RRosternomics
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Yankees NYY

‹ ›

GM: Brian Cashman

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.79× league · TAB -2.1
-2.1TAB — talent above budget16th/30
-2.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/30
11.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/30
-3.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag7th/30
13%dead money %1st/30
0.537win %9th/30
39.1roster fWAR10th/30
-95surplus $M (value vs cost)30th/30
$218Mpayroll $M2nd/30

2015: made playoffs · 87–75. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFJacoby Ellsbury 110GBrett Gardner 40GChris Young 15G
LFBrett Gardner 119GDustin Ackley 67GChris Young 55G
RFCarlos Beltrán 123GChris Young 76GGarrett Jones 24G
SSDidi Gregorius 155GStephen Drew 15GBrendan Ryan 6G
2BStephen Drew 123GJosé Pirela 27GBrendan Ryan 26G
3BChase Headley 155GBrendan Ryan 14GAlex Rodriguez 4G
1BMark Teixeira 108GGreg Bird 46GGarrett Jones 21G
STARTERSMichael Pineda 3.5WARNathan Eovaldi 3.1WARMasahiro Tanaka 2.2WARAdam Warren 2.1WARCC Sabathia 1.2WAR
CBrian McCann 126GJohn Ryan Murphy 65G
DHAlex Rodriguez 136GCarlos Beltrán 8GDustin Ackley 4G
BULLPEN★ Andrew Miller 36svJustin Wilson 29hDellin Betances 28hChasen Shreve 10hChris Martin 5hChris Capuano 1hBryan Mitchell 1hBranden Pinder 0h
CBrian McCann 126 · John Ryan Murphy 65
1BMark Teixeira 108 · Greg Bird 46 · Garrett Jones 21
2BStephen Drew 123 · José Pirela 27 · Brendan Ryan 26
3BChase Headley 155 · Brendan Ryan 14 · Alex Rodriguez 4
SSDidi Gregorius 155 · Stephen Drew 15 · Brendan Ryan 6
LFBrett Gardner 119 · Dustin Ackley 67 · Chris Young 55
CFJacoby Ellsbury 110 · Brett Gardner 40 · Chris Young 15
RFCarlos Beltrán 123 · Chris Young 76 · Garrett Jones 24
DHAlex Rodriguez 136 · Carlos Beltrán 8 · Dustin Ackley 4
SPMichael Pineda 3.5 · Nathan Eovaldi 3.1 · Masahiro Tanaka 2.2 · Adam Warren 2.1 · CC Sabathia 1.2
BP★ Andrew Miller 36 · Justin Wilson 29 · Dellin Betances 28 · Chasen Shreve 10 · Chris Martin 5 · Chris Capuano 1 · Bryan Mitchell 1 · Branden Pinder 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Michael Pineda 26 arb 273.5 2.1 +9.1
Nathan Eovaldi 25 arb 273.1 3.3 +6.6
Didi Gregorius 25 arb 1553.1 0.6 +9.2
Mark Teixeira 35 FA-elig 1112.9 23.1 -14.0
Brian McCann 31 FA-elig 1352.8 17.0 -8.1
Alex Rodriguez 39 FA-elig 1512.7 22.0 -13.5
Brett Gardner 31 FA-elig 1512.5 12.5 -4.7
Dellin Betances 27 arb 742.4 0.5 +7.2
Masahiro Tanaka 26 pre-arb 242.2 22.0 -15.0
Adam Warren 27 arb 432.1 0.6 +6.2
Andrew Miller 30 FA-elig 602.0 9.0 -2.6
Carlos Beltrán 38 FA-elig 1331.8 15.0 -9.5
Chase Headley 31 FA-elig 1561.6 13.0 -8.0
Justin Wilson 27 arb 741.5 0.6 +4.2
CC Sabathia 34 FA-elig 291.2 23.0 -19.4
Greg Bird 22 – 461.1 0.1 +3.4
Jacoby Ellsbury 31 FA-elig 1111.1 21.1 -17.7
Chris Young 31 FA-elig 1400.8 2.5 +0.1
John Ryan Murphy 24 pre-arb 670.8 0.5 +1.9
Luis Severino 21 – 110.7 0.2 +1.9
Slade Heathcott 24 pre-arb 170.5 0.3 +1.4
Iván Nova 28 arb 170.5 3.3 -1.8
Dustin Ackley↔ SEA 27 arb 230.4 0.6 +0.6
Stephen Drew 32 FA-elig 1310.4 5.0 -3.9
Mason Williams 23 – 80.2 0.3 +0.4
Rob Refsnyder 24 – 160.2 0.1 +0.4
Chase Whitley 26 pre-arb 40.1 0.5 -0.1
Chris Martin 29 pre-arb 240.1 0.5 -0.2
Nick Rumbelow 23 – 170.1 0.1 +0.1
Rico Noel 26 pre-arb 150.1 0.1 +0.1
Branden Pinder 26 – 250.0 0.2 -0.1
Kyle Davies 31 arb 10.0 0.5 -0.4
James Pazos 24 – 110.0 0.1 +0.0
Ramón Flores 23 – 120.0 0.0 +0.0
Diego Moreno 27 pre-arb 40.0 0.2 -0.2
Cole Figueroa 28 pre-arb 20.0 0.2 -0.2
Nick Goody 23 – 7-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Matt Tracy 26 – 1-0.0 – –
Sergio Santos↔ LAD 31 arb 2-0.0 0.0 -0.1
José Ramírez↔ SEA 25 – 3-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Bryan Mitchell 24 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Gary Sánchez 22 – 2-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Esmil Rogers 29 FA-elig 18-0.1 1.5 -1.6
Danny Burawa↔ ATL 26 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Jose De Paula 27 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Austin Romine 26 arb 1-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Andrew Bailey 31 arb 10-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Chris Capuano 36 FA-elig 22-0.2 5.0 -5.5
David Carpenter↔ WSN 29 arb 22-0.2 1.0 -1.5
Chasen Shreve 24 pre-arb 59-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Caleb Cotham 27 pre-arb 12-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Brendan Ryan 33 FA-elig 47-0.2 2.0 -2.7
Jacob Lindgren 22 – 7-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Gregorio Petit 30 FA-elig 20-0.5 0.5 -2.0
José Pirela 25 pre-arb 37-0.6 0.5 -2.3
Garrett Jones 34 FA-elig 57-0.6 5.0 -6.8

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Nathan Eovaldi3.1
Didi Gregorius3.1
Alex Rodriguez2.7
Andrew Miller2.0
Justin Wilson1.5
Greg Bird1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Hiroki Kuroda3.1
Francisco Cervelli1.9
Brandon McCarthy1.7
David Robertson1.4
Ichiro Suzuki1.1
Yangervis Solarte1.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$218.2M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Mark Teixeira3512.000$23.1MFREE AGENT
CC Sabathia3414.000$23.0MFREE AGENT
Alex Rodriguez3920.011$22.0MFREE AGENT
Jacoby Ellsbury317.037$21.1MFREE AGENT
Brian McCann319.117$17.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Beltrán3816.014$15.0MFREE AGENT
Chase Headley316.123$13.0MFREE AGENT
Brett Gardner316.072$12.5MFREE AGENT
Andrew Miller306.062$9.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Capuano369.161$5.0MFREE AGENT
Stephen Drew328.038$5.0MFREE AGENT
Garrett Jones348.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Young318.162$2.5MFREE AGENT
Brendan Ryan337.082$2.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Nathan Eovaldi253.013$3.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Iván Nova284.024$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Pineda263.099$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmil Rogers294.088$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
David Carpenter293.016$953kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Ackley273.087$554kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Pirela253.002$510kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Davies315.145$507kFREE AGENT
Andrew Bailey315.000$92kFREE AGENT
Sergio Santos315.000$46kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Masahiro Tanaka261.000$22.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Warren272.036$573kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Wilson272.035$556kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Romine262.007$554kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Didi Gregorius251.159$554kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Ryan Murphy242.000$519kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Martin290.043$511kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chasen Shreve240.041$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregorio Petit301.056$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dellin Betances271.078$507kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Whitley260.137$453kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Mitchell240.032$355kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Williams230.000$322kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Slade Heathcott240.027$258kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Figueroa280.067$244kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Branden Pinder260.000$211kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Diego Moreno270.072$197kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Severino210.000$166kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Rumbelow230.000$147kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Bird220.000$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Lindgren220.000$127kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Refsnyder240.000$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Cotham270.042$105kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Goody230.000$97kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Pazos240.000$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rico Noel260.034$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Sánchez220.000$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Flores230.000$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ramírez251.000$34kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose De Paula27–$14k
Danny Burawa260.035$7kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Tracy26–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Yankees 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'NYY',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});