RRosternomics
𝕏

Dodgers LAD

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: Andrew Friedman · GM: Brandon Gomes

Overview

CONTEND → steady
expensive & winning · year 10 in this regime · payroll 1.31× league · TAB +11.6
+11.6TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+14.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-2.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag4th/30
27%dead money %9th/30
0.617win %3rd/30
49.0roster fWAR3rd/30
-6surplus $M (value vs cost)14th/30
$200Mpayroll $M8th/30

2023: made playoffs · 100–62. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFJames Outman 135GJake Marisnick 35GJason Heyward 23G
LFDavid Peralta 118GChris Taylor 57GJames Outman 17G
RFMookie Betts 107GJason Heyward 90GDavid Peralta 12G
SSMiguel Rojas 121GAmed Rosario 104GEnrique Hernández 74G
2BMiguel Vargas 78GKolten Wong 76GMookie Betts 70G
3BMax Muncy 124GChris Taylor 28GMichael Busch 13G
1BFreddie Freeman 161GEnrique Hernández 10GJason Heyward 6G
STARTERSBobby Miller 2.9WARClayton Kershaw 2.4WARDustin May 1.3WARCaleb Ferguson 1.3WARJulio Urías 1.3WAR
CWill Smith 111GAustin Barnes 53G
DHJ.D. Martinez 110GWill Smith 14GMax Muncy 10G
BULLPEN★ Evan Phillips 24svBrusdar Graterol 19hJoe Kelly 13hRyan Brasier 11hAlex Vesia 10hYency Almonte 10hVictor González 4hShelby Miller 3h
CWill Smith 111 · Austin Barnes 53
1BFreddie Freeman 161 · Enrique Hernández 10 · Jason Heyward 6
2BMiguel Vargas 78 · Kolten Wong 76 · Mookie Betts 70
3BMax Muncy 124 · Chris Taylor 28 · Michael Busch 13
SSMiguel Rojas 121 · Amed Rosario 104 · Enrique Hernández 74
LFDavid Peralta 118 · Chris Taylor 57 · James Outman 17
CFJames Outman 135 · Jake Marisnick 35 · Jason Heyward 23
RFMookie Betts 107 · Jason Heyward 90 · David Peralta 12
DHJ.D. Martinez 110 · Will Smith 14 · Max Muncy 10
SPBobby Miller 2.9 · Clayton Kershaw 2.4 · Dustin May 1.3 · Caleb Ferguson 1.3 · Julio Urías 1.3
BP★ Evan Phillips 24 · Brusdar Graterol 19 · Joe Kelly 13 · Ryan Brasier 11 · Alex Vesia 10 · Yency Almonte 10 · Victor González 4 · Shelby Miller 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Freddie Freeman 33 FA-elig 1617.7 27.0 +3.6
Mookie Betts 30 FA-elig 1527.6 25.4 +4.7
James Outman 26 pre-arb 1513.9 0.7 +14.7
Will Smith 28 arb 1263.8 5.2 +9.8
Bobby Miller 24 – 222.9 0.5 +11.1
Max Muncy 32 FA-elig 1352.5 13.5 -3.6
Clayton Kershaw 35 FA-elig 242.4 20.0 -10.3
J.D. Martinez 35 FA-elig 1132.3 10.0 -0.7
Jason Heyward 33 FA-elig 1242.2 0.7 +8.1
Brusdar Graterol 24 arb 681.4 1.2 +4.5
Caleb Ferguson 26 arb 681.3 1.1 +4.2
Julio Urías 26 FA-elig 211.3 14.2 -9.0
Dustin May 25 arb 91.3 1.7 +3.3
Evan Phillips 28 arb 621.2 1.3 +3.7
Chris Taylor 32 FA-elig 1171.2 15.0 -10.1
Ryan Brasier↔ BOS 35 FA-elig 391.1 1.3 +3.1
Michael Grove 26 pre-arb 180.8 0.7 +2.5
Alex Vesia 27 arb 560.7 0.8 +2.1
Miguel Rojas 34 FA-elig 1250.6 4.2 -2.0
Shelby Miller 32 FA-elig 360.5 1.5 +0.7
Emmet Sheehan 23 – 130.5 0.3 +1.8
Ryan Pepiot 25 pre-arb 80.4 0.6 +1.2
Tony Gonsolin 29 arb 200.4 3.2 -1.5
Victor González 27 pre-arb 340.4 0.4 +1.1
Amed Rosario↔ CLE 27 FA-elig 480.3 2.6 -1.3
Joe Kelly↔ CHW 35 FA-elig 110.3 2.4 -1.0
Jonny DeLuca 24 – 240.3 0.3 +0.7
Phil Bickford↔ NYM 27 arb 360.2 0.4 +0.4
Gus Varland↔ MIL 26 – 80.2 0.1 +0.7
Ryan Yarbrough↔ KCR 31 arb 110.2 1.3 -0.6
Enrique Hernández↔ BOS 31 FA-elig 540.2 3.9 -3.2
Nick Robertson↔ BOS 24 – 90.2 0.1 +0.6
Kolten Wong↔ SEA 32 FA-elig 200.2 2.3 -1.7
Yency Almonte 29 arb 490.1 1.5 -0.9
Justin Bruihl↔ COL 26 – 200.1 0.1 +0.4
Austin Wynns↔ COL 32 – 50.1 0.1 +0.4
Noah Syndergaard↔ CLE 30 FA-elig 120.1 8.7 -8.2
Tayler Scott↔ BOS 31 – 60.1 0.0 +0.4
Adam Kolarek↔ NYM 34 – 10.1 0.0 +0.4
Trayce Thompson↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 360.1 0.7 -0.4
Tyson Miller↔ MIL 27 – 20.1 0.0 +0.2
Kyle Hurt 25 – 10.1 0.0 +0.2
Daniel Hudson 36 FA-elig 30.1 6.5 -6.3
Tyler Cyr 30 pre-arb 20.0 0.5 -0.4
Jake Marisnick↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 40.0 0.1 +0.0
Bryan Hudson 26 – 6-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Miguel Vargas 23 pre-arb 81-0.0 0.7 -0.8
Wander Suero 31 arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Jake Reed 30 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Andre Jackson↔ PIT 27 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Lance Lynn↔ CHW 36 FA-elig 11-0.1 6.4 -6.9
Luke Williams↔ ATL 26 – 4-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Dylan Covey↔ PHI 31 – 1-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Yonny Hernández 25 pre-arb 14-0.2 0.1 -0.8
David Peralta 35 FA-elig 133-0.3 6.5 -7.7
Gavin Stone 24 – 8-0.4 0.1 -1.8
Michael Busch 25 – 27-0.6 0.2 -2.4
Austin Barnes 33 FA-elig 59-0.7 3.5 -6.3

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Bobby Miller2.9
J.D. Martinez2.3
Jason Heyward2.2
Ryan Brasier1.1
Miguel Rojas0.6
Shelby Miller0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Trea Turner6.3
Tyler Anderson4.0
Justin Turner2.3
Cody Bellinger1.5
Chris Martin1.2
Andrew Heaney1.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$200.4M
2024 guaranteed
$51.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Freddie Freeman3312.033$27.0M$25.1M$22.7M$22.9M$23.1MFREE AGENT
Mookie Betts308.070$25.4M$26.2M$26.2M$25.2M$29.7M$29.7M$29.7M
Clayton Kershaw3514.105$20.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Taylor327.037$15.0MFREE AGENT
Max Muncy326.027$13.5MFREE AGENT
J.D. Martinez3511.036$10.0MFREE AGENT
Noah Syndergaard308.000$8.7MFREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson3612.106$6.5MFREE AGENT
David Peralta358.120$6.5MFREE AGENT
Lance Lynn3611.119$6.4MFREE AGENT
Will Smith289.155$5.2MFREE AGENT
Miguel Rojas348.043$4.2MFREE AGENT
Enrique Hernández318.054$3.9MFREE AGENT
Austin Barnes336.098$3.5MFREE AGENT
Joe Kelly3510.029$2.4MFREE AGENT
Kolten Wong329.045$2.3MFREE AGENT
Shelby Miller327.016$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jason Heyward3313.000$720kFREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick328.083$75kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Julio Urías265.117$14.2MFREE AGENT
Amed Rosario275.062$2.6MFREE AGENT
Dustin May253.059$1.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yency Almonte293.143$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Brasier355.109$1.3MFREE AGENT
Ryan Yarbrough314.117$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Ferguson264.088$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Trayce Thompson323.010$725kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wander Suero313.110$93kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Covey313.002$17kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Kolarek343.166$6kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Tony Gonsolin292.152$3.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Phillips282.136$1.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brusdar Graterol242.167$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Vesia272.103$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Grove260.031$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Vargas230.041$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Outman260.006$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Pepiot250.022$598kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Cyr300.034$523kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Miller240.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Bickford271.134$437kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor González272.103$430kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny DeLuca240.000$321kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmet Sheehan230.000$306kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andre Jackson270.039$266kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Busch250.000$174kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonny Hernández250.109$128kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Bruihl260.146$126kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Stone240.000$97kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gus Varland260.000$93kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Williams261.095$80kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Robertson240.000$72kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Hudson260.000$66kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Wynns322.090$57kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tayler Scott310.125$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyson Miller271.006$20kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Reed300.140$4kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Hurt250.000$4kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'LAD',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});