RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Jack McKeon

Overview

FORCED-SPEND → steady
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.1× league · TAB -0.9
-0.9TAB — talent above budget15th/26
-0.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/26
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/26
-3.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/26
18%dead money %3rd/26
0.512win %13th/26
34.5roster fWAR13th/26
-2surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/26
$11Mpayroll $M6th/26

Roster

CFKevin McReynolds 150GMiguel Dilone 22GBobby Brown 9G
LFCarmelo Martinez 150GAl Bumbry 12GMiguel Dilone 12G
RFTony Gwynn 152GGerry Davis 15GBobby Brown 11G
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 148GMario Ramirez 27GJerry Royster 7G
2BTim Flannery 121GJerry Royster 58GMario Ramirez 7G
3BGraig Nettles 131GKurt Bevacqua 33GJerry Royster 29G
1BSteve Garvey 162GKurt Bevacqua 9GTerry Kennedy 5G
STARTERSDave Dravecky 2.8WARLaMarr Hoyt 2.7WAREric Show 1.5WARAndy Hawkins 1.5WARMark Thurmond 1.3WAR
CTerry Kennedy 140GBruce Bochy 46G
BULLPEN★ Rich Gossage 26svCraig Lefferts 0hTim Stoddard 0hLuis DeLeon 0hRoy Lee Jackson 0hLance McCullers Sr. 0hGreg Booker 0hGene Walter 0h
CTerry Kennedy 140 · Bruce Bochy 46
1BSteve Garvey 162 · Kurt Bevacqua 9 · Terry Kennedy 5
2BTim Flannery 121 · Jerry Royster 58 · Mario Ramirez 7
3BGraig Nettles 131 · Kurt Bevacqua 33 · Jerry Royster 29
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 148 · Mario Ramirez 27 · Jerry Royster 7
LFCarmelo Martinez 150 · Al Bumbry 12 · Miguel Dilone 12
CFKevin McReynolds 150 · Miguel Dilone 22 · Bobby Brown 9
RFTony Gwynn 152 · Gerry Davis 15 · Bobby Brown 11
SPDave Dravecky 2.8 · LaMarr Hoyt 2.7 · Eric Show 1.5 · Andy Hawkins 1.5 · Mark Thurmond 1.3
BP★ Rich Gossage 26 · Craig Lefferts 0 · Tim Stoddard 0 · Luis DeLeon 0 · Roy Lee Jackson 0 · Lance McCullers Sr. 0 · Greg Booker 0 · Gene Walter 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1985 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tony Gwynn 25 arb 1544.2 0.4 +0.7
Carmelo Martinez 24 pre-arb 1503.4 0.1 +0.7
Graig Nettles 40 FA-elig 1373.0 0.9 -0.1
Terry Kennedy 29 FA-elig 1432.9 0.9 -0.1
Dave Dravecky 29 arb 342.8 0.2 +0.5
LaMarr Hoyt 30 FA-elig 312.7 1.0 -0.3
Rich Gossage 33 FA-elig 502.6 1.7 -1.0
Garry Templeton Sr. 29 FA-elig 1482.5 1.1 -0.5
Tim Flannery 27 FA-elig 1262.3 0.2 +0.4
Jerry Royster 32 FA-elig 902.0 0.3 +0.2
Kevin McReynolds 25 pre-arb 1521.9 0.1 +0.3
Andy Hawkins 25 arb 331.5 0.2 +0.2
Steve Garvey 36 FA-elig 1621.5 1.0 -0.6
Eric Show 29 arb 351.5 0.5 -0.2
Mark Thurmond 28 pre-arb 361.3 0.1 +0.2
Gene Walter 24 – 150.6 – –
Bruce Bochy 30 – 480.5 – –
Craig Lefferts 27 pre-arb 600.3 0.3 -0.2
Roy Lee Jackson 31 FA-elig 220.2 0.3 -0.3
Lance McCullers Sr. 21 – 210.1 – –
Gerry Davis 26 – 440.0 – –
Tim Stoddard 32 FA-elig 440.0 0.6 -0.6
Edwin Rodriguez 24 – 1-0.0 – –
Miguel Dilone↔ WSN 30 FA-elig 27-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Al Bumbry 38 FA-elig 68-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Luis DeLeon 26 arb 29-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Bob Patterson 26 – 3-0.2 – –
Mario Ramirez 27 – 37-0.3 – –
Ed Wojna 24 – 15-0.3 – –
Kurt Bevacqua 38 FA-elig 71-0.3 0.1 -0.2
Greg Booker 25 – 17-0.5 – –
Alan Wiggins↔ BAL 27 arb 10-0.5 0.1 -0.2
Bobby Brown 31 FA-elig 79-0.8 0.1 -0.3

Key additions (new vs 1984)

PlayerfWAR
Tony Gwynn4.2
Carmelo Martinez3.4
Graig Nettles3.0
Terry Kennedy2.9
Dave Dravecky2.8
LaMarr Hoyt2.7

Key subtractions (gone from 1984)

Player1984 fWAR
—

Current & Historical Payroll

1985 payroll
$10.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 1985, 1985–1991. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1985198619871988198919901991
Rich Gossage3313.000$1.7M$1.0M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Garry Templeton Sr.299.000$1.1M$1.1M$1.1M$1.1M$700k$550k$379k
Steve Garvey3616.000$975k$1.2M$1.4MFREE AGENT
LaMarr Hoyt306.000$975k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Graig Nettles4018.000$900k$912kFREE AGENT
Terry Kennedy297.000$870k$920kFREE AGENT
Tim Stoddard3210.000$556k$375kFREE AGENT
Roy Lee Jackson318.000$340kFREE AGENT
Jerry Royster3212.000$325k$362kFREE AGENT
Tim Flannery276.000$175k$192k$327k$382k$400kFREE AGENT
Al Bumbry3813.000$160kFREE AGENT
Bobby Brown316.000$150kFREE AGENT
Kurt Bevacqua3814.000$140kFREE AGENT
Miguel Dilone3011.000$61kFREE AGENT
Bruce Bochy307.000—$125k$135kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc1985198619871988198919901991
Eric Show294.000$538kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn253.000$440kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Dravecky293.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Hawkins253.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis DeLeon264.000$155kARB 3FREE AGENT
Alan Wiggins274.000$60kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1985198619871988198919901991
Craig Lefferts272.000$270kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin McReynolds252.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carmelo Martinez242.000$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Thurmond282.000$130kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Booker252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerry Davis26–—
Lance McCullers Sr.210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Patterson260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mario Ramirez27–—
Edwin Rodriguez24–—
Gene Walter240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ed Wojna240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1985; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.