RRosternomics
𝕏

Rangers TEX

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.74× league · TAB +10.6
+10.6TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+11.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-7.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag23rd/30
28%dead money %14th/30
0.556win %8th/30
41.2roster fWAR7th/30
+30surplus $M (value vs cost)4th/30
$68Mpayroll $M21st/30

2010: won pennant · 90–72. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFJulio Borbon 133GJosh Hamilton 40GDavid Murphy 10G
LFJosh Hamilton 92GDavid Murphy 74GNelson Cruz 14G
RFJeff Francoeur 131GNelson Cruz 94GDavid Murphy 51G
SSElvis Andrus 148GCristian Guzman 23GAndrés Blanco 16G
2BIan Kinsler 103GCristian Guzman 72GAlex Cora 49G
3BMichael Young 155GJorge Cantu 89GAndrés Blanco 9G
1BJorge Cantu 63GChris Davis 41GMitch Moreland 40G
STARTERSColby Lewis 4.9WARC.J. Wilson 4.1WARCliff Lee 3.2WARScott Feldman 1.1WARTommy Hunter 0.9WAR
CBengie Molina 113GMatt Treanor 81GTaylor Teagarden 28G
DHVladimir Guerrero 129GJosh Hamilton 13GEsteban German 5G
BULLPEN★ Neftalí Feliz 40svDarren O'Day 21hFrank Francisco 15hDarren Oliver 14hAlexi Ogando 7hDustin Nippert 5hMichael Kirkman 2hPedro Strop 1h
CBengie Molina 113 · Matt Treanor 81 · Taylor Teagarden 28
1BJorge Cantu 63 · Chris Davis 41 · Mitch Moreland 40
2BIan Kinsler 103 · Cristian Guzman 72 · Alex Cora 49
3BMichael Young 155 · Jorge Cantu 89 · Andrés Blanco 9
SSElvis Andrus 148 · Cristian Guzman 23 · Andrés Blanco 16
LFJosh Hamilton 92 · David Murphy 74 · Nelson Cruz 14
CFJulio Borbon 133 · Josh Hamilton 40 · David Murphy 10
RFJeff Francoeur 131 · Nelson Cruz 94 · David Murphy 51
DHVladimir Guerrero 129 · Josh Hamilton 13 · Esteban German 5
SPColby Lewis 4.9 · C.J. Wilson 4.1 · Cliff Lee 3.2 · Scott Feldman 1.1 · Tommy Hunter 0.9
BP★ Neftalí Feliz 40 · Darren O'Day 21 · Frank Francisco 15 · Darren Oliver 14 · Alexi Ogando 7 · Dustin Nippert 5 · Michael Kirkman 2 · Pedro Strop 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Josh Hamilton 29 arb 1338.4 3.2 +16.5
Nelson Cruz 29 arb 1084.9 0.4 +11.1
Colby Lewis 30 FA-elig 324.9 1.8 +9.7
C.J. Wilson 29 arb 334.1 3.1 +6.5
Ian Kinsler 28 arb 1033.4 4.2 +3.7
Cliff Lee↔ SEA 31 FA-elig 153.2 4.8 +2.6
Michael Young 33 FA-elig 1572.4 13.2 -7.5
Elvis Andrus 21 pre-arb 1482.1 0.4 +4.5
Neftalí Feliz 22 pre-arb 702.0 0.4 +4.3
David Murphy 28 arb 1381.8 0.4 +3.9
Darren Oliver 39 FA-elig 641.5 3.0 +0.6
Julio Borbon 24 pre-arb 1371.2 0.6 +2.3
Scott Feldman 27 arb 291.1 2.4 +0.3
Darren O'Day 27 pre-arb 721.1 0.4 +2.1
Frank Francisco 30 FA-elig 561.1 3.3 -0.7
Vladimir Guerrero 35 FA-elig 1521.1 5.5 -3.0
Alexi Ogando 26 – 440.9 0.4 +1.7
Tommy Hunter 23 pre-arb 230.9 0.4 +1.7
Derek Holland 23 pre-arb 140.8 0.4 +1.6
Mitch Moreland 24 – 470.7 0.4 +1.2
Jeff Francoeur↔ NYM 26 arb 150.4 0.5 +0.3
Michael Kirkman 23 – 140.3 – –
Taylor Teagarden 26 pre-arb 280.2 0.4 +0.1
Esteban German 32 – 130.1 – –
Mark Lowe↔ SEA 27 arb 3-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Guillermo Moscoso 26 – 1-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Andrés Blanco 26 FA-elig 68-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Jarrod Saltalamacchia↔ BOS 25 arb 2-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Alex Cora↔ NYM 34 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Matt Treanor 34 – 82-0.1 – –
Craig Gentry 26 – 20-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Matt Harrison 24 pre-arb 37-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Chris Ray↔ SFG 28 arb 35-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Pedro Strop 25 – 15-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Joaquin Arias↔ NYM 25 arb 50-0.2 0.3 -0.9
Clay Rapada 29 – 13-0.3 – –
Jorge Cantu↔ MIA 28 FA-elig 30-0.3 1.4 -2.1
Omar Beltre 28 – 2-0.3 – –
Dustin Nippert 29 arb 38-0.3 0.7 -1.3
Brandon Boggs 27 pre-arb 4-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Justin Smoak↔ SEA 23 – 70-0.3 0.3 -1.1
Max Ramirez 25 pre-arb 28-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Doug Mathis 27 pre-arb 13-0.5 0.4 -1.6
Ryan Garko 29 arb 15-0.6 0.6 -2.0
Rich Harden 28 FA-elig 20-0.7 6.5 -8.0
Bengie Molina↔ SFG 35 FA-elig 57-0.7 2.2 -3.8
Chris Davis 24 pre-arb 45-0.7 0.4 -2.1
Cristian Guzman↔ WSN 32 FA-elig 15-0.7 1.2 -2.8

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Colby Lewis4.9
Cliff Lee3.2
Darren Oliver1.5
Vladimir Guerrero1.1
Alexi Ogando0.9
Mitch Moreland0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Kevin Millwood2.0
Marlon Byrd1.3
Brandon McCarthy0.9
Omar Vizquel0.9
Vicente Padilla0.8
Andruw Jones0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$67.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Michael Young3310.000$13.2M$16.2M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Rich Harden287.000$6.5MFREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero3514.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Cliff Lee318.000$4.8MFREE AGENT
Frank Francisco306.000$3.3MFREE AGENT
Darren Oliver3917.000$3.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Bengie Molina3512.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Colby Lewis308.000$1.8M$2.0M$3.2MFREE AGENT$2.0M$4.0M$6.0M
Jorge Cantu286.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Cristian Guzman3211.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Andrés Blanco266.000$510k$520kFREE AGENT
Alex Cora3412.000$121kFREE AGENT
Matt Treanor346.000—$767kFREE AGENT
Esteban German328.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Ian Kinsler284.000$4.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Hamilton293.000$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
C.J. Wilson295.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Scott Feldman275.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Dustin Nippert295.000$665kFREE AGENT
Ryan Garko295.000$550kFREE AGENT
Chris Ray285.000$542kFREE AGENT
Jeff Francoeur265.000$540kFREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz295.000$440kFREE AGENT
David Murphy284.000$428kARB 3FREE AGENT
Joaquin Arias254.000$279kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Lowe274.000$246kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarrod Saltalamacchia253.000$70kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Rapada293.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Julio Borbon241.000$600kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren O'Day272.000$427kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus211.000$418kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Holland231.000$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Davis242.000$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Strop250.000$410kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Hunter232.000$410kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Mathis272.000$407kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Boggs272.000$407kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Teagarden262.000$407kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Harrison242.000$406kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neftalí Feliz221.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Ramirez252.000$402kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Moscoso261.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Moreland240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Gentry261.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Ogando260.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Smoak230.000$280kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Beltre280.038—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kirkman231.079—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Not enough history to chart.

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Pick a wider year range.

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payroll %{x:.2f}× lg · TAB %{y:+.1f}
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'TEX',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});