RRosternomics
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Dodgers LAD

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President of baseball ops: Andrew Friedman · GM: Brandon Gomes

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 9 in this regime · payroll 1.87× league · TAB +20.7
+20.7TAB — talent above budget1st/30
+21.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)1st/30
13.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/30
-2.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag3rd/30
20%dead money %3rd/30
0.685win %1st/30
62.4roster fWAR1st/30
-38surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/30
$267Mpayroll $M1st/30

2022: made playoffs · 111–51. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFCody Bellinger 144GTrayce Thompson 18GChris Taylor 10G
LFChris Taylor 80GJoey Gallo 77GTrayce Thompson 36G
RFMookie Betts 136GJoey Gallo 48GTrayce Thompson 29G
SSTrea Turner 160GGavin Lux 9GHanser Alberto 5G
2BGavin Lux 102GHanser Alberto 37GMax Muncy 31G
3BMax Muncy 84GJustin Turner 66GHanser Alberto 20G
1BFreddie Freeman 159GMiguel Vargas 8GEdwin Rios 4G
STARTERSTyler Anderson 4.0WARClayton Kershaw 3.9WARJulio Urías 3.2WARTony Gonsolin 2.7WARAndrew Heaney 1.1WAR
CWill Smith 109GAustin Barnes 55GTony Wolters 1G
DHJustin Turner 61GWill Smith 25GMax Muncy 25G
BULLPEN★ Craig Kimbrel 22svEvan Phillips 19hAlex Vesia 16hBrusdar Graterol 10hChris Martin 9hCaleb Ferguson 8hPhil Bickford 7hDavid Price 4h
CWill Smith 109 · Austin Barnes 55 · Tony Wolters 1
1BFreddie Freeman 159 · Miguel Vargas 8 · Edwin Rios 4
2BGavin Lux 102 · Hanser Alberto 37 · Max Muncy 31
3BMax Muncy 84 · Justin Turner 66 · Hanser Alberto 20
SSTrea Turner 160 · Gavin Lux 9 · Hanser Alberto 5
LFChris Taylor 80 · Joey Gallo 77 · Trayce Thompson 36
CFCody Bellinger 144 · Trayce Thompson 18 · Chris Taylor 10
RFMookie Betts 136 · Joey Gallo 48 · Trayce Thompson 29
DHJustin Turner 61 · Will Smith 25 · Max Muncy 25
SPTyler Anderson 4.0 · Clayton Kershaw 3.9 · Julio Urías 3.2 · Tony Gonsolin 2.7 · Andrew Heaney 1.1
BP★ Craig Kimbrel 22 · Evan Phillips 19 · Alex Vesia 16 · Brusdar Graterol 10 · Chris Martin 9 · Caleb Ferguson 8 · Phil Bickford 7 · David Price 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Freddie Freeman 32 FA-elig 1596.8 27.0 -2.2
Trea Turner 29 FA-elig 1606.3 21.0 +2.1
Mookie Betts 29 FA-elig 1426.0 22.9 -1.0
Will Smith 27 pre-arb 1374.3 0.7 +15.1
Tyler Anderson 32 FA-elig 314.0 8.0 +6.8
Clayton Kershaw 34 FA-elig 223.9 17.0 -2.9
Julio Urías 25 FA-elig 313.2 8.0 +3.8
Tony Gonsolin 28 pre-arb 242.7 0.7 +9.2
Gavin Lux 24 pre-arb 1292.7 0.7 +9.2
Trayce Thompson↔ SDP 31 pre-arb 742.7 0.4 +9.4
Justin Turner 37 FA-elig 1282.3 20.0 -11.6
Evan Phillips 27 pre-arb 642.2 0.7 +7.5
Max Muncy 31 FA-elig 1362.0 13.0 -5.5
Chris Taylor 31 FA-elig 1181.6 15.0 -9.0
Alex Vesia 26 pre-arb 631.5 0.7 +4.8
Cody Bellinger 26 arb 1441.5 17.0 -11.7
Austin Barnes 32 FA-elig 621.3 2.6 +2.2
Chris Martin↔ CHC 36 FA-elig 261.2 1.1 +3.3
Andrew Heaney 31 FA-elig 161.1 8.5 -4.3
Walker Buehler 27 arb 121.0 4.2 -0.6
Craig Kimbrel 34 FA-elig 630.9 16.0 -12.8
Brusdar Graterol 23 pre-arb 460.8 0.7 +2.4
Daniel Hudson 35 FA-elig 250.8 7.0 -4.0
Mitch White↔ TOR 27 – 150.7 0.2 +2.4
Yency Almonte 28 pre-arb 330.5 0.6 +1.3
Caleb Ferguson 25 arb 370.5 0.8 +0.9
James Outman 25 – 40.4 0.1 +1.5
Dustin May 24 pre-arb 60.3 0.7 +0.3
Jake Lamb↔ SEA 31 FA-elig 250.2 0.2 +0.7
Andre Jackson 26 pre-arb 40.2 0.1 +0.8
Joey Gallo↔ NYY 28 FA-elig 440.2 3.6 -3.0
Edwin Rios 28 pre-arb 270.1 0.5 -0.1
David Price 36 FA-elig 400.1 32.0 -31.6
Phil Bickford 26 pre-arb 600.1 0.6 -0.3
Jake Reed↔ BAL 29 – 50.1 0.0 +0.3
Shane Greene↔ NYY 33 – 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Zach McKinstry↔ CHC 27 – 100.0 0.0 +0.0
Blake Treinen 34 FA-elig 50.0 8.0 -8.0
Kevin Pillar 33 FA-elig 4-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Michael Grove 25 – 7-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Heath Hembree↔ PIT 33 FA-elig 6-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Tommy Kahnle 32 FA-elig 13-0.0 3.5 -3.6
Garrett Cleavinger↔ TBR 28 – 4-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Robbie Erlin 31 FA-elig 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Ryan Pepiot 24 – 9-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Reyes Moronta↔ ARI 29 – 22-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Tony Wolters 30 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Justin Bruihl 25 pre-arb 24-0.3 0.3 -1.2
Miguel Vargas 22 – 18-0.4 0.2 -1.7
Hanser Alberto 29 FA-elig 73-0.5 1.4 -3.0
Eddy Alvarez 32 pre-arb 14-0.5 0.1 -1.8

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Freddie Freeman6.8
Tyler Anderson4.0
Trayce Thompson2.7
Chris Martin1.2
Andrew Heaney1.1
Craig Kimbrel0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Corey Seager3.8
Max Scherzer2.6
Kenley Jansen1.8
Joe Kelly0.7
Corey Knebel0.6
Albert Pujols0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$267.0M
2023 guaranteed
$46.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
David Price3611.164$32.0MFREE AGENT
Freddie Freeman3211.033$27.0M$25.3M$25.1M$22.7M$22.9M$23.1MFREE AGENT
Mookie Betts297.070$22.9M$21.2M$26.2M$26.2M$25.2M$29.7M$29.7M
Justin Turner3711.045$20.0MFREE AGENT
Clayton Kershaw3413.105$17.0MFREE AGENT
Craig Kimbrel3410.161$16.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Chris Taylor316.037$15.0MFREE AGENT
Andrew Heaney316.150$8.5MFREE AGENT
Blake Treinen347.065$8.0MFREE AGENT
Tyler Anderson326.065$8.0MFREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson3511.106$7.0MFREE AGENT
Tommy Kahnle326.130$3.5MFREE AGENT
Heath Hembree336.096$490kFREE AGENT
Jake Lamb318.000$176kFREE AGENT
Kevin Pillar337.113$100kFREE AGENT
Robbie Erlin316.020$15kFREE AGENT
Tony Wolters306.000$13kFREE AGENT
Shane Greene336.021$4kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Trea Turner295.135$21.0MFREE AGENT
Cody Bellinger264.160$17.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Muncy315.027$13.0MFREE AGENT
Julio Urías254.117$8.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Walker Buehler273.168$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Gallo285.103$3.6MFREE AGENT
Austin Barnes325.098$2.6MFREE AGENT
Hanser Alberto295.085$1.4MFREE AGENT
Chris Martin364.133$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Ferguson253.093$762kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reyes Moronta294.000$298kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Dustin May242.059$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Smith272.090$730kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Vesia261.103$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Gonsolin281.152$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Phillips271.136$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brusdar Graterol231.167$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gavin Lux241.114$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Bickford260.145$608kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yency Almonte282.168$562kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Rios282.043$533kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trayce Thompson312.058$377kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Bruihl250.057$254kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch White270.116$236kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Vargas220.000$154kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Outman250.000$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Grove250.000$127kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddy Alvarez320.116$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Pepiot240.000$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andre Jackson260.004$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach McKinstry270.148$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Cleavinger280.168$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Reed290.051$34kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28952.230.14.81.0
CONTEND 31156.863.019.310.3
FORCED-SPEND 26047.98.81.21.2
REBUILD 32843.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.
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Pick a wider year range.

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%{y:.1%} of roster WAR' : '%{customdata[0]}'+posbit+'
slot %{x} · %{y:.1f} WAR'; buildPosLegend(); const _div=document.getElementById('wardist'); const traces=[ {type:'bar',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:team,name:'LAD',marker:{color:barcol},customdata:cd,hovertemplate:htmpl}, {type:'scatter',x:WARDIST.ranks,y:league,name:'league avg',mode:'lines',line:{color:line,width:2,shape:'spline',smoothing:0.6},hovertemplate:'league slot %{x}: %{y:'+fmt+'}'} ]; const layout={margin:{l:48,r:12,t:6,b:38},paper_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',plot_bgcolor:'rgba(0,0,0,0)',font:FONT, transition:{duration:360,easing:'cubic-in-out'}, xaxis:{title:{text:'roster slot (ranked by WAR)',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:false,color:ink}, yaxis:{title:{text:WD_MODE==='prop'?'share of roster WAR':'WAR',font:{size:11}},gridcolor:grid,zeroline:true,zerolinecolor:grid,color:ink,tickformat:WD_MODE==='prop'?'.0%':undefined}, showlegend:true,legend:{orientation:'h',y:1.13,x:0,font:{size:11}},bargap:0.14}; if(_div.data&&_div.data.length){ Plotly.react(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } else { Plotly.newPlot(_div,traces,layout,{displayModeBar:false,responsive:true}); } } window.wdMode=function(m){WD_MODE=m;document.getElementById('wd-raw').classList.toggle('on',m==='raw');document.getElementById('wd-prop').classList.toggle('on',m==='prop');drawWarDist();}; window.wcToggle=function(){WC_MODE=WC_MODE==='pos'?'team':'pos';const b=document.getElementById('wc-btn');b.classList.toggle('on',WC_MODE==='pos');b.textContent=WC_MODE==='pos'?'Show team color':'Color by position';drawWarDist();}; // ---- Graphs dropdown switcher (orbit ⇄ roster value distribution) ---- let _wdRendered=false; window.showTeamGraph=function(g){ document.querySelectorAll('.gpane').forEach(p=>{ p.style.display=(p.dataset.g===g)?'':'none'; }); if(g==='orbit'){ drawOrbit(); } else if(g==='roster'){ if(!_wdRendered){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } else { try{ Plotly.Plots.resize('wardist'); }catch(e){ drawWarDist(); } } } }; { const _ts=document.getElementById('tgsel'); if(_ts) _ts.addEventListener('change',()=>showTeamGraph(_ts.value)); } // initial paint of the default pane (roster when the team has roster data, else orbit already drawn above) if(WARDIST){ drawWarDist(); _wdRendered=true; } // redraw the roster pane on theme change only if it's been rendered and is visible if(WARDIST){ new MutationObserver(()=>{ const p=document.querySelector('.gpane[data-g="roster"]'); if(_wdRendered && p && p.style.display!=='none') drawWarDist(); }).observe(document.documentElement,{attributes:true,attributeFilter:['data-theme']}); } // ---- TOC scroll-spy ---- (function(){ const links=[...document.querySelectorAll('.toc a')]; const secs=links.map(a=>document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href'))).filter(Boolean); links.forEach(a=>a.addEventListener('click',e=>{e.preventDefault();document.querySelector(a.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({behavior:'smooth'});})); if('IntersectionObserver' in window && secs.length){ const obs=new IntersectionObserver(es=>{es.forEach(e=>{if(e.isIntersecting) links.forEach(l=>l.classList.toggle('on',l.getAttribute('href')==='#'+e.target.id));});},{rootMargin:'-15% 0px -75% 0px'}); secs.forEach(s=>obs.observe(s)); } })(); // ---- sortable roster table ---- const SVC_RANK={'pre-arb':0,'arb':1,'FA-elig':2,'?':3}; function cellNum(td){const n=parseFloat(td.textContent.replace(/[^0-9.\-]/g,''));return isNaN(n)?null:n;} function scale(v,mn,mx,g){ if(g==='diverge'){ if(v>=0){const t=mx>0?v/mx:0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mn<0?v/mn:0;return `rgba(192,73,43,${(0.10+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } if(g==='salmag'){const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(128,135,143,${(0.05+0.45*t).toFixed(2)})`;} const t=mx>mn?(v-mn)/(mx-mn):0;return `rgba(26,125,90,${(0.05+0.55*t).toFixed(2)})`; } function applyGradients(table){ [...table.tHead.rows[0].cells].forEach((th,ci)=>{ if(!th.dataset.grad) return; const rows=[...table.tBodies[0].rows], vals=rows.map(r=>cellNum(r.cells[ci])).filter(v=>v!==null); if(!vals.length) return; const mn=Math.min(...vals),mx=Math.max(...vals); rows.forEach(r=>{const v=cellNum(r.cells[ci]);if(v!==null)r.cells[ci].style.background=scale(v,mn,mx,th.dataset.grad);}); }); } function makeSortable(table){ const ths=[...table.tHead.rows[0].cells]; ths.forEach((th,ci)=>{ th.dataset.label=th.textContent.trim(); th.addEventListener('click',()=>{ th._dir=(th._dir===-1)?1:-1; const dir=th._dir, tb=table.tBodies[0], svc=th.dataset.sortType==='service'; [...tb.rows].sort((a,b)=>{ let va,vb; if(svc){va=SVC_RANK[a.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;vb=SVC_RANK[b.cells[ci].textContent.trim()]??9;} else{va=cellNum(a.cells[ci]);vb=cellNum(b.cells[ci]); if(va===null||vb===null){va=a.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();vb=b.cells[ci].textContent.trim().toLowerCase();}} return vavb?dir:0; }).forEach(r=>tb.appendChild(r)); ths.forEach(h=>h.innerHTML=h.dataset.label); th.innerHTML=th.dataset.label+' '+(dir===1?'▲':'▼')+''; }); }); } document.querySelectorAll('table.sortable').forEach(t=>{applyGradients(t);makeSortable(t);});