RRosternomics
𝕏

Rangers TEX

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.93× league · TAB -12.9
-12.9TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-14.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars21st/30
-5.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
25%dead money %5th/30
0.414win %23rd/30
20.5roster fWAR25th/30
-52surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$122Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFDelino DeShields 102GCarlos Tocci 47GDrew Robinson 22G
LFJoey Gallo 85GRyan Rua 38GWillie Calhoun 27G
RFNomar Mazara 113GShin-Soo Choo 34GJoey Gallo 16G
SSElvis Andrus 97GJurickson Profar 68GHanser Alberto 5G
2BRougned Odor 127GIsiah Kiner-Falefa 20GJurickson Profar 10G
3BAdrian Beltré 70GJurickson Profar 51GIsiah Kiner-Falefa 46G
1BRonald Guzmán 117GJoey Gallo 35GJurickson Profar 24G
STARTERSMike Minor 2.6WARYovani Gallardo 0.5WARDoug Fister 0.4WARBartolo Colon 0.4WARAriel Jurado 0.3WAR
CRobinson Chirinos 108GIsiah Kiner-Falefa 35GCarlos Pérez 25G
DHShin-Soo Choo 85GAdrian Beltré 44GNomar Mazara 12G
BULLPEN★ José Leclerc 12svAlex Claudio 14hChris Martin 14hMatt Bush 3hKevin Jepsen 3hEddie Butler 2hJeffrey Springs 2hTony Barnette 1h
CRobinson Chirinos 108 · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 35 · Carlos Pérez 25
1BRonald Guzmán 117 · Joey Gallo 35 · Jurickson Profar 24
2BRougned Odor 127 · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 20 · Jurickson Profar 10
3BAdrian Beltré 70 · Jurickson Profar 51 · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 46
SSElvis Andrus 97 · Jurickson Profar 68 · Hanser Alberto 5
LFJoey Gallo 85 · Ryan Rua 38 · Willie Calhoun 27
CFDelino DeShields 102 · Carlos Tocci 47 · Drew Robinson 22
RFNomar Mazara 113 · Shin-Soo Choo 34 · Joey Gallo 16
DHShin-Soo Choo 85 · Adrian Beltré 44 · Nomar Mazara 12
SPMike Minor 2.6 · Yovani Gallardo 0.5 · Doug Fister 0.4 · Bartolo Colon 0.4 · Ariel Jurado 0.3
BP★ José Leclerc 12 · Alex Claudio 14 · Chris Martin 14 · Matt Bush 3 · Kevin Jepsen 3 · Eddie Butler 2 · Jeffrey Springs 2 · Tony Barnette 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2018 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
José Leclerc 24 pre-arb 592.6 0.5 +8.4
Mike Minor 30 FA-elig 282.6 8.3 +0.5
Rougned Odor 24 arb 1292.4 3.3 +4.8
Jurickson Profar 25 FA-elig 1462.2 1.1 +6.5
Joey Gallo 24 arb 1482.2 0.6 +6.8
Shin-Soo Choo 35 FA-elig 1461.9 20.0 -13.4
Adrian Beltré 39 FA-elig 1191.2 18.0 -14.1
Keone Kela↔ PIT 25 arb 381.1 0.8 +3.0
Alex Claudio 26 arb 661.0 0.6 +2.7
Robinson Chirinos 34 FA-elig 1130.9 2.2 +0.7
Elvis Andrus 29 FA-elig 970.8 15.2 -12.5
Jake Diekman↔ ARI 31 FA-elig 470.7 1.8 +0.7
Chris Martin 32 arb 460.7 1.8 +0.5
Delino DeShields 25 arb 1060.6 0.6 +1.5
Cole Hamels↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 200.6 14.7 -12.6
Nomar Mazara 23 pre-arb 1280.6 0.6 +1.3
Yovani Gallardo↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 180.5 1.0 +0.8
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 23 – 1110.5 0.5 +1.1
Ronald Guzmán 23 – 1230.4 0.5 +0.9
Doug Fister 34 FA-elig 120.4 3.5 -2.2
Bartolo Colon 45 FA-elig 280.4 1.8 -0.4
Cory Gearrin↔ OAK 32 FA-elig 210.4 0.6 +0.6
Tony Barnette 34 pre-arb 220.3 1.5 -0.4
Ariel Jurado 22 – 120.3 0.2 +0.9
Jeffrey Springs 25 – 180.2 0.2 +0.6
Jesse Chavez↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 300.2 0.5 +0.2
Austin Bibens-Dirkx 33 – 130.2 0.2 +0.5
Matt Moore 29 FA-elig 390.2 9.0 -8.4
Ricardo Rodríguez 25 pre-arb 40.1 0.2 +0.3
CD Pelham 23 – 100.1 0.1 +0.3
Nick Gardewine 24 pre-arb 30.1 0.1 +0.2
Yohander Méndez 23 pre-arb 80.0 0.1 +0.0
Connor Sadzeck 26 – 13-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Adrian Sampson 26 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jose Trevino 25 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Brandon Mann 34 – 7-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Martín Pérez 27 FA-elig 22-0.1 6.0 -6.3
Matt Bush 32 pre-arb 21-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Zac Curtis↔ PHI 25 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Hanser Alberto 25 pre-arb 13-0.2 0.2 -0.7
Drew Hutchison↔ PHI 27 FA-elig 5-0.3 0.9 -1.8
Drew Robinson 26 pre-arb 47-0.3 0.3 -1.4
Juan Centeno 28 arb 10-0.5 0.6 -2.2
Renato Núñez↔ BAL 24 – 13-0.5 0.0 -1.6
Carlos Pérez↔ ATL 27 pre-arb 20-0.5 0.2 -2.0
Carlos Tocci 22 pre-arb 66-0.6 0.5 -2.5
Kevin Jepsen 33 – 21-0.6 0.4 -2.4
Willie Calhoun 23 pre-arb 35-0.6 0.2 -2.2
Ryan Rua 28 arb 61-0.6 0.9 -2.9
Eddie Butler↔ CHC 27 arb 22-0.9 0.4 -3.4

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Minor2.6
Chris Martin0.7
Yovani Gallardo0.5
Isiah Kiner-Falefa0.5
Ronald Guzmán0.4
Doug Fister0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Yu Darvish2.7
Andrew Cashner2.2
Carlos Gómez2.0
Nick Martinez0.3
Jason Grilli0.2
Ernesto Frieri0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$121.7M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Shin-Soo Choo3510.119$20.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré3919.096$18.0MFREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus299.000$15.2MFREE AGENT
Cole Hamels3411.143$14.7MFREE AGENT
Matt Moore296.000$9.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Minor306.138$8.3MFREE AGENT
Doug Fister347.158$3.5MFREE AGENT
Bartolo Colon4519.059$1.8MFREE AGENT
Yovani Gallardo3210.108$977kFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez347.108$533kFREE AGENT
Kevin Jepsen337.163$363kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Martín Pérez275.038$6.0MFREE AGENT
Rougned Odor243.121$3.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robinson Chirinos345.102$2.2MFREE AGENT
Jake Diekman315.050$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar253.165$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Hutchison273.165$938kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keone Kela253.000$844kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Gearrin324.136$567kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronald Guzmán234.090$501kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Chris Martin320.133$1.8MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Barnette342.000$1.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rua282.129$870kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Centeno281.140$600kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Claudio262.114$568kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nomar Mazara232.000$564kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Delino DeShields252.116$562kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Gallo241.103$560kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Bush321.143$556kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Tocci220.000$545kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa230.000$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Leclerc241.041$502kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Butler271.141$419kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Robinson260.103$315kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricardo Rodríguez250.138$237kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Pérez272.021$234kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Bibens-Dirkx33–$199k
Brandon Mann34–$193k
Ariel Jurado220.000$193kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeffrey Springs250.000$182kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hanser Alberto252.023$176kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Calhoun230.020$158kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohander Méndez230.059$129kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gardewine240.083$117kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Sadzeck262.047$91kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrian Sampson260.107$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
CD Pelham230.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zac Curtis250.097$47kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Renato Núñez240.048$38kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Trevino250.000$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2018; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'TEX',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});