RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

‹ ›

GM: Kevin Towers

Overview

WINDOW → steady
cheap & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.95× league · TAB +8.9
+8.9TAB — talent above budget4th/30
+6.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)6th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-2.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag3rd/30
26%dead money %13th/30
0.543win %8th/30
42.5roster fWAR3rd/30
+8surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$72Mpayroll $M16th/30

2006: made playoffs · 88–74. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFMike Cameron 141GBen Johnson 17GDave Roberts 13G
LFDave Roberts 116GBen Johnson 22GTerrmel Sledge 12G
RFBrian Giles 158GTerrmel Sledge 10GBen Johnson 4G
SSKhalil Greene 113GGeoff Blum 49GManny Alexander 9G
2BJosh Barfield 147GTodd Walker 60GMark Bellhorn 11G
3BMark Bellhorn 50GGeoff Blum 34GRussell Branyan 31G
1BAdrián González 155GTodd Walker 40GMark Bellhorn 18G
STARTERSJake Peavy 4.8WARClay Hensley 2.4WARChris Young 2.1WARWoody Williams 1.5WARChan Ho Park 1.2WAR
CMike Piazza 99GJosh Bard 78GRob Bowen 65G
DHMike Piazza 8GMark Bellhorn 2GRob Bowen 1G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Hoffman 46svScott Linebrink 36hAlan Embree 16hCla Meredith 16hJon Adkins 8hScott Cassidy 4hRudy Seanez 3hScott Williamson 3h
CMike Piazza 99 · Josh Bard 78 · Rob Bowen 65
1BAdrián González 155 · Todd Walker 40 · Mark Bellhorn 18
2BJosh Barfield 147 · Todd Walker 60 · Mark Bellhorn 11
3BMark Bellhorn 50 · Geoff Blum 34 · Russell Branyan 31
SSKhalil Greene 113 · Geoff Blum 49 · Manny Alexander 9
LFDave Roberts 116 · Ben Johnson 22 · Terrmel Sledge 12
CFMike Cameron 141 · Ben Johnson 17 · Dave Roberts 13
RFBrian Giles 158 · Terrmel Sledge 10 · Ben Johnson 4
DHMike Piazza 8 · Mark Bellhorn 2 · Rob Bowen 1
SPJake Peavy 4.8 · Clay Hensley 2.4 · Chris Young 2.1 · Woody Williams 1.5 · Chan Ho Park 1.2
BP★ Trevor Hoffman 46 · Scott Linebrink 36 · Alan Embree 16 · Cla Meredith 16 · Jon Adkins 8 · Scott Cassidy 4 · Rudy Seanez 3 · Scott Williamson 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jake Peavy 25 arb 324.8 2.5 +7.1
Mike Cameron 33 FA-elig 1414.5 7.3 +1.6
Dave Roberts 34 FA-elig 1293.1 2.2 +3.8
Brian Giles 35 FA-elig 1583.0 7.7 -1.7
Adrián González 24 pre-arb 1562.9 0.3 +5.5
Josh Bard↔ BOS 28 arb 932.7 0.3 +5.1
Clay Hensley 26 pre-arb 392.4 0.3 +4.4
Khalil Greene 26 arb 1222.3 0.4 +4.1
Josh Barfield 23 pre-arb 1502.3 0.3 +4.2
Chris Young 27 pre-arb 312.1 0.5 +3.8
Mike Piazza 37 FA-elig 1261.9 1.2 +2.6
Woody Williams 39 FA-elig 261.5 5.0 -2.1
Trevor Hoffman 38 FA-elig 651.3 4.5 -1.8
Chan Ho Park 33 FA-elig 261.2 15.5 -13.2
Todd Walker↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 441.1 0.8 +1.5
Cla Meredith 23 – 451.1 – –
Alan Embree 36 FA-elig 731.1 0.8 +1.3
Scott Linebrink 29 FA-elig 731.0 1.4 +0.7
Russell Branyan↔ TBR 30 – 270.9 – –
David Wells↔ BOS 43 FA-elig 50.9 1.6 +0.2
Geoff Blum 33 FA-elig 1090.8 0.7 +0.9
Rob Bowen 25 – 940.5 – –
Doug Brocail 39 FA-elig 250.5 1.0 -0.1
Ben Johnson 25 pre-arb 580.4 0.3 +0.4
Jon Adkins 28 – 550.3 – –
Mark Bellhorn 31 FA-elig 1150.3 0.8 -0.2
Tim Stauffer 24 – 10.2 0.3 +0.1
Ryan Klesko 35 FA-elig 60.2 9.0 -8.7
Paul McAnulty 25 – 160.1 – –
Shawn Estes 33 FA-elig 10.1 1.1 -0.8
Doug Mirabelli↔ BOS 35 FA-elig 140.0 0.3 -0.2
Jack Cust 27 – 40.0 – –
Mike Thompson 25 – 190.0 – –
Brian Sweeney 32 arb 37-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Justin Leone 29 – 1-0.0 – –
Jim Brower↔ BAL 33 FA-elig 6-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Scott Williamson↔ CHC 30 FA-elig 11-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Jon Knott 27 – 3-0.1 – –
Brian Sikorski↔ CLE 31 – 13-0.1 – –
Scott Cassidy 30 arb 42-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Terrmel Sledge 29 pre-arb 38-0.2 0.3 -0.8
Rudy Seanez↔ BOS 37 FA-elig 8-0.3 0.3 -0.8
Manny Alexander 35 – 22-0.3 – –
Vinny Castilla↔ COL 38 FA-elig 72-0.4 2.6 -3.5
Dewon Brazelton 26 arb 9-0.4 0.5 -1.3
Eric Young Sr.↔ TEX 39 FA-elig 56-0.9 0.7 -2.5

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Mike Cameron4.5
Adrián González2.9
Josh Bard2.7
Josh Barfield2.3
Chris Young2.1
Mike Piazza1.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Ramon Hernandez2.3
Adam Eaton1.9
Mark Sweeney1.8
Brian Lawrence1.7
Damian Jackson1.3
Miguel Olivo0.9

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$72.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Chan Ho Park3312.000$15.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan Klesko3514.000$9.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Giles3511.000$7.7M$9.7M$9.7M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Cameron3311.000$7.3M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Woody Williams3913.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Trevor Hoffman3813.000$4.5M$7.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Vinny Castilla3815.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Dave Roberts347.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
David Wells4319.000$1.6M$2.3MFREE AGENT
Scott Linebrink296.000$1.4M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Mike Piazza3714.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Shawn Estes3311.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Doug Brocail3914.000$1.0M$500kFREE AGENT
Alan Embree3614.000$850kFREE AGENT
Mark Bellhorn319.000$800kFREE AGENT
Todd Walker3310.000$797kFREE AGENT
Eric Young Sr.3914.000$653kFREE AGENT
Geoff Blum337.000$650k$900kFREE AGENT
Scott Williamson307.000$524kFREE AGENT
Rudy Seanez3717.000$310kFREE AGENT
Doug Mirabelli3510.000$288kFREE AGENT
Jim Brower337.000$233kFREE AGENT
Manny Alexander3514.000—FREE AGENT
Russell Branyan308.000—$685kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Jake Peavy254.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dewon Brazelton264.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Khalil Greene263.000$405kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Sweeney323.000$335kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Bard284.000$329kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Cassidy304.000$328kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Cust275.000—FREE AGENT
Jon Adkins283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Bowen253.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Chris Young272.000$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terrmel Sledge292.000$347kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Hensley261.000$329kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrián González242.000$328kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Johnson251.000$328kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Barfield230.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Stauffer241.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Sikorski31–—
Justin Leone29–—
Jon Knott27–—
Paul McAnulty251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Thompson250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cla Meredith231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

'; return; } const s=sm(raw,w),n=s.length,X=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[1]*100)/100),Y=s.map(d=>Math.round(d[2]*10)/10),yr=s.map(d=>d[0]); let xa=Math.min(1,...X),xb=Math.max(1,...X),ya=Math.min(0,...Y),yb=Math.max(0,...Y); const px=(xb-xa)*.12+.04,py=(yb-ya)*.12+1.5;xa-=px;xb+=px;ya-=py;yb+=py; const k=Math.max(0,n-3), ann=[]; [['WINDOW','#15b6a0',xa<1&&yb>0,xa,yb,'left','top'],['CONTEND','#2f7ed8',xb>1&&yb>0,xb,yb,'right','top'], ['FORCED-SPEND','#ec5a3c',xb>1&&ya<0,xb,ya,'right','bottom'],['REBUILD','#f0a91c',xa<1&&ya<0,xa,ya,'left','bottom']].forEach(q=>{ if(q[2]) ann.push({x:q[3],y:q[4],xref:'x',yref:'y',text:q[0],showarrow:false,xanchor:q[5],yanchor:q[6],font:{size:10,color:q[1]},opacity:.85});}); ann.push({x:X[n-1],y:Y[n-1],ax:X[n-1]-0.5*(X[n-1]-X[k]),ay:Y[n-1]-0.5*(Y[n-1]-Y[k]),xref:'x',yref:'y',axref:'x',ayref:'y',showarrow:true,arrowhead:2,arrowsize:1.3,arrowwidth:1.7,arrowcolor:dirc,text:''}); Plotly.newPlot('orbit',[{x:X,y:Y,mode:'lines+markers',line:{color:col,width:2.6,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.7}, marker:{color:col,size:s.map((d,i)=>5+7*(i/Math.max(1,n-1))),line:{color:dark?'#1b1e23':'#fff',width:0.6}}, text:yr,hovertemplate:'%{text}
payroll %{x:.2f}× lg · TAB %{y:+.1f}
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'SDP',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});