RRosternomics
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Brewers MIL

‹ ›

GM: Matt Arnold

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 8 in this regime · payroll 0.73× league · TAB +10.0
+10.0TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+15.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)2nd/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars9th/30
-2.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag4th/30
33%dead money %14th/30
0.574win %4th/30
40.5roster fWAR10th/30
+50surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/30
$118Mpayroll $M21st/30

2024: made playoffs · 93–69. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFBlake Perkins 119GGarrett Mitchell 41GSal Frelick 25G
LFJackson Chourio 91GChristian Yelich 48GSal Frelick 24G
RFSal Frelick 106GJackson Chourio 63GGarrett Mitchell 23G
SSWilly Adames 161GJoey Ortiz 10GVinny Capra 1G
2BBrice Turang 152GAndruw Monasterio 21GJoey Ortiz 6G
3BJoey Ortiz 134GOliver Dunn 27GAndruw Monasterio 26G
1BRhys Hoskins 94GJake Bauers 76GOwen Miller 9G
STARTERSFreddy Peralta 2.3WARTobias Myers 2.1WARJoe Ross 0.9WARJared Koenig 0.9WARColin Rea 0.8WAR
CWilliam Contreras 120GGary Sánchez 28GEric Haase 23G
DHGary Sánchez 46GRhys Hoskins 37GWilliam Contreras 35G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Megill 21svJoel Payamps 21hNick Mears 14hBryan Hudson 14hElvis Peguero 11hHoby Milner 5hDevin Williams 0hAbner Uribe 0h
CWilliam Contreras 120 · Gary Sánchez 28 · Eric Haase 23
1BRhys Hoskins 94 · Jake Bauers 76 · Owen Miller 9
2BBrice Turang 152 · Andruw Monasterio 21 · Joey Ortiz 6
3BJoey Ortiz 134 · Oliver Dunn 27 · Andruw Monasterio 26
SSWilly Adames 161 · Joey Ortiz 10 · Vinny Capra 1
LFJackson Chourio 91 · Christian Yelich 48 · Sal Frelick 24
CFBlake Perkins 119 · Garrett Mitchell 41 · Sal Frelick 25
RFSal Frelick 106 · Jackson Chourio 63 · Garrett Mitchell 23
DHGary Sánchez 46 · Rhys Hoskins 37 · William Contreras 35
SPFreddy Peralta 2.3 · Tobias Myers 2.1 · Joe Ross 0.9 · Jared Koenig 0.9 · Colin Rea 0.8
BP★ Trevor Megill 21 · Joel Payamps 21 · Nick Mears 14 · Bryan Hudson 14 · Elvis Peguero 11 · Hoby Milner 5 · Devin Williams 0 · Abner Uribe 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
William Contreras 26 arb 1555.5 0.8 +22.1
Willy Adames 28 FA-elig 1614.8 12.2 +8.0
Jackson Chourio 20 pre-arb 1483.9 2.2 +14.1
Joey Ortiz 25 pre-arb 1423.2 0.7 +12.6
Christian Yelich 32 FA-elig 733.0 26.0 -13.4
Brice Turang 24 pre-arb 1552.6 0.7 +9.9
Freddy Peralta 28 FA-elig 322.3 5.7 +3.7
Tobias Myers 25 pre-arb 272.1 0.7 +8.1
Garrett Mitchell 25 pre-arb 691.9 0.7 +7.0
Blake Perkins 27 pre-arb 1211.6 0.8 +5.7
Sal Frelick 24 pre-arb 1451.5 0.7 +5.6
Trevor Megill 30 arb 481.0 0.8 +3.3
Jared Koenig 30 pre-arb 550.9 0.7 +3.1
Hoby Milner 33 FA-elig 610.9 2.0 +1.7
Joe Ross 31 FA-elig 250.9 1.8 +2.0
Devin Williams 29 arb 220.8 7.0 -3.5
Colin Rea 33 FA-elig 320.8 3.5 -0.1
Bryan Hudson 27 pre-arb 430.7 0.7 +2.3
Robert Gasser 25 pre-arb 50.7 0.7 +2.1
Aaron Ashby 26 arb 140.6 1.4 +1.1
Joel Payamps 30 arb 680.5 1.6 +0.6
Aaron Civale↔ TBR 29 arb 140.5 2.2 -0.1
Frankie Montas↔ CIN 31 FA-elig 110.5 5.1 -3.1
Gary Sánchez 31 FA-elig 890.4 3.0 -1.4
Eric Haase 31 arb 300.2 0.6 +0.4
Rob Zastryzny 32 pre-arb 90.2 0.4 +0.5
Enoli Paredes↔ CHC 28 arb 170.2 0.7 +0.2
Rhys Hoskins 31 FA-elig 1310.2 12.0 -11.2
DL Hall 25 pre-arb 130.2 0.7 +0.0
Oliver Dunn 26 pre-arb 410.1 0.7 -0.1
Kevin Herget 33 pre-arb 70.1 0.7 -0.3
Elvis Peguero 27 arb 520.1 0.8 -0.4
Jake Bauers 28 FA-elig 1170.1 1.4 -1.0
Jakob Junis↔ CIN 31 FA-elig 100.0 1.7 -1.5
Elieser Hernández↔ LAD 29 – 40.0 0.1 +0.0
J.B. Bukauskas 27 arb 60.0 0.7 -0.7
Tyler Jay↔ NYM 30 – 2-0.0 0.0 -0.0
James Meeker 29 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Bradley Blalock↔ COL 23 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Chris Roller 27 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.7 -0.8
Carlos Rodriguez 22 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.7 -0.9
Janson Junk↔ OAK 28 arb 5-0.0 0.6 -0.8
Abner Uribe 24 pre-arb 14-0.0 0.7 -0.9
Tyler Black 23 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Dallas Keuchel 36 – 4-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Vinny Capra 27 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Wade Miley 37 FA-elig 2-0.1 7.0 -7.5
Brewer Hicklen 28 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Mitch White↔ SFG 29 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.0 -0.8
Isaac Collins 26 – 11-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Nick Mears↔ COL 27 arb 13-0.2 0.2 -1.1
Andruw Monasterio 27 pre-arb 59-0.2 0.8 -1.8
Bryse Wilson 26 FA-elig 34-0.3 1.0 -2.1
Owen Miller 27 arb 14-0.3 0.7 -2.0
Thyago Vieira↔ ARI 30 FA-elig 16-0.3 0.4 -1.9
Joey Wiemer↔ CIN 25 pre-arb 19-0.4 0.7 -2.2

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Jackson Chourio3.9
Joey Ortiz3.2
Tobias Myers2.1
Jared Koenig0.9
Joe Ross0.9
Bryan Hudson0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Corbin Burnes3.4
Adrian Houser1.7
Victor Caratini1.2
Tyrone Taylor1.0
Mark Canha0.9
Carlos Santana0.7

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$118.3M
2025 guaranteed
$39.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Christian Yelich3210.069$26.0M$24.1M$24.0M$23.9M$23.9M$20.0MMUTUALFREE AGENT
Rhys Hoskins316.053$12.0MFREE AGENT
Wade Miley3712.025$7.0MFREE AGENT
Freddy Peralta285.090$5.7M$8.1MCLUB$8.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Frankie Montas316.015$5.1MFREE AGENT
Gary Sánchez319.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Jackson Chourio200.000$2.2M$4.2M$7.2M$8.2M$9.2M$15.2M$16.2M
Joe Ross316.018$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jakob Junis317.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Aaron Ashby262.046$1.4M$3.5M$5.7M$7.7M$9.0MCLUB$13.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel3610.120$237kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Willy Adames285.105$12.2MFREE AGENT
Devin Williams294.056$7.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Colin Rea334.057$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Civale294.058$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hoby Milner334.068$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Payamps303.027$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Bauers283.084$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryse Wilson263.036$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enoli Paredes284.000$699kARB 3FREE AGENT
Janson Junk283.000$617kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Haase313.058$561kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elieser Hernández295.051$105kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Blake Perkins270.133$800kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
William Contreras262.112$767kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Megill302.002$757kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Peguero271.073$754kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andruw Monasterio270.128$752kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brice Turang240.165$748kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abner Uribe240.086$747kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sal Frelick240.072$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Mitchell251.040$744kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DL Hall250.074$744kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.B. Bukauskas271.086$743kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Hudson270.017$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Ortiz250.030$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Herget330.072$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Gasser250.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Dunn260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Rodriguez220.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Roller270.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinny Capra270.074$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Black230.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Koenig300.046$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tobias Myers250.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Owen Miller272.076$740kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Wiemer251.000$670kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thyago Vieira301.084$444kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Zastryzny321.064$366kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Mears272.022$181kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isaac Collins260.000$84kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch White291.087$48kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brewer Hicklen280.009$32kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bradley Blalock230.000$19kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Meeker29–$7k
Tyler Jay30–$6k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'MIL',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});