RRosternomics
𝕏

Padres SDP

‹ ›

GM: Kevin Towers

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.93× league · TAB +4.3
+4.3TAB — talent above budget11th/30
+0.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars27th/30
-3.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
33%dead money %18th/30
0.506win %14th/30
37.7roster fWAR11th/30
-0surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$67Mpayroll $M15th/30

2005: made playoffs · 82–80. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFDave Roberts 109GXavier Nady 30GBrian Giles 17G
LFRyan Klesko 121GDamian Jackson 37GXavier Nady 26G
RFBrian Giles 143GXavier Nady 13GBen Johnson 11G
SSKhalil Greene 121GWilson Valdez 50GDamian Jackson 26G
2BMark Loretta 105GDamian Jackson 35GEric Young Sr. 14G
3BJoe Randa 142GSean Burroughs 78GDamian Jackson 8G
1BMark Sweeney 53GXavier Nady 44GRobert Fick 29G
STARTERSJake Peavy 5.8WARAdam Eaton 1.9WARBrian Lawrence 1.7WARWoody Williams 1.0WARPedro Astacio 0.6WAR
CRamon Hernandez 97GMiguel Olivo 91GDavid Ross 42G
DHMark Sweeney 5GRyan Klesko 3GRobert Fick 2G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Hoffman 43svScott Linebrink 26hAkinori Otsuka 22hRudy Seanez 11hChris Hammond 6hClay Hensley 2hCraig Breslow 1hDennys Reyes 0h
CRamon Hernandez 97 · Miguel Olivo 91 · David Ross 42
1BMark Sweeney 53 · Xavier Nady 44 · Robert Fick 29
2BMark Loretta 105 · Damian Jackson 35 · Eric Young Sr. 14
3BJoe Randa 142 · Sean Burroughs 78 · Damian Jackson 8
SSKhalil Greene 121 · Wilson Valdez 50 · Damian Jackson 26
LFRyan Klesko 121 · Damian Jackson 37 · Xavier Nady 26
CFDave Roberts 109 · Xavier Nady 30 · Brian Giles 17
RFBrian Giles 143 · Xavier Nady 13 · Ben Johnson 11
DHMark Sweeney 5 · Ryan Klesko 3 · Robert Fick 2
SPJake Peavy 5.8 · Adam Eaton 1.9 · Brian Lawrence 1.7 · Woody Williams 1.0 · Pedro Astacio 0.6
BP★ Trevor Hoffman 43 · Scott Linebrink 26 · Akinori Otsuka 22 · Rudy Seanez 11 · Chris Hammond 6 · Clay Hensley 2 · Craig Breslow 1 · Dennys Reyes 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brian Giles 34 FA-elig 1585.9 8.3 +2.8
Jake Peavy 24 arb 305.8 0.8 +10.2
Dave Roberts 33 FA-elig 1152.3 1.4 +3.0
Ramon Hernandez 29 FA-elig 992.3 4.3 -0.0
Adam Eaton 27 arb 261.9 3.4 +0.2
Scott Linebrink 28 arb 731.8 0.9 +2.5
Mark Sweeney 35 FA-elig 1351.8 0.6 +2.8
Trevor Hoffman 37 FA-elig 601.7 5.0 -1.8
Brian Lawrence 29 arb 331.7 2.4 +0.7
Khalil Greene 25 pre-arb 1211.6 0.4 +2.7
Ryan Klesko 34 FA-elig 1371.5 9.0 -6.2
Rudy Seanez 36 FA-elig 571.5 0.6 +2.2
Damian Jackson 31 – 1181.3 – –
Geoff Blum↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 781.0 0.4 +1.4
Woody Williams 38 FA-elig 301.0 3.0 -1.2
Miguel Olivo↔ SEA 26 arb 370.9 0.2 +1.5
Xavier Nady 26 arb 1240.8 0.5 +1.0
Clay Hensley 25 – 240.7 – –
Mark Loretta 33 FA-elig 1050.7 2.8 -1.4
Pedro Astacio↔ TEX 36 FA-elig 120.6 0.4 +0.8
Akinori Otsuka 33 pre-arb 660.6 0.8 +0.4
Tim Stauffer 23 – 150.6 0.3 +0.8
Ben Johnson 24 – 310.4 – –
Paul Quantrill↔ MIA 36 FA-elig 220.4 1.3 -0.6
Chan Ho Park↔ TEX 32 FA-elig 100.4 5.0 -4.3
Joe Randa↔ CIN 35 FA-elig 580.4 0.8 -0.1
Sean Burroughs 24 arb 930.4 1.7 -1.0
Robert Fick 31 – 930.3 – –
Eric Young Sr. 38 FA-elig 560.3 0.8 -0.3
David Ross↔ PIT 28 arb 110.2 0.1 +0.3
Wilson Valdez↔ SEA 27 pre-arb 90.1 0.1 +0.1
Paul McAnulty 24 – 220.0 – –
Scott Cassidy↔ BOS 29 – 10-0.0 – –
Brian Falkenborg 27 – 10-0.1 – –
Craig Breslow 24 – 14-0.1 – –
Chris Oxspring 28 – 5-0.1 – –
Jesse Garcia 31 – 16-0.1 – –
Randy Williams↔ COL 29 – 2-0.1 – –
Dennys Reyes 28 FA-elig 36-0.2 0.6 -0.8
Adam Hyzdu↔ BOS 33 arb 17-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Manny Alexander 34 – 10-0.2 – –
Darrell May↔ NYY 33 FA-elig 22-0.2 3.0 -3.3
Chris Hammond 39 FA-elig 55-0.3 0.8 -1.3
Phil Nevin↔ TEX 34 FA-elig 73-0.4 6.9 -7.6
Tim Redding↔ NYY 27 arb 9-0.6 0.7 -1.7
Miguel Ojeda↔ SEA 30 pre-arb 43-0.6 0.2 -1.5

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Dave Roberts2.3
Mark Sweeney1.8
Rudy Seanez1.5
Damian Jackson1.3
Geoff Blum1.0
Woody Williams1.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
David Wells3.0
Jay Payton1.7
Terrence Long0.8
Antonio Osuna0.6
Dennis Tankersley0.6
Brian Sweeney0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$67.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Ryan Klesko3413.000$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Giles3410.000$8.3M$7.7M$9.7M$9.7M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Phil Nevin3410.000$6.9MFREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park3211.000$5.0M$15.5MFREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman3712.000$5.0M$4.5M$7.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Ramon Hernandez296.000$4.3MFREE AGENT
Woody Williams3812.000$3.0M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Darrell May3310.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Loretta3310.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Dave Roberts336.000$1.4M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Paul Quantrill3613.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Eric Young Sr.3813.000$850k$653kFREE AGENT
Joe Randa3510.000$831kFREE AGENT
Chris Hammond3915.000$750kFREE AGENT
Mark Sweeney3510.000$575kFREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez3616.000$550k$1.6MFREE AGENT
Dennys Reyes288.000$550kFREE AGENT
Geoff Blum326.000$411k$650k$900kFREE AGENT
Pedro Astacio3613.000$400kFREE AGENT
Manny Alexander3413.000—FREE AGENT
Damian Jackson319.000—FREE AGENT
Robert Fick317.000—FREE AGENT
Jesse Garcia316.000—FREE AGENT
Brian Falkenborg276.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Adam Eaton275.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Brian Lawrence294.000$2.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Burroughs243.000$1.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Linebrink285.000$910kFREE AGENT
Jake Peavy243.000$750kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Redding274.000$675kARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Nady265.000$488kFREE AGENT
Adam Hyzdu335.000$220kFREE AGENT
Miguel Olivo263.000$163kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Ross283.000$73kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Cassidy293.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Akinori Otsuka331.000$800kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Khalil Greene252.000$355kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Stauffer230.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Ojeda302.000$237kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Valdez271.000$56kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Oxspring28–—
Randy Williams291.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul McAnulty240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Johnson240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Breslow240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Hensley250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'SDP',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});