RRosternomics
𝕏

Rangers TEX

‹ ›

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.34× league · TAB +7.7
+7.7TAB — talent above budget8th/30
+7.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-3.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
29%dead money %12th/30
0.574win %7th/30
45.5roster fWAR2nd/30
-16surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/30
$134Mpayroll $M5th/30

2012: made playoffs · 93–69. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFCraig Gentry 114GJosh Hamilton 95GLeonys Martin 14G
LFDavid Murphy 120GJosh Hamilton 84GNelson Cruz 6G
RFNelson Cruz 151GDavid Murphy 17GBrandon Snyder 5G
SSElvis Andrus 153GAlberto Gonzalez 9GMichael Young 4G
2BIan Kinsler 144GMichael Young 16GJurickson Profar 5G
3BAdrian Beltré 129GMichael Young 25GAlberto Gonzalez 8G
1BMitch Moreland 95GMichael Young 41GMike Napoli 28G
STARTERSYu Darvish 4.7WARMatt Harrison 3.4WARColby Lewis 2.3WARScott Feldman 2.3WARDerek Holland 1.5WAR
CGeovany Soto 96GMike Napoli 72GLuis Martinez 10G
DHMichael Young 72GAdrian Beltré 23GIan Kinsler 13G
BULLPEN★ Joe Nathan 37svMike Adams 27hAlexi Ogando 12hRobbie Ross Jr. 9hKoji Uehara 7hTanner Scheppers 3hMark Lowe 1hMichael Kirkman 1h
CGeovany Soto 96 · Mike Napoli 72 · Luis Martinez 10
1BMitch Moreland 95 · Michael Young 41 · Mike Napoli 28
2BIan Kinsler 144 · Michael Young 16 · Jurickson Profar 5
3BAdrian Beltré 129 · Michael Young 25 · Alberto Gonzalez 8
SSElvis Andrus 153 · Alberto Gonzalez 9 · Michael Young 4
LFDavid Murphy 120 · Josh Hamilton 84 · Nelson Cruz 6
CFCraig Gentry 114 · Josh Hamilton 95 · Leonys Martin 14
RFNelson Cruz 151 · David Murphy 17 · Brandon Snyder 5
DHMichael Young 72 · Adrian Beltré 23 · Ian Kinsler 13
SPYu Darvish 4.7 · Matt Harrison 3.4 · Colby Lewis 2.3 · Scott Feldman 2.3 · Derek Holland 1.5
BP★ Joe Nathan 37 · Mike Adams 27 · Alexi Ogando 12 · Robbie Ross Jr. 9 · Koji Uehara 7 · Tanner Scheppers 3 · Mark Lowe 1 · Michael Kirkman 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Adrian Beltré 33 FA-elig 1566.3 15.0 +1.3
Josh Hamilton 31 arb 1484.8 13.8 -1.2
Yu Darvish 25 pre-arb 294.7 5.5 +6.8
Elvis Andrus 23 arb 1583.7 2.4 +7.2
Matt Harrison 26 arb 333.4 3.0 +5.9
David Murphy 30 FA-elig 1473.4 3.6 +5.0
Ian Kinsler 30 FA-elig 1572.9 7.0 +0.5
Craig Gentry 28 arb 1222.5 0.5 +6.0
Scott Feldman 29 FA-elig 292.3 6.5 -0.5
Colby Lewis 32 FA-elig 162.3 3.2 +2.6
Joe Nathan 37 FA-elig 661.7 7.0 -2.6
Derek Holland 25 arb 291.5 1.0 +2.8
Nelson Cruz 31 FA-elig 1591.1 5.0 -2.1
Ryan Dempster↔ CHC 35 FA-elig 120.9 6.0 -3.6
Alexi Ogando 28 pre-arb 580.9 0.5 +1.8
Koji Uehara 37 arb 370.8 4.0 -1.8
Robbie Ross Jr. 23 – 580.8 0.5 +1.7
Mike Adams 33 FA-elig 610.7 4.4 -2.5
Mitch Moreland 26 pre-arb 1140.7 0.5 +1.4
Roy Oswalt 34 FA-elig 170.7 5.0 -3.1
Neftalí Feliz 24 arb 80.6 0.5 +1.0
Martín Pérez 21 – 120.4 0.5 +0.7
Mike Napoli 30 FA-elig 1080.4 9.4 -8.5
Justin Grimm 23 – 50.3 0.3 +0.4
Brandon Snyder 25 pre-arb 400.2 0.5 +0.1
Alberto Gonzalez 29 arb 240.1 0.8 -0.4
Mark Lowe 29 FA-elig 360.1 1.7 -1.5
Michael Kirkman 25 pre-arb 280.1 0.5 -0.3
Geovany Soto↔ CHC 29 FA-elig 470.0 2.0 -2.0
Tanner Scheppers 25 – 390.0 0.5 -0.4
Yoshinori Tateyama 36 pre-arb 140.0 1.0 -1.0
Jurickson Profar 19 – 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Luis Hernandez 28 – 2-0.0 – –
Wilmer Font 22 – 3-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Leonys Martin 24 pre-arb 24-0.2 2.2 -2.9
Yorvit Torrealba↔ MIL 33 FA-elig 49-0.3 2.5 -3.2
Luis Martinez 27 pre-arb 10-0.4 0.5 -1.5
Mike Olt 23 – 16-0.5 0.2 -1.6
Michael Young 35 FA-elig 156-1.6 16.0 -20.0

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Yu Darvish4.7
Joe Nathan1.7
Ryan Dempster0.9
Robbie Ross Jr.0.8
Roy Oswalt0.7
Martín Pérez0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
C.J. Wilson5.2
Endy Chavez1.4
Darren Oliver1.2
Esteban German0.3
Taylor Teagarden0.3
Michael Gonzalez0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$133.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Michael Young3510.134$16.0MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré3313.096$15.0M$16.0M$17.0M$16.0M$18.0M$18.0M$18.0M
Ian Kinsler306.000$7.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Nathan3710.120$7.0M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Dempster3513.063$6.0MFREE AGENT
Roy Oswalt3410.149$5.0MFREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba3310.030$2.5MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Josh Hamilton315.000$13.8MFREE AGENT
Mike Napoli305.151$9.4MFREE AGENT
Scott Feldman295.091$6.5MFREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz314.081$5.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Adams335.019$4.4MFREE AGENT
Koji Uehara373.000$4.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Murphy304.087$3.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Colby Lewis325.136$3.2MFREE AGENT
Matt Harrison263.083$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Andrus233.000$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Geovany Soto294.096$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Lowe295.087$1.7MFREE AGENT
Alberto Gonzalez293.135$750kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilmer Font224.085$480kARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Hernandez285.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Yu Darvish250.000$5.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leonys Martin240.030$2.2MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Holland252.120$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoshinori Tateyama361.044$1.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neftalí Feliz242.064$502kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexi Ogando281.114$498kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Moreland261.067$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Gentry281.084$484kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kirkman252.079$483kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Martinez270.116$482kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Snyder250.044$481kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scheppers250.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robbie Ross Jr.230.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Pérez210.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Grimm230.000$289kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Olt230.000$165kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar190.000$87kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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slot %{x} · %{customdata[1]:.1f} WAR
%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'TEX',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});