RRosternomics
𝕏

Brewers MIL

‹ ›

GM: Matt Arnold

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 9 in this regime · payroll 0.7× league · TAB +16.9
+16.9TAB — talent above budget1st/30
+19.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)1st/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-3.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
18%dead money %2nd/30
0.599win %1st/30
46.8roster fWAR4th/30
+78surplus $M (value vs cost)1st/30
$108Mpayroll $M22nd/30

2025: made playoffs · 97–65. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFJackson Chourio 89GBlake Perkins 52GGarrett Mitchell 25G
LFIsaac Collins 108GJackson Chourio 40GBrandon Lockridge 32G
RFSal Frelick 134GJackson Chourio 20GDaz Cameron 12G
SSJoey Ortiz 149GAndruw Monasterio 37GCaleb Durbin 3G
2BBrice Turang 153GAndruw Monasterio 10GCaleb Durbin 10G
3BCaleb Durbin 131GAnthony Seigler 25GOliver Dunn 13G
1BAndrew Vaughn 95GRhys Hoskins 82GJake Bauers 40G
STARTERSFreddy Peralta 3.6WARChad Patrick 2.6WARQuinn Priester 1.9WARBrandon Woodruff 1.8WARJacob Misiorowski 1.2WAR
CWilliam Contreras 128GDanny Jansen 93GEric Haase 28G
DHChristian Yelich 130GWilliam Contreras 22GJake Bauers 6G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Megill 30svAbner Uribe 37hJared Koenig 27hNick Mears 17hShelby Miller 9hGrant Anderson 6hAaron Ashby 6hRob Zastryzny 2h
CWilliam Contreras 128 · Danny Jansen 93 · Eric Haase 28
1BAndrew Vaughn 95 · Rhys Hoskins 82 · Jake Bauers 40
2BBrice Turang 153 · Andruw Monasterio 10 · Caleb Durbin 10
3BCaleb Durbin 131 · Anthony Seigler 25 · Oliver Dunn 13
SSJoey Ortiz 149 · Andruw Monasterio 37 · Caleb Durbin 3
LFIsaac Collins 108 · Jackson Chourio 40 · Brandon Lockridge 32
CFJackson Chourio 89 · Blake Perkins 52 · Garrett Mitchell 25
RFSal Frelick 134 · Jackson Chourio 20 · Daz Cameron 12
DHChristian Yelich 130 · William Contreras 22 · Jake Bauers 6
SPFreddy Peralta 3.6 · Chad Patrick 2.6 · Quinn Priester 1.9 · Brandon Woodruff 1.8 · Jacob Misiorowski 1.2
BP★ Trevor Megill 30 · Abner Uribe 37 · Jared Koenig 27 · Nick Mears 17 · Shelby Miller 9 · Grant Anderson 6 · Aaron Ashby 6 · Rob Zastryzny 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2025 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brice Turang 25 pre-arb 1564.4 0.8 +16.8
William Contreras 27 arb 1503.7 6.0 +8.6
Freddy Peralta 29 FA-elig 333.6 8.1 +6.3
Sal Frelick 25 pre-arb 1423.6 0.8 +13.5
Jackson Chourio 21 pre-arb 1312.9 4.2 +7.4
Caleb Durbin 25 – 1362.6 0.7 +9.9
Isaac Collins 27 pre-arb 1302.6 0.8 +9.6
Chad Patrick 26 – 272.6 0.5 +9.7
Christian Yelich 33 FA-elig 1502.4 24.1 -14.4
Andrew Vaughn↔ CHW 27 arb 641.9 2.6 +5.0
Quinn Priester 24 pre-arb 291.9 0.7 +6.8
Brandon Woodruff 32 FA-elig 121.8 5.0 +2.1
Abner Uribe 25 pre-arb 751.7 0.8 +6.0
Trevor Megill 31 arb 501.6 1.9 +4.3
Joey Ortiz 26 pre-arb 1491.4 0.8 +4.7
Aaron Ashby 27 pre-arb 431.2 3.5 +1.5
Jacob Misiorowski 23 – 151.2 0.4 +4.5
Jared Koenig 31 pre-arb 720.9 0.8 +2.8
Rhys Hoskins 32 FA-elig 900.9 18.0 -14.5
Jose Quintana 36 FA-elig 240.8 6.7 -3.3
Logan Henderson 23 – 50.8 0.3 +2.9
Jake Bauers 29 arb 860.8 1.4 +1.8
Andruw Monasterio 28 pre-arb 680.7 0.6 +2.2
Nick Mears 28 arb 630.5 1.0 +0.9
Tyler Alexander↔ CHW 30 – 210.4 0.5 +1.3
Danny Jansen↔ TBR 30 FA-elig 250.4 1.5 +0.3
Blake Perkins 28 pre-arb 540.4 0.8 +0.9
Grant Anderson 28 pre-arb 660.4 0.8 +0.8
Tobias Myers 26 pre-arb 220.4 0.6 +0.9
DL Hall 26 pre-arb 200.4 0.7 +0.7
Garrett Mitchell 26 pre-arb 250.4 0.8 +0.7
Eric Haase 32 arb 300.3 1.4 -0.0
Brandon Lockridge↔ SDP 28 pre-arb 200.2 0.1 +0.6
Easton McGee 27 pre-arb 90.1 0.1 +0.3
Steward Berroa 26 pre-arb 20.1 0.2 -0.0
Shelby Miller↔ ARI 34 FA-elig 110.0 0.2 -0.1
Tyler Black 24 pre-arb 50.0 0.0 +0.0
Carlos Rodriguez 23 – 40.0 – –
Aaron Civale↔ CHC 30 – 50.0 1.0 -1.0
Joel Payamps↔ ATL 31 – 28-0.0 2.7 -2.7
Bryan Hudson↔ CHW 28 – 12-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Rob Zastryzny 33 pre-arb 26-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Robert Gasser 26 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.7 -0.9
Drew Avans↔ OAK 29 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Elvis Peguero↔ CHW 28 – 6-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Erick Fedde↔ ATL 32 arb 7-0.1 1.6 -1.9
Daz Cameron 28 pre-arb 21-0.1 0.3 -0.9
Craig Yoho 25 – 8-0.2 0.2 -0.8
Bruce Zimmermann 30 pre-arb 1-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Anthony Seigler 26 – 34-0.2 0.4 -1.1
Connor Thomas 27 – 2-0.2 0.8 -1.7
Oliver Dunn 27 pre-arb 14-0.3 0.2 -1.5
Elvin Rodríguez↔ BAL 27 – 6-0.4 0.4 -2.0
Nestor Cortes↔ SDP 30 – 2-0.4 1.3 -3.1
Vinny Capra↔ CHW 28 – 24-0.8 0.1 -3.1

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Caleb Durbin2.6
Chad Patrick2.6
Andrew Vaughn1.9
Quinn Priester1.9
Brandon Woodruff1.8
Jacob Misiorowski1.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Willy Adames4.8
Hoby Milner0.9
Joe Ross0.9
Devin Williams0.8
Colin Rea0.8
Frankie Montas0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$108.5M
2026 guaranteed
$45.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Christian Yelich3311.069$24.1M$24.0M$23.9M$23.9M$20.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Rhys Hoskins327.053$18.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Freddy Peralta296.090$8.1MCLUB$8.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jose Quintana3612.133$6.7MFREE AGENT
Brandon Woodruff326.161$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jackson Chourio211.000$4.2M$7.2M$8.2M$9.2M$15.2M$16.2M$17.2M
Aaron Ashby272.088$3.5M$5.7M$7.7M$9.0MCLUB$13.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Danny Jansen306.050$1.5MFREE AGENT
Shelby Miller349.016$156kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
William Contreras273.112$6.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Payamps314.027$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Vaughn274.000$2.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Megill313.002$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Fedde325.099$1.6MFREE AGENT
Jake Bauers294.084$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Haase323.159$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nestor Cortes305.094$1.3MFREE AGENT
Aaron Civale305.058$1.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Mears283.022$963kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Alexander305.011$493kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (35)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Blake Perkins281.133$785kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brice Turang251.165$777kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Koenig311.034$776kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Ortiz261.030$776kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Mitchell262.040$772kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sal Frelick251.072$772kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Anderson281.007$766kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abner Uribe250.121$762kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isaac Collins270.022$761kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Thomas27–$760k
DL Hall261.069$723kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Quinn Priester240.134$720kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Gasser260.143$679kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Durbin250.000$670kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andruw Monasterio281.127$588kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tobias Myers260.147$563kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Zastryzny331.157$556kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Patrick260.000$511kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Misiorowski230.000$445kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvin Rodríguez270.031$406kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Seigler260.000$368kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Henderson230.000$306kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daz Cameron281.162$283kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Dunn271.000$226kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steward Berroa260.075$214kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Hudson281.005$176kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Peguero282.072$172kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Yoho250.000$172kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Easton McGee270.163$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Lockridge280.019$114kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinny Capra280.084$111kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Zimmermann301.129$33kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Black240.031$29kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Avans29–$7k
Carlos Rodriguez231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 2025; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'MIL',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});