RRosternomics
𝕏

Rangers TEX

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.0× league · TAB +18.6
+18.6TAB — talent above budget2nd/30
+14.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/30
11.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars2nd/30
-3.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag1st/30
20%dead money %5th/30
0.593win %3rd/30
52.9roster fWAR2nd/30
+35surplus $M (value vs cost)4th/30
$96Mpayroll $M12th/30

2011: won pennant · 96–66. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFEndy Chavez 66GCraig Gentry 55GJosh Hamilton 35G
LFJosh Hamilton 85GDavid Murphy 78GNelson Cruz 18G
RFNelson Cruz 109GMitch Moreland 34GDavid Murphy 32G
SSElvis Andrus 147GAndrés Blanco 23GOmar Quintanilla 3G
2BIan Kinsler 144GMichael Young 14GAndrés Blanco 5G
3BAdrian Beltré 112GMichael Young 40GAndrés Blanco 6G
1BMitch Moreland 99GMichael Young 36GMike Napoli 35G
STARTERSC.J. Wilson 5.2WARMatt Harrison 3.8WARAlexi Ogando 3.5WARDerek Holland 3.1WARColby Lewis 2.1WAR
CYorvit Torrealba 98GMatt Treanor 72GMike Napoli 61G
DHMichael Young 69GMike Napoli 19GYorvit Torrealba 13G
BULLPEN★ Neftalí Feliz 32svMike Adams 32hKoji Uehara 22hDarren Oliver 16hMark Lowe 11hMichael Gonzalez 8hYoshinori Tateyama 4hDave Bush 1h
CYorvit Torrealba 98 · Matt Treanor 72 · Mike Napoli 61
1BMitch Moreland 99 · Michael Young 36 · Mike Napoli 35
2BIan Kinsler 144 · Michael Young 14 · Andrés Blanco 5
3BAdrian Beltré 112 · Michael Young 40 · Andrés Blanco 6
SSElvis Andrus 147 · Andrés Blanco 23 · Omar Quintanilla 3
LFJosh Hamilton 85 · David Murphy 78 · Nelson Cruz 18
CFEndy Chavez 66 · Craig Gentry 55 · Josh Hamilton 35
RFNelson Cruz 109 · Mitch Moreland 34 · David Murphy 32
DHMichael Young 69 · Mike Napoli 19 · Yorvit Torrealba 13
SPC.J. Wilson 5.2 · Matt Harrison 3.8 · Alexi Ogando 3.5 · Derek Holland 3.1 · Colby Lewis 2.1
BP★ Neftalí Feliz 32 · Mike Adams 32 · Koji Uehara 22 · Darren Oliver 16 · Mark Lowe 11 · Michael Gonzalez 8 · Yoshinori Tateyama 4 · Dave Bush 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ian Kinsler 29 arb 1557.3 6.2 +11.6
Adrian Beltré 32 FA-elig 1245.5 14.0 -0.5
C.J. Wilson 30 FA-elig 345.2 7.0 +5.8
Mike Napoli 29 arb 1134.3 5.8 +4.7
Elvis Andrus 22 pre-arb 1504.0 0.5 +9.4
Josh Hamilton 30 arb 1214.0 8.8 +1.0
Matt Harrison 25 arb 313.8 0.4 +8.9
Alexi Ogando 27 pre-arb 313.5 0.4 +8.2
Michael Young 34 FA-elig 1593.2 16.2 -8.4
Derek Holland 24 pre-arb 323.1 0.4 +7.3
Colby Lewis 31 FA-elig 322.1 2.0 +3.1
Craig Gentry 27 pre-arb 641.7 0.4 +3.6
Endy Chavez 33 FA-elig 831.4 1.2 +2.2
Nelson Cruz 30 FA-elig 1241.4 3.6 -0.3
Darren Oliver 40 FA-elig 611.2 3.2 -0.3
Neftalí Feliz 23 pre-arb 641.0 0.5 +1.9
David Murphy 29 arb 1200.6 2.4 -1.0
Yorvit Torrealba 32 FA-elig 1130.6 3.0 -1.6
Mike Adams↔ SDP 32 FA-elig 270.4 0.9 +0.2
Esteban German 33 – 110.3 – –
Taylor Teagarden 27 pre-arb 140.3 0.4 +0.2
Scott Feldman 28 FA-elig 110.2 4.4 -3.8
Mitch Moreland 25 pre-arb 1340.2 0.4 +0.1
Mark Lowe 28 arb 520.2 1.2 -0.7
Yoshinori Tateyama 35 pre-arb 390.2 0.8 -0.4
Michael Gonzalez↔ BAL 33 FA-elig 70.2 0.8 -0.4
Tommy Hunter↔ BAL 24 arb 80.2 0.2 +0.2
Mark Hamburger 24 pre-arb 50.1 0.4 -0.2
Leonys Martin 23 pre-arb 80.1 1.5 -1.3
Koji Uehara↔ BAL 36 pre-arb 220.1 1.0 -0.8
Pedro Strop↔ BAL 26 pre-arb 110.1 0.2 -0.1
Julio Borbon 25 pre-arb 32-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Dave Bush 31 FA-elig 17-0.1 1.0 -1.1
Merkin Valdez 29 – 5-0.1 – –
Ryan Tucker 24 – 5-0.1 – –
Mason Tobin 23 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Chris Davis↔ BAL 25 – 28-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Michael Kirkman 24 pre-arb 15-0.2 0.4 -1.0
Omar Quintanilla 29 – 11-0.2 – –
Andrés Blanco 27 FA-elig 36-0.3 0.5 -1.1
Brett Tomko 38 – 8-0.3 – –
Matt Treanor↔ KCR 35 FA-elig 7-0.3 0.1 -0.8
Darren O'Day 28 arb 16-0.5 1.3 -2.4
Arthur Rhodes↔ STL 41 FA-elig 32-0.5 2.4 -3.6
Cody Eppley 25 pre-arb 10-0.5 0.4 -1.7

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Adrian Beltré5.5
Mike Napoli4.3
Endy Chavez1.4
Yorvit Torrealba0.6
Mike Adams0.4
Yoshinori Tateyama0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Cliff Lee3.2
Frank Francisco1.1
Vladimir Guerrero1.1
Jeff Francoeur0.4
Guillermo Moscoso-0.0
Jarrod Saltalamacchia-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$95.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Michael Young349.134$16.2M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré3212.096$14.0M$15.0M$16.0M$17.0M$16.0M$18.0M$18.0M
Darren Oliver4015.127$3.2MFREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba329.030$3.0M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes4120.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Endy Chavez337.065$1.2MFREE AGENT
Dave Bush316.154$1.0MFREE AGENT
Michael Gonzalez338.000$750kFREE AGENT
Matt Treanor356.093$83kFREE AGENT
Brett Tomko3814.000—FREE AGENT
Esteban German339.000—FREE AGENT
Merkin Valdez297.000—FREE AGENT
Omar Quintanilla296.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Josh Hamilton304.000$8.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
C.J. Wilson305.055$7.0MFREE AGENT
Ian Kinsler295.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Napoli294.151$5.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Feldman284.091$4.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz303.081$3.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Murphy293.087$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colby Lewis314.136$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Lowe284.087$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Adams324.019$901kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Leonys Martin230.000$1.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren O'Day282.140$1.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Koji Uehara362.000$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoshinori Tateyama351.044$800kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Blanco272.087$520kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Borbon252.105$490kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neftalí Feliz231.064$457kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus222.000$452kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Holland241.120$432kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Ogando270.114$430kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Harrison252.083$429kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Moreland250.067$426kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kirkman242.079$423kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Teagarden271.118$417kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Gentry270.111$416kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Hamburger240.030$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Eppley251.022$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Tobin230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Strop260.094$199kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Hunter241.090$177kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Davis251.120$132kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Tucker24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Pick a wider year range.

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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'TEX',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});