RRosternomics
𝕏

Yankees NYY

‹ ›

GM: Brian Cashman

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.58× league · TAB +10.9
+10.9TAB — talent above budget2nd/30
+6.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-3.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag4th/30
23%dead money %9th/30
0.580win %3rd/30
50.6roster fWAR2nd/30
-44surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$245Mpayroll $M5th/30

2025: made playoffs · 94–68. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFTrent Grisham 140GCody Bellinger 41GPaul Goldschmidt 1G
LFJasson Domínguez 100GCody Bellinger 85GAustin Slater 27G
RFAaron Judge 95GCody Bellinger 52GJosé Caballero 38G
SSAnthony Volpe 153GJosé Caballero 43G
2BJazz Chisholm Jr. 100GDJ LeMahieu 45GJosé Caballero 23G
3BRyan McMahon 154GJosé Caballero 37GOswaldo Cabrera 33G
1BPaul Goldschmidt 139GBen Rice 50GCody Bellinger 7G
STARTERSMax Fried 4.8WARCarlos Rodón 3.2WARWill Warren 2.1WARCam Schlittler 1.3WARClarke Schmidt 1.3WAR
CAustin Wells 122GBen Rice 36GJ.C. Escarra 30G
DHAaron Judge 56GBen Rice 48GGiancarlo Stanton 47G
BULLPEN★ David Bednar 27svLuke Weaver 21hFernando Cruz 16hTim Hill 15hDevin Williams 15hMark Leiter Jr. 14hCamilo Doval 10hJake Bird 10h
CAustin Wells 122 · Ben Rice 36 · J.C. Escarra 30
1BPaul Goldschmidt 139 · Ben Rice 50 · Cody Bellinger 7
2BJazz Chisholm Jr. 100 · DJ LeMahieu 45 · José Caballero 23
3BRyan McMahon 154 · José Caballero 37 · Oswaldo Cabrera 33
SSAnthony Volpe 153 · José Caballero 43
LFJasson Domínguez 100 · Cody Bellinger 85 · Austin Slater 27
CFTrent Grisham 140 · Cody Bellinger 41 · Paul Goldschmidt 1
RFAaron Judge 95 · Cody Bellinger 52 · José Caballero 38
DHAaron Judge 56 · Ben Rice 48 · Giancarlo Stanton 47
SPMax Fried 4.8 · Carlos Rodón 3.2 · Will Warren 2.1 · Cam Schlittler 1.3 · Clarke Schmidt 1.3
BP★ David Bednar 27 · Luke Weaver 21 · Fernando Cruz 16 · Tim Hill 15 · Devin Williams 15 · Mark Leiter Jr. 14 · Camilo Doval 10 · Jake Bird 10

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2025 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Aaron Judge 33 FA-elig 15210.1 40.0 +0.4
Cody Bellinger 29 FA-elig 1524.9 27.5 -8.0
Max Fried 31 FA-elig 324.8 14.5 +4.5
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 27 arb 1304.4 5.8 +11.6
Carlos Rodón 32 FA-elig 333.2 27.8 -15.0
Trent Grisham 28 arb 1433.2 5.2 +7.3
Austin Wells 25 pre-arb 1263.1 0.8 +11.4
Ben Rice 26 pre-arb 1383.0 0.8 +11.4
Will Warren 26 pre-arb 332.1 0.8 +7.6
Giancarlo Stanton 35 FA-elig 771.9 32.0 -24.3
Devin Williams 30 arb 671.4 8.6 -3.2
Cam Schlittler 24 – 141.3 0.3 +4.9
Clarke Schmidt 29 arb 141.3 3.6 +1.5
José Caballero↔ TBR 28 pre-arb 401.1 0.2 +4.0
Anthony Volpe 24 pre-arb 1531.0 0.9 +3.2
David Bednar↔ PIT 30 arb 220.8 1.4 +1.8
Fernando Cruz 35 pre-arb 490.8 0.8 +2.3
Paul Goldschmidt 37 FA-elig 1460.8 12.5 -9.4
Jasson Domínguez 22 pre-arb 1230.7 0.8 +1.9
Ryan McMahon↔ COL 30 FA-elig 540.6 1.5 +1.0
Mark Leiter Jr. 34 – 590.6 2.0 +0.3
Luis Gil 27 pre-arb 110.6 0.8 +1.4
Luke Weaver 31 FA-elig 640.5 2.8 -0.9
J.C. Escarra 30 – 400.5 0.6 +1.3
Yerry De los Santos 27 – 250.3 0.4 +0.8
DJ LeMahieu 36 – 450.3 15.0 -14.0
Amed Rosario↔ WSN 29 FA-elig 160.3 0.3 +0.7
Brent Headrick 27 pre-arb 170.1 0.4 +0.1
Oswaldo Cabrera 26 pre-arb 340.1 0.8 -0.4
Ryan Yarbrough 33 FA-elig 190.1 2.0 -1.6
Marcus Stroman 34 – 90.1 18.0 -17.7
Camilo Doval↔ SFG 27 arb 220.1 1.0 -0.7
JT Brubaker↔ SFG 31 – 120.1 1.2 -0.9
Tyler Matzek 34 – 70.1 0.1 +0.1
Ian Hamilton 30 pre-arb 360.0 0.6 -0.5
Paul Blackburn↔ NYM 31 arb 80.0 2.1 -1.9
Scott Effross 31 pre-arb 110.0 0.3 -0.3
Tim Hill 35 FA-elig 70-0.0 2.5 -2.6
Adam Ottavino 39 – 3-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Carlos Carrasco↔ ATL 38 – 8-0.1 1.1 -1.4
Geoff Hartlieb↔ DET 31 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Rico Garcia↔ BAL 31 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Jayvien Sandridge 26 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Allan Winans 29 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Yoendrys Gómez↔ CHW 25 – 6-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Jorbit Vivas 24 pre-arb 29-0.2 0.2 -1.2
Jake Bird↔ COL 29 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.0 -1.0
Clayton Beeter↔ WSN 26 – 2-0.3 0.0 -1.2
Austin Slater↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 14-0.3 0.3 -1.6
Pablo Reyes 31 – 25-0.4 0.9 -2.6
Jonathan Loáisiga 30 FA-elig 30-0.5 5.0 -7.1
Oswald Peraza↔ ANA 25 – 71-0.6 0.4 -2.6

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Cody Bellinger4.9
Max Fried4.8
Devin Williams1.4
Cam Schlittler1.3
José Caballero1.1
David Bednar0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Juan Soto8.3
Gleyber Torres1.8
Jose Trevino1.6
Clay Holmes1.2
Alex Verdugo0.6
Michael Tonkin0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$245.4M
2026 guaranteed
$120.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Aaron Judge338.051$40.0M$40.0M$40.0M$40.0M$40.0M$40.0M$40.0M
Giancarlo Stanton3514.118$32.0M$19.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Rodón329.168$27.8M$27.8M$27.8M$27.8MFREE AGENT
Cody Bellinger297.160$27.5MFREE AGENT
Marcus Stroman3410.026$18.0MFREE AGENT
DJ LeMahieu3612.128$15.0MFREE AGENT
Max Fried316.148$14.5M$14.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M
Paul Goldschmidt3713.059$12.5MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Loáisiga306.022$5.0MFREE AGENT
Luke Weaver317.112$2.8MCLUBFREE AGENT
Tim Hill356.112$2.5M$3.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Mark Leiter Jr.348.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Yarbrough336.117$2.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan McMahon307.006$1.5M$16.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Carrasco3813.147$1.1MFREE AGENT
Adam Ottavino3913.087$500kFREE AGENT
Amed Rosario297.062$336kFREE AGENT
Austin Slater326.147$275kFREE AGENT
Tyler Matzek3411.000$102kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Devin Williams305.056$8.6MFREE AGENT
Jazz Chisholm Jr.274.075$5.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Trent Grisham285.060$5.2MFREE AGENT
Clarke Schmidt293.148$3.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Blackburn315.018$2.1MFREE AGENT
David Bednar304.076$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
JT Brubaker315.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Camilo Doval273.071$985kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo Reyes313.043$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Anthony Volpe242.000$879kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oswaldo Cabrera262.050$826kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Gil272.073$804kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Wells251.031$801kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Cruz352.035$785kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Rice260.076$783kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jasson Domínguez220.130$774kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Warren260.016$768kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Hamilton302.126$643kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Escarra300.000$568kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yerry De los Santos27–$441k
Brent Headrick270.075$394kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oswald Peraza251.014$353kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Effross312.154$348kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cam Schlittler240.000$335kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorbit Vivas240.003$217kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Caballero281.170$168kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Allan Winans290.031$82kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoendrys Gómez250.029$35kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Bird292.092$33kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geoff Hartlieb311.158$21kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jayvien Sandridge260.000$20kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clayton Beeter260.011$20kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rico Garcia311.042$9kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Yankees 2025; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'NYY',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});