RRosternomics
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Phillies PHI

‹ ›

GM: Lee Thomas

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.93× league · TAB +12.5
+12.5TAB — talent above budget3rd/28
+16.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/28
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars5th/28
-2.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag4th/28
31%dead money %16th/28
0.599win %3rd/28
45.9roster fWAR6th/28
+8surplus $M (value vs cost)3rd/28
$30Mpayroll $M17th/28

1993: won pennant · 97–65. Ranks are vs the 28 teams that season.

Roster

CFLenny Dykstra 160GRuben Amaro Jr. 8GMilt Thompson 4G
LFMilt Thompson 101GPete Incaviglia 89GRuben Amaro Jr. 3G
RFJim Eisenreich 132GWes Chamberlain 76GPete Incaviglia 8G
SSKevin Stocker 70GMariano Duncan 59GKim Batiste 24G
2BMickey Morandini 111GMariano Duncan 65G
3BDave Hollins 143GKim Batiste 58GJeff Manto 6G
1BJohn Kruk 144GRicky Jordan 33GJim Eisenreich 1G
STARTERSTommy Greene 5.5WARCurt Schilling 4.4WARDanny Jackson 2.9WARTerry Mulholland 2.3WARBen Rivera 1.0WAR
CDarren Daulton 146GTodd Pratt 26G
BULLPEN★ Mitch Williams 43svDavid West 0hRoger Mason 0hLarry Andersen 0hDonn Pall 0hBobby Thigpen 0hMike Williams 0hTyler Green 0h
CDarren Daulton 146 · Todd Pratt 26
1BJohn Kruk 144 · Ricky Jordan 33 · Jim Eisenreich 1
2BMickey Morandini 111 · Mariano Duncan 65
3BDave Hollins 143 · Kim Batiste 58 · Jeff Manto 6
SSKevin Stocker 70 · Mariano Duncan 59 · Kim Batiste 24
LFMilt Thompson 101 · Pete Incaviglia 89 · Ruben Amaro Jr. 3
CFLenny Dykstra 160 · Ruben Amaro Jr. 8 · Milt Thompson 4
RFJim Eisenreich 132 · Wes Chamberlain 76 · Pete Incaviglia 8
SPTommy Greene 5.5 · Curt Schilling 4.4 · Danny Jackson 2.9 · Terry Mulholland 2.3 · Ben Rivera 1.0
BP★ Mitch Williams 43 · David West 0 · Roger Mason 0 · Larry Andersen 0 · Donn Pall 0 · Bobby Thigpen 0 · Mike Williams 0 · Tyler Green 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1993 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Lenny Dykstra 30 FA-elig 1616.8 3.1 +2.5
Tommy Greene 26 arb 325.5 0.4 +4.1
Darren Daulton 31 FA-elig 1475.3 2.5 +1.8
John Kruk 32 FA-elig 1504.9 2.5 +1.6
Curt Schilling 26 arb 344.4 1.0 +2.6
Dave Hollins 27 arb 1433.1 0.6 +1.9
Danny Jackson 31 FA-elig 322.9 2.6 -0.3
Pete Incaviglia 29 FA-elig 1162.5 1.1 +1.0
Terry Mulholland 30 FA-elig 292.3 2.6 -0.8
Jim Eisenreich 34 FA-elig 1532.2 0.7 +1.1
Larry Andersen 40 FA-elig 641.6 0.7 +0.6
Wes Chamberlain 27 arb 961.5 0.2 +1.0
Kevin Stocker 23 pre-arb 701.3 0.1 +1.0
Ben Rivera 25 pre-arb 301.0 0.2 +0.6
David West 28 arb 760.7 0.3 +0.2
Milt Thompson 34 FA-elig 1290.6 1.5 -1.0
Todd Pratt 26 pre-arb 330.6 0.1 +0.3
Ruben Amaro Jr. 28 pre-arb 250.5 0.1 +0.3
Mitch Williams 28 FA-elig 650.4 3.5 -3.2
Donn Pall↔ CHW 31 arb 80.3 0.1 +0.2
Tim Mauser↔ SDP 26 – 80.1 – –
Mike Williams 24 pre-arb 170.1 0.1 -0.0
Ricky Jordan 28 arb 900.1 1.0 -0.9
Mickey Morandini 27 arb 1200.1 0.3 -0.3
Joe Millette 27 – 100.1 – –
Tyler Green 23 pre-arb 30.0 0.1 -0.1
Doug Lindsey↔ CHW 25 – 20.0 – –
Tony Longmire 24 pre-arb 110.0 0.1 -0.1
Paul Fletcher 26 – 10.0 – –
Brad Brink 28 – 2-0.0 – –
Kim Batiste 25 pre-arb 79-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Jeff Manto 28 – 8-0.1 – –
Bobby Thigpen↔ CHW 29 FA-elig 17-0.1 1.4 -1.5
Bob Ayrault↔ SEA 27 pre-arb 10-0.2 0.1 -0.2
Mark Davis↔ SDP 32 – 25-0.3 – –
Jose DeLeon↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 24-0.3 0.2 -0.4
Kevin Foster 24 pre-arb 2-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Roger Mason↔ SDP 35 FA-elig 34-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Juan Bell↔ MIL 25 arb 24-0.5 0.0 -0.4
Mariano Duncan 30 FA-elig 124-0.5 2.0 -2.4

Key additions (new vs 1992)

PlayerfWAR
Danny Jackson2.9
Pete Incaviglia2.5
Jim Eisenreich2.2
Larry Andersen1.6
Kevin Stocker1.3
David West0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 1992)

Player1992 fWAR
Stan Javier1.3
Don Robinson0.6
Keith Shepherd0.4
Pat Combs0.3
Danny Cox0.2
Wally Backman0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1993 payroll
$29.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 1993, 1993–1999. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Mitch Williams287.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Lenny Dykstra308.000$3.1M$2.6M$6.2M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland307.000$2.6MFREE AGENT$445k
Danny Jackson3110.000$2.6M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Darren Daulton3110.000$2.5M$2.3M$5.3M$5.2M$3.0MFREE AGENT
John Kruk327.000$2.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Mariano Duncan308.000$2.0M$2.2M$321kFREE AGENT
Milt Thompson349.000$1.5M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Bobby Thigpen297.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Pete Incaviglia297.000$1.1M$1.1MFREE AGENT$491k
Larry Andersen4018.000$700k$350kFREE AGENT
Jim Eisenreich3411.000$675k$1.2M$1.4M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jose DeLeon3210.000$189kFREE AGENT
Roger Mason359.000$150k$436kFREE AGENT
Mark Davis3213.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Curt Schilling265.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Ricky Jordan285.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Dave Hollins273.000$625kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Greene264.000$390kARB 3FREE AGENT
David West285.000$315kFREE AGENT
Mickey Morandini273.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Chamberlain273.000$250kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donn Pall315.000$85kFREE AGENT
Juan Bell254.000$31kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Manto283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Ben Rivera251.000$185kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ruben Amaro Jr.282.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kim Batiste252.000$122kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Pratt261.000$122kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Williams241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Longmire240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Foster240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Green230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Stocker230.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Ayrault271.000$52kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Brink28–—
Paul Fletcher26–—
Doug Lindsey25–—
Tim Mauser262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Millette27–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 1993; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

'; return; } const s=sm(raw,w),n=s.length,X=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[1]*100)/100),Y=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[2]*10)/10),yr=s.map(d=>d[0]); let xa=Math.min(1,...X),xb=Math.max(1,...X),ya=Math.min(0,...Y),yb=Math.max(0,...Y); const px=(xb-xa)*.12+.04,py=(yb-ya)*.12+1.5;xa-=px;xb+=px;ya-=py;yb+=py; const k=Math.max(0,n-3), ann=[]; [['WINDOW','#15b6a0',xa<1&&yb>0,xa,yb,'left','top'],['CONTEND','#2f7ed8',xb>1&&yb>0,xb,yb,'right','top'], ['FORCED-SPEND','#ec5a3c',xb>1&&ya<0,xb,ya,'right','bottom'],['REBUILD','#f0a91c',xa<1&&ya<0,xa,ya,'left','bottom']].forEach(q=>{ if(q[2]) ann.push({x:q[3],y:q[4],xref:'x',yref:'y',text:q[0],showarrow:false,xanchor:q[5],yanchor:q[6],font:{size:10,color:q[1]},opacity:.85});}); ann.push({x:X[n-1],y:Y[n-1],ax:X[n-1]-0.5*(X[n-1]-X[k]),ay:Y[n-1]-0.5*(Y[n-1]-Y[k]),xref:'x',yref:'y',axref:'x',ayref:'y',showarrow:true,arrowhead:2,arrowsize:1.3,arrowwidth:1.7,arrowcolor:dirc,text:''}); Plotly.newPlot('orbit',[{x:X,y:Y,mode:'lines+markers',line:{color:col,width:2.6,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.7}, marker:{color:col,size:s.map((d,i)=>5+7*(i/Math.max(1,n-1))),line:{color:dark?'#1b1e23':'#fff',width:0.6}}, text:yr,hovertemplate:'%{text}
payroll %{x:.2f}× lg · TAB %{y:+.1f}
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'PHI',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});