan Forsythe 42 · Enrique Hernández 14
SSCorey Seager 138 · Enrique Hernández 24 · Chris Taylor 14
LFChris Taylor 48 · Cody Bellinger 39 · Curtis Granderson 33
CFJoc Pederson 92 · Curtis Granderson 65 · Chris Taylor 49
RFYasiel Puig 145 · Curtis Granderson 38 · Enrique Hernández 18
DHJustin Turner 5 · Chase Utley 3 · Cody Bellinger 1
SPClayton Kershaw 4.7 · Alex Wood 2.8 · Rich Hill 2.2 · Brandon McCarthy 2.1 · Kenta Maeda 1.7
BP★ Kenley Jansen 41 · Pedro Báez 23 · Josh Fields 15 · Tony Watson 14 · Luis Avilán 13 · Brandon Morrow 10 · Tony Cingrani 9 · Ross Stripling 5

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2017 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Justin Turner 32 FA-elig 1305.6 13.0 +6.0
Corey Seager 23 pre-arb 1455.0 0.6 +16.4
Clayton Kershaw 29 FA-elig 274.7 35.6 -19.9
Chris Taylor 26 pre-arb 1404.5 0.5 +14.8
Cody Bellinger 21 – 1324.0 0.5 +13.0
Yasmani Grandal 28 arb 1293.9 5.5 +7.7
Austin Barnes 27 pre-arb 1023.7 0.5 +11.9
Kenley Jansen 29 FA-elig 653.6 10.8 +1.2
Alex Wood 26 arb 272.8 2.8 +6.7
Yasiel Puig 26 arb 1522.6 8.2 +0.5
Rich Hill 37 FA-elig 252.2 12.7 -5.1
Brandon McCarthy 33 FA-elig 192.1 11.5 -4.3
Kenta Maeda 29 pre-arb 301.7 3.1 +2.6
Brandon Morrow 32 FA-elig 451.6 1.2 +4.2
Yu Darvish↔ TEX 30 arb 90.9 3.2 -0.1
Enrique Hernández 25 arb 1400.8 0.6 +2.1
Hyun Jin Ryu 30 arb 250.7 7.8 -5.3
Chase Utley 38 FA-elig 1270.7 2.0 +0.2
Luis Avilán 27 arb 610.6 1.5 +0.5
Logan Forsythe 30 FA-elig 1190.6 7.0 -5.0
Tony Cingrani↔ CIN 27 arb 220.5 0.9 +0.9
Ross Stripling 27 pre-arb 510.5 0.5 +1.0
Andrew Toles 25 pre-arb 310.4 0.5 +0.8
Josh Fields 31 arb 570.3 1.1 -0.1
Joc Pederson 25 arb 1020.2 0.6 +0.3
Edward Paredes 30 – 100.2 0.2 +0.6
Pedro Báez 29 arb 660.1 0.6 -0.1
Tony Watson↔ PIT 32 FA-elig 240.1 1.9 -1.5
Julio Urías 20 pre-arb 50.1 0.1 +0.3
Chris Hatcher↔ OAK 32 FA-elig 260.1 0.7 -0.4
Adam Liberatore 30 pre-arb 40.1 0.4 -0.3
Fabio Castillo 28 – 20.0 0.0 +0.1
Kyle Farmer 26 – 20-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Tim Locastro 24 – 3-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Andre Ethier 35 FA-elig 22-0.0 17.5 -17.6
Charlie Culberson 28 arb 15-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Brock Stewart 25 pre-arb 17-0.0 0.5 -0.7
Alex Verdugo 21 – 15-0.1 0.1 -0.4
O'Koyea Dickson 27 – 7-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Franklin Gutierrez 34 FA-elig 35-0.1 2.6 -2.9
Mike Freeman↔ CHC 29 – 4-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Brett Eibner 28 – 17-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Rob Segedin 28 pre-arb 13-0.1 0.4 -0.9
Walker Buehler 22 – 8-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Curtis Granderson↔ NYM 36 FA-elig 36-0.2 3.7 -4.3
Wilmer Font 27 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Josh Ravin 29 pre-arb 14-0.3 0.5 -1.4
Scott Van Slyke 30 arb 29-0.3 1.3 -2.3
Grant Dayton 29 pre-arb 29-0.3 0.5 -1.5
Sergio Romo↔ TBR 34 FA-elig 30-0.4 1.6 -2.8
Trayce Thompson 26 pre-arb 27-0.5 0.2 -1.8
Adrián González 35 FA-elig 71-0.5 22.4 -24.1

Key additions (new vs 2016)

PlayerfWAR
Cody Bellinger4.0
Brandon Morrow1.6
Yu Darvish0.9
Logan Forsythe0.6
Tony Cingrani0.5
Edward Paredes0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2016)

Player2016 fWAR
Howie Kendrick1.1
Joe Blanton0.7
J.P. Howell0.2
Carlos Frías0.0
Carlos Ruiz0.0
Nick Tepesch0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2017 payroll
$188.3M
2018 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2017, 2017–2023. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2017; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Clayton Kershaw298.105$35.6MFREE AGENT
Adrián González3511.108$22.4MFREE AGENT
Andre Ethier3511.153$17.5MFREE AGENT
Justin Turner326.045$13.0MFREE AGENT
Rich Hill377.127$12.7MFREE AGENT
Brandon McCarthy3310.122$11.5MFREE AGENT
Kenley Jansen296.072$10.8MFREE AGENT
Curtis Granderson3614.077$3.7MFREE AGENT
Franklin Gutierrez349.011$2.6MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley3813.027$2.0MFREE AGENT
Sergio Romo348.097$1.6MFREE AGENT
Brandon Morrow328.142$1.2MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Yasiel Puig263.102$8.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hyun Jin Ryu304.000$7.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Forsythe305.113$7.0MFREE AGENT
Yasmani Grandal284.115$5.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Yu Darvish305.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Alex Wood263.123$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Watson325.101$1.9MFREE AGENT
Luis Avilán273.146$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Van Slyke305.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Josh Fields313.092$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Cingrani273.088$854kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hatcher323.146$663kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Kenta Maeda291.000$3.1MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Seager231.032$575kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joc Pederson252.028$555kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Hernández252.054$555kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Culberson282.056$550kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Báez292.059$550kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Ravin291.151$545kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Stripling270.115$540kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Toles250.087$540kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Dayton290.074$540kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Barnes270.124$540kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brock Stewart250.037$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Taylor261.036$485kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Bellinger210.000$468kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Segedin281.038$447kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Liberatore302.086$441kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trayce Thompson261.063$172kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edward Paredes300.000$152kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Verdugo210.000$91kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
O'Koyea Dickson27–$91k
Wilmer Font270.055$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Eibner280.000$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Walker Buehler220.000$76kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Urías200.099$71kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Farmer260.000$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fabio Castillo28–$18k
Mike Freeman290.038$10kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Locastro240.000$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2017; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'LAD',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});