RRosternomics
𝕏

Phillies PHI

‹ ›

GM: Ruben Amaro

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 7 in this regime · payroll 1.28× league · TAB +6.9
+6.9TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+8.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-3.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
34%dead money %13th/30
0.574win %5th/30
44.1roster fWAR4th/30
-16surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/30
$117Mpayroll $M7th/30

2009: won pennant · 93–69. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFShane Victorino 149GBen Francisco 40GJayson Werth 12G
LFRaul Ibanez 129GBen Francisco 61GJohn Mayberry Jr. 26G
RFJayson Werth 146GBen Francisco 18GMatt Stairs 9G
SSJimmy Rollins 155GEric Bruntlett 9GMiguel Cairo 3G
2BChase Utley 155GEric Bruntlett 13GMiguel Cairo 5G
3BPedro Feliz 155GGreg Dobbs 16GEric Bruntlett 7G
1BRyan Howard 156GGreg Dobbs 6GEric Bruntlett 2G
STARTERSCole Hamels 3.7WARCliff Lee 2.4WARJoe Blanton 2.1WARChan Ho Park 1.6WARJ.A. Happ 1.4WAR
CCarlos Ruiz 107GPaul Bako 42GPaul Hoover 3G
DHChris Coste 3GRyan Howard 3GGreg Dobbs 2G
BULLPEN★ Brad Lidge 31svRyan Madson 26hScott Eyre 13hChad Durbin 8hClay Condrey 7hJ.C. Romero 6hTyler Walker 1hJack Taschner 0h
CCarlos Ruiz 107 · Paul Bako 42 · Paul Hoover 3
1BRyan Howard 156 · Greg Dobbs 6 · Eric Bruntlett 2
2BChase Utley 155 · Eric Bruntlett 13 · Miguel Cairo 5
3BPedro Feliz 155 · Greg Dobbs 16 · Eric Bruntlett 7
SSJimmy Rollins 155 · Eric Bruntlett 9 · Miguel Cairo 3
LFRaul Ibanez 129 · Ben Francisco 61 · John Mayberry Jr. 26
CFShane Victorino 149 · Ben Francisco 40 · Jayson Werth 12
RFJayson Werth 146 · Ben Francisco 18 · Matt Stairs 9
DHChris Coste 3 · Ryan Howard 3 · Greg Dobbs 2
SPCole Hamels 3.7 · Cliff Lee 2.4 · Joe Blanton 2.1 · Chan Ho Park 1.6 · J.A. Happ 1.4
BP★ Brad Lidge 31 · Ryan Madson 26 · Scott Eyre 13 · Chad Durbin 8 · Clay Condrey 7 · J.C. Romero 6 · Tyler Walker 1 · Jack Taschner 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2009 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chase Utley 30 FA-elig 1568.2 11.3 +8.2
Jayson Werth 30 FA-elig 1594.7 2.5 +8.6
Ryan Howard 29 arb 1604.4 15.0 -4.4
Cole Hamels 25 arb 323.7 4.3 +4.6
Raul Ibanez 37 FA-elig 1343.4 7.2 +1.0
Shane Victorino 28 FA-elig 1563.4 3.1 +5.0
Jimmy Rollins 30 FA-elig 1552.5 8.5 -2.5
Cliff Lee↔ CLE 30 FA-elig 122.4 2.1 +3.6
Carlos Ruiz 30 arb 1072.1 0.5 +4.6
Joe Blanton 28 arb 312.1 5.5 -0.4
Chan Ho Park 36 FA-elig 451.6 2.5 +1.4
J.A. Happ 26 pre-arb 351.4 0.4 +2.9
Pedro Feliz 34 FA-elig 1581.4 5.0 -1.8
Ryan Madson 28 FA-elig 791.2 2.3 +0.5
Chris Coste↔ HOU 36 arb 450.9 0.2 +1.8
Paul Bako 37 – 440.7 – –
Jamie Moyer 46 FA-elig 300.7 6.5 -4.9
Ben Francisco↔ CLE 27 pre-arb 370.6 0.1 +1.2
Pedro Martínez 37 – 90.4 – –
Kyle Kendrick 24 pre-arb 90.3 0.5 +0.3
Matt Stairs 41 FA-elig 990.3 1.6 -0.9
Rodrigo Lopez 33 – 70.2 0.2 +0.4
Miguel Cairo 35 FA-elig 270.2 0.5 +0.1
Sergio Escalona 24 pre-arb 140.2 0.4 +0.0
Tyler Walker 33 – 320.1 – –
Paul Hoover 33 – 30.1 – –
Andy Tracy 35 – 90.1 – –
Clay Condrey 33 FA-elig 450.1 0.7 -0.5
Antonio Bastardo 23 pre-arb 60.1 0.4 -0.3
Steven Register 26 – 1-0.0 – –
Lou Marson↔ CLE 23 pre-arb 7-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Greg Dobbs 30 arb 97-0.0 1.1 -1.2
Scott Eyre 37 FA-elig 42-0.0 2.0 -2.1
Drew Carpenter 24 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.4 -0.5
Jack Taschner 31 arb 24-0.2 0.8 -1.4
John Mayberry Jr. 25 pre-arb 39-0.3 0.4 -1.0
J.C. Romero 33 FA-elig 21-0.4 4.2 -5.1
Brett Myers 28 FA-elig 18-0.4 12.1 -13.0
Chad Durbin 31 FA-elig 59-0.4 1.6 -2.7
Brad Lidge 32 FA-elig 67-0.8 12.0 -13.9
Eric Bruntlett 31 FA-elig 72-1.0 0.8 -3.2

Key additions (new vs 2008)

PlayerfWAR
Raul Ibanez3.4
Cliff Lee2.4
Chan Ho Park1.6
Paul Bako0.7
Ben Francisco0.6
Pedro Martínez0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2008)

Player2008 fWAR
Pat Burrell2.4
Adam Eaton0.6
Geoff Jenkins0.3
T.J. Bohn0.3
Chris Snelling0.2
Rudy Seanez0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2009 payroll
$117.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2009, 2009–2015. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Brett Myers287.000$12.1MFREE AGENT
Brad Lidge327.000$12.0M$12.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley306.000$11.3M$15.3M$15.3M$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M$10.2M
Jimmy Rollins309.000$8.5M$8.5M$8.5M$11.0M$11.0M$11.0MFREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez3713.000$7.2M$12.2M$12.2MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer4623.000$6.5M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Pedro Feliz349.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
J.C. Romero3310.000$4.2M$4.2M$900kFREE AGENT
Shane Victorino286.000$3.1M$5.0M$7.5M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park3615.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Jayson Werth307.000$2.5M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan Madson286.000$2.3M$4.8M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Cliff Lee307.000$2.1MFREE AGENT$11.0M$21.5M$25.0M$25.0M
Scott Eyre3712.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Chad Durbin3110.000$1.6M$2.1MFREE AGENT$1.1M
Matt Stairs4117.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Eric Bruntlett316.000$800kFREE AGENT
Clay Condrey337.000$650kFREE AGENT
Miguel Cairo3513.000$500kFREE AGENT
Rodrigo Lopez339.000$242kFREE AGENT
Pedro Martínez3717.000—FREE AGENT
Paul Bako3711.000—FREE AGENT
Paul Hoover338.000—FREE AGENT
Andy Tracy359.000—FREE AGENT
Tyler Walker337.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Ryan Howard295.000$15.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Blanton285.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Cole Hamels253.000$4.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Dobbs305.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jack Taschner314.000$835kARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Ruiz303.000$475kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Coste363.000$235kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Kyle Kendrick242.000$475kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.A. Happ262.000$405kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Escalona240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Carpenter241.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Mayberry Jr.250.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antonio Bastardo230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Marson231.000$133kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Francisco272.000$124kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Register26–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2009; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'PHI',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});