RRosternomics
𝕏

Dodgers LAD

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: Andrew Friedman · GM: Brandon Gomes

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 11 in this regime · payroll 1.64× league · TAB +8.1
+8.1TAB — talent above budget10th/30
+9.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)6th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars3rd/30
-3.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
24%dead money %7th/30
0.605win %1st/30
48.3roster fWAR2nd/30
-63surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/30
$264Mpayroll $M3rd/30

2024: World Series champions · 98–64. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFKevin Kiermaier 112GAndy Pages 87GJames Outman 49G
LFTeoscar Hernández 120GChris Taylor 48GEnrique Hernández 15G
RFTeoscar Hernández 60GMookie Betts 43GAndy Pages 40G
SSMiguel Rojas 82GMookie Betts 65GTommy Edman 18G
2BGavin Lux 138GChris Taylor 21GMookie Betts 18G
3BMax Muncy 72GEnrique Hernández 71GChris Taylor 24G
1BFreddie Freeman 147GEnrique Hernández 18GCavan Biggio 17G
STARTERSTyler Glasnow 3.9WARYoshinobu Yamamoto 2.9WARGavin Stone 2.1WARJack Flaherty 0.8WARClayton Kershaw 0.7WAR
CWill Smith 121GAustin Barnes 45GHunter Feduccia 4G
DHShohei Ohtani 159GAustin Barnes 3GWill Smith 3G
BULLPEN★ Evan Phillips 18svDaniel Hudson 17hBlake Treinen 16hAlex Vesia 13hJoe Kelly 13hMichael Kopech 9hAnthony Banda 9hMichael Grove 7h
CWill Smith 121 · Austin Barnes 45 · Hunter Feduccia 4
1BFreddie Freeman 147 · Enrique Hernández 18 · Cavan Biggio 17
2BGavin Lux 138 · Chris Taylor 21 · Mookie Betts 18
3BMax Muncy 72 · Enrique Hernández 71 · Chris Taylor 24
SSMiguel Rojas 82 · Mookie Betts 65 · Tommy Edman 18
LFTeoscar Hernández 120 · Chris Taylor 48 · Enrique Hernández 15
CFKevin Kiermaier 112 · Andy Pages 87 · James Outman 49
RFTeoscar Hernández 60 · Mookie Betts 43 · Andy Pages 40
DHShohei Ohtani 159 · Austin Barnes 3 · Will Smith 3
SPTyler Glasnow 3.9 · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2.9 · Gavin Stone 2.1 · Jack Flaherty 0.8 · Clayton Kershaw 0.7
BP★ Evan Phillips 18 · Daniel Hudson 17 · Blake Treinen 16 · Alex Vesia 13 · Joe Kelly 13 · Michael Kopech 9 · Anthony Banda 9 · Michael Grove 7

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Shohei Ohtani 29 FA-elig 1599.0 28.2 +9.1
Mookie Betts 31 FA-elig 1164.3 30.4 -12.5
Freddie Freeman 34 FA-elig 1473.9 27.0 -10.6
Tyler Glasnow 30 FA-elig 223.9 17.5 -1.3
Teoscar Hernández 31 FA-elig 1543.4 23.5 -9.3
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 25 pre-arb 182.9 9.2 +2.8
Miguel Rojas 35 FA-elig 1032.8 5.8 +5.8
Will Smith 29 arb 1282.6 16.6 -5.7
Max Muncy 33 FA-elig 732.3 9.5 +0.1
Gavin Stone 25 pre-arb 252.1 0.7 +8.2
Gavin Lux 26 arb 1391.4 1.2 +4.8
Andy Pages 23 pre-arb 1161.3 0.7 +4.5
Alex Vesia 28 arb 671.1 1.0 +3.7
Blake Treinen 36 FA-elig 501.0 1.0 +3.2
Evan Phillips 29 FA-elig 610.9 4.0 -0.3
Tommy Edman 29 arb 370.8 2.5 +1.0
Jack Flaherty↔ DET 28 FA-elig 100.8 5.0 -1.7
Enrique Hernández 32 FA-elig 1260.7 4.0 -1.2
Clayton Kershaw 36 FA-elig 70.7 5.0 -2.3
Michael Kopech↔ CHW 28 FA-elig 240.6 1.1 +1.6
Anthony Banda 30 arb 480.6 0.5 +1.9
Landon Knack 26 pre-arb 150.5 0.7 +1.5
Jason Heyward↔ HOU 34 FA-elig 630.5 6.5 -4.4
Austin Barnes 34 FA-elig 540.5 3.5 -1.4
James Paxton↔ BOS 35 FA-elig 180.5 6.0 -4.0
River Ryan 25 – 40.4 0.3 +1.4
Michael Grove 27 pre-arb 390.4 0.8 +0.9
Ryan Brasier 36 FA-elig 290.4 4.5 -2.9
Daniel Hudson 37 FA-elig 650.3 2.0 -0.9
Ben Casparius 25 – 30.3 0.0 +1.0
Nick Ahmed↔ SDP 34 FA-elig 170.2 0.2 +0.6
Miguel Vargas↔ CHW 24 pre-arb 300.2 0.3 +0.4
Edgardo Henriquez 22 – 30.2 0.0 +0.6
Brusdar Graterol 25 arb 70.2 2.7 -2.1
Kyle Hurt 26 pre-arb 30.1 0.7 -0.2
Amed Rosario↔ CIN 28 FA-elig 50.1 0.1 +0.3
Brent Honeywell↔ PIT 29 pre-arb 180.1 0.2 +0.2
Hunter Feduccia 27 – 50.1 0.1 +0.3
Nabil Crismatt 29 – 50.1 0.1 +0.2
Yohan Ramírez↔ BAL 29 – 270.1 0.2 +0.0
Nick Ramirez 34 arb 80.1 0.7 -0.5
Ricky Vanasco↔ DET 25 pre-arb 20.0 0.5 -0.3
Eduardo Salazar↔ WSN 26 – 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Zach Logue 28 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Joe Kelly 36 FA-elig 35-0.0 8.0 -8.1
Kevin Kiermaier↔ TOR 34 FA-elig 34-0.1 3.1 -3.4
Dinelson Lamet 31 – 3-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Walker Buehler 29 FA-elig 16-0.1 8.0 -8.4
Gus Varland↔ CHW 27 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Connor Brogdon↔ PHI 29 arb 1-0.1 0.2 -0.8
Taylor Trammell↔ NYY 26 – 5-0.1 0.0 -0.6
J.P. Feyereisen 31 arb 10-0.2 0.8 -1.6
Cavan Biggio↔ ATL 29 arb 30-0.2 1.6 -2.4
Elieser Hernández↔ MIL 29 – 5-0.2 0.1 -1.0
Michael Petersen↔ MIA 30 – 11-0.2 0.1 -1.1
Ryan Yarbrough↔ TOR 32 FA-elig 32-0.3 2.8 -4.0
Justin Wrobleski 23 – 8-0.3 0.1 -1.5
James Outman 27 pre-arb 53-0.4 0.8 -2.2
Chris Taylor 33 FA-elig 87-0.6 13.0 -15.4
Bobby Miller 25 pre-arb 13-0.9 0.8 -4.3

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Shohei Ohtani9.0
Tyler Glasnow3.9
Teoscar Hernández3.4
Yoshinobu Yamamoto2.9
Gavin Lux1.4
Andy Pages1.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
J.D. Martinez2.3
Caleb Ferguson1.3
Julio Urías1.3
Shelby Miller0.5
Ryan Pepiot0.4
Victor González0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$264.3M
2025 guaranteed
$140.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Mookie Betts319.070$30.4M$26.2M$25.2M$29.7M$29.7M$29.7M$27.2M
Shohei Ohtani296.000$28.2M$28.2M$28.2M$28.2M$28.2M$28.2M$28.2M
Freddie Freeman3413.033$27.0M$22.7M$22.9M$23.1MFREE AGENT
Teoscar Hernández316.097$23.5MFREE AGENT
Tyler Glasnow306.158$17.5M$32.5M$32.5M$32.5M$30.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Will Smith294.090$16.6M$12.9M$12.9M$12.9M$9.4M$9.4M$9.4M
Chris Taylor338.037$13.0MFREE AGENT
Max Muncy337.027$9.5MFREE AGENT
Yoshinobu Yamamoto250.000$9.2M$18.3M$20.3M$34.3M$34.3M$34.3M$33.2MOPT-OUT
Joe Kelly3611.029$8.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Heyward3414.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
James Paxton359.151$6.0MFREE AGENT
Miguel Rojas359.043$5.8MFREE AGENT
Jack Flaherty286.006$5.0MFREE AGENT
Clayton Kershaw3615.105$5.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Brasier366.109$4.5MFREE AGENT
Enrique Hernández329.054$4.0MFREE AGENT
Austin Barnes347.098$3.5MFREE AGENT
Kevin Kiermaier349.131$3.1MFREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson3713.106$2.0MFREE AGENT
Blake Treinen369.065$1.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Nick Ahmed349.043$204kFREE AGENT
Dinelson Lamet316.070$97kFREE AGENT
Amed Rosario286.062$73kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Walker Buehler295.168$8.0MFREE AGENT
Evan Phillips293.136$4.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Yarbrough325.117$2.8MFREE AGENT
Brusdar Graterol253.167$2.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Edman294.114$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Cavan Biggio294.129$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Lux263.114$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kopech284.041$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Vesia283.078$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.P. Feyereisen313.108$770kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Banda303.001$529kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohan Ramírez293.001$206kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elieser Hernández295.051$131kFREE AGENT
Nabil Crismatt293.033$110kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
James Outman271.006$770kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Grove271.031$760kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Miller250.132$750kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Stone250.034$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Hurt260.020$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Landon Knack260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Pages230.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Ramirez342.019$740kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Vanasco250.000$450kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Vargas240.142$308kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
River Ryan250.000$274kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Honeywell291.142$212kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gus Varland270.102$199kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Brogdon292.139$190kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Wrobleski230.000$115kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Feduccia270.000$99kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Petersen300.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Trammell261.103$40kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Casparius250.000$40kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgardo Henriquez220.000$20kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Salazar260.021$11kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Logue280.095$8kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'LAD',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});