RRosternomics
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Rangers TEX

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: Chris Young

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.37× league · TAB +10.8
+10.8TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+4.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)13th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-2.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
18%dead money %5th/30
0.556win %6th/30
48.9roster fWAR4th/30
-17surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/30
$211Mpayroll $M6th/30

2023: World Series champions · 90–72. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFLeody Taveras 140GTravis Jankowski 14GAdolis García 8G
LFTravis Jankowski 78GRobbie Grossman 48GEzequiel Duran 34G
RFAdolis García 135GRobbie Grossman 28GTravis Jankowski 16G
SSCorey Seager 112GEzequiel Duran 37GJosh Smith 33G
2BMarcus Semien 162GEzequiel Duran 9GJosh Smith 3G
3BJosh Jung 121GJosh Smith 25GEzequiel Duran 22G
1BNathaniel Lowe 161GBrad Miller 5GSam Huff 4G
STARTERSNathan Eovaldi 2.3WARDane Dunning 1.9WARJon Gray 1.7WARJordan Montgomery 1.6WARJacob deGrom 1.5WAR
CJonah Heim 124GAustin Hedges 80GMitch Garver 28G
DHMitch Garver 57GRobbie Grossman 39GEzequiel Duran 21G
BULLPEN★ Will Smith 22svAroldis Chapman 14hJosh Sborz 14hBrock Burke 12hJonathan Hernández 10hChris Stratton 8hJosé Leclerc 8hGrant Anderson 5h
CJonah Heim 124 · Austin Hedges 80 · Mitch Garver 28
1BNathaniel Lowe 161 · Brad Miller 5 · Sam Huff 4
2BMarcus Semien 162 · Ezequiel Duran 9 · Josh Smith 3
3BJosh Jung 121 · Josh Smith 25 · Ezequiel Duran 22
SSCorey Seager 112 · Ezequiel Duran 37 · Josh Smith 33
LFTravis Jankowski 78 · Robbie Grossman 48 · Ezequiel Duran 34
CFLeody Taveras 140 · Travis Jankowski 14 · Adolis García 8
RFAdolis García 135 · Robbie Grossman 28 · Travis Jankowski 16
DHMitch Garver 57 · Robbie Grossman 39 · Ezequiel Duran 21
SPNathan Eovaldi 2.3 · Dane Dunning 1.9 · Jon Gray 1.7 · Jordan Montgomery 1.6 · Jacob deGrom 1.5
BP★ Will Smith 22 · Aroldis Chapman 14 · Josh Sborz 14 · Brock Burke 12 · Jonathan Hernández 10 · Chris Stratton 8 · José Leclerc 8 · Grant Anderson 5

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Marcus Semien 32 FA-elig 1626.5 26.0 -0.3
Corey Seager 29 FA-elig 1196.4 35.5 -10.2
Adolis García 30 arb 1484.7 0.7 +17.8
Jonah Heim 28 arb 1314.0 0.7 +15.3
Josh Jung 25 pre-arb 1222.8 0.7 +10.4
Nathaniel Lowe 27 arb 1612.7 4.0 +6.8
Leody Taveras 24 arb 1432.5 0.7 +9.3
Nathan Eovaldi 33 FA-elig 252.3 16.0 -6.7
Mitch Garver 32 FA-elig 872.2 3.9 +4.9
Dane Dunning 28 arb 351.9 0.7 +7.0
Jon Gray 31 FA-elig 291.7 15.0 -8.3
Jordan Montgomery↔ STL 30 FA-elig 111.6 3.4 +3.0
Jacob deGrom 35 FA-elig 61.5 30.0 -24.2
Ezequiel Duran 24 pre-arb 1221.4 0.7 +4.7
Evan Carter 20 – 231.2 0.1 +4.8
Andrew Heaney 32 FA-elig 341.2 12.0 -7.3
Max Scherzer↔ NYM 38 FA-elig 81.1 12.8 -8.3
Travis Jankowski 32 FA-elig 1071.1 1.2 +3.2
Will Smith 33 FA-elig 601.1 1.5 +2.7
José Leclerc 29 FA-elig 570.8 6.0 -2.6
Josh Sborz 29 arb 440.7 0.7 +1.9
Robbie Grossman 33 FA-elig 1150.5 2.0 -0.2
Aroldis Chapman↔ KCR 35 FA-elig 300.5 1.8 -0.0
Martín Pérez 32 FA-elig 350.3 19.6 -18.5
Cody Bradford 25 – 200.3 0.3 +0.7
Yerry Rodríguez 25 pre-arb 130.2 0.1 +0.5
John King↔ STL 28 – 150.2 0.1 +0.5
Sam Huff 25 pre-arb 210.1 0.2 +0.3
Chris Stratton↔ STL 32 FA-elig 220.1 1.0 -0.6
Grant Anderson 26 – 260.1 0.3 -0.1
Josh Smith 25 pre-arb 900.1 0.7 -0.5
Austin Hedges↔ PIT 30 FA-elig 170.1 1.0 -0.8
Jacob Latz 27 pre-arb 30.1 0.0 +0.2
Jonathan Hernández 26 arb 330.0 1.0 -0.9
Taylor Hearn↔ ATL 28 arb 4-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Jonathan Ornelas 23 – 8-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Alex Speas 25 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Spencer Howard 26 – 3-0.1 0.3 -0.7
Joe Barlow 27 – 13-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Owen White 23 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Ian Kennedy 38 FA-elig 16-0.1 2.2 -2.8
Brad Miller 33 FA-elig 27-0.2 4.0 -4.6
Cole Ragans↔ KCR 25 pre-arb 17-0.2 0.4 -1.2
Brock Burke 26 arb 53-0.3 0.7 -1.8
J.P. Martínez 27 – 17-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Bubba Thompson 25 pre-arb 37-0.4 0.7 -2.2
Sandy León 34 FA-elig 22-0.5 0.1 -1.9
Glenn Otto Jr. 27 – 6-0.6 0.5 -2.9

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Nathan Eovaldi2.3
Jordan Montgomery1.6
Jacob deGrom1.5
Evan Carter1.2
Andrew Heaney1.2
Max Scherzer1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Matt Moore1.3
Dennis Santana0.7
Eli White0.6
Mark Mathias0.6
Meibrys Viloria0.4
Garrett Richards0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$211.0M
2024 guaranteed
$101.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Corey Seager297.032$35.5M$35.0M$32.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M$31.5M
Jacob deGrom358.139$30.0M$40.0M$40.1M$38.0M$37.0MFREE AGENT
Marcus Semien328.118$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Martín Pérez3210.038$19.6MFREE AGENT
Nathan Eovaldi3311.013$16.0MFREE AGENT
Jon Gray317.062$15.0MFREE AGENT
Max Scherzer3814.079$12.8MFREE AGENT
Andrew Heaney327.150$12.0MFREE AGENT
José Leclerc296.041$6.0MFREE AGENT
Brad Miller339.004$4.0MFREE AGENT
Ian Kennedy3816.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Robbie Grossman338.060$2.0MFREE AGENT
Aroldis Chapman3512.009$1.8MFREE AGENT
Will Smith3311.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Austin Hedges306.166$1.0MFREE AGENT
Sandy León348.043$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Mitch Garver325.045$3.9MFREE AGENT
Jordan Montgomery305.153$3.4MFREE AGENT
Travis Jankowski325.153$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Hernández263.041$995kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Stratton325.100$962kFREE AGENT
Taylor Hearn283.125$450kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Nathaniel Lowe272.145$4.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adolis García302.095$748kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonah Heim282.097$746kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brock Burke262.065$743kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Dunning282.083$743kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Sborz292.055$733kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leody Taveras241.124$733kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Smith251.000$727kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bubba Thompson250.063$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ezequiel Duran240.072$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Jung250.027$721kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Otto Jr.271.033$495kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Ragans250.063$424kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Anderson260.000$321kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Bradford250.000$317kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Howard262.088$315kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Huff251.070$248kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Barlow271.103$197kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yerry Rodríguez250.005$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.P. Martínez270.000$112kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John King282.026$101kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Carter200.000$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Ornelas230.000$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Latz270.006$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Speas250.000$27kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Owen White230.000$23kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'TEX',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});